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VfL Wolfsburg v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Mar, 14:30 BST, Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Bundesliga, and Daniel Bauer’s VfL Wolfsburg will have the blessing of it on Saturday afternoon. Merlin Polzin’s Hamburger SV are their visitors to the Volkswagen Arena. Bundesliga statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for every betting markets via the tabs.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Wolfsburg
42%
--
Draw
24%
--
Hamburg
34%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Wolfsburg 2-1
9%
--
Hamburg 2-1
8%
--
Wolfsburg 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Hamburg 1-0
6%
--
Wolfsburg 2-0
6%
--
Wolfsburg 3-1
5%
--
Hamburg 2-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Hamburg 3-1
4%
--
Wolfsburg 3-2
4%
--
Wolfsburg 3-0
3%
--
Hamburg 3-2
3%
--
Hamburg 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
63%
--
BTTS - No
37%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
--
Home/draw
66%
--
Away/draw
58%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
51%
--
Wolfsburg win to nil
18%
--
Hamburg win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Wolfsburg have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Wolfsburg have conceded 41 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Wolfsburg have played 11 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Hamburg lay in 9th place on 26 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 16 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Hamburg have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Hamburg have played 11 away games, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Wolfsburg
Hamburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2218316357 
May 9
l
 
8-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-0A
2
Dortmund2215612751 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
3
Hoffenheim2214351945 
l
 
2-3F
Mar 14
Apr 25
l
 
4-1A
4
Stuttgart2213361242 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 1
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
5
RB Leipzig2212461240 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
6
Leverkusen2112361639 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 4
Mar 4
May 16
7
E.Frankfurt22877-231 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 2
8
Freiburg22868-430 
l
 
3-4A
May 2
May 9
l
 
2-1F
9
Hamburg22688-726 
Mar 7
w
 
0-1F
-
-
10
Union Berlin22679-925 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
11
Augsburg227411-1425 
Feb 21
l
 
3-1A
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
12
Köln226511-623 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 14
l
 
4-1A
13
Mainz235711-1222 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
14
B. M'gladbach225710-1222 
Apr 25
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
15
Wolfsburg225512-1520 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Mar 7
16
W.Bremen224711-2019 
Mar 21
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-2A
Apr 18
17
St. Pauli224513-1917 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
18
Heidenheim223415-2913 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Wolfsburg 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolfsburg1 - 2Dortmund
Wolfsburg1 - 1Heidenheim
Wolfsburg2 - 1St. Pauli
Wolfsburg3 - 4Freiburg
Wolfsburg3 - 1Union Berlin
Wolfsburg1 - 3Leverkusen
Wolfsburg2 - 3Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg0 - 3Stuttgart
Wolfsburg0 - 1RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg3 - 3Köln
Wolfsburg1 - 1Mainz
Wolfsburg2 - 2Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg0 - 1Freiburg
Wolfsburg2 - 3RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg0 - 1Heidenheim
Wolfsburg1 - 1St. Pauli
Wolfsburg1 - 1VfL Bochum
Wolfsburg0 - 0Leverkusen
Wolfsburg2 - 2Holstein
Wolfsburg5 - 1B. M'gladbach
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWolfsburg2 - 2RB Leipzig
HWolfsburg1 - 2Dortmund
AWolfsburg0 - 1Köln
AWolfsburg1 - 3Mainz
HWolfsburg1 - 1Heidenheim
HWolfsburg2 - 1St. Pauli
AWolfsburg1 - 8Bayern
HWolfsburg3 - 4Freiburg
AWolfsburg3 - 1B. M'gladbach
HWolfsburg3 - 1Union Berlin
AWolfsburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
HWolfsburg1 - 3Leverkusen
AWolfsburg1 - 2W.Bremen
HWolfsburg2 - 3Hoffenheim
AWolfsburg1 - 0Hamburg
HWolfsburg0 - 3Stuttgart
AWolfsburg1 - 3Augsburg
HWolfsburg0 - 1RB Leipzig
AWolfsburg0 - 1Dortmund
HWolfsburg3 - 3Köln
Hamburg 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz1 - 1Hamburg
Heidenheim0 - 2Hamburg
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
Freiburg2 - 1Hamburg
Hoffenheim4 - 1Hamburg
Augsburg1 - 0Hamburg
Köln4 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Bayern5 - 0Hamburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Hamburg
Greuther3 - 2Hamburg
Darmstadt0 - 4Hamburg
Schalke2 - 2Hamburg
Nurnberg0 - 3Hamburg
Magdeburg0 - 3Hamburg
Paderborn2 - 0Hamburg
Regensburg1 - 1Hamburg
Preussen Munster1 - 2Hamburg
H.Berlin2 - 3Hamburg
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHamburg1 - 1Mainz
HHamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
AHamburg2 - 0Heidenheim
HHamburg2 - 2Bayern
AHamburg0 - 0St. Pauli
HHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg1 - 2Freiburg
HHamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
AHamburg1 - 4Hoffenheim
HHamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
HHamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
AHamburg0 - 1Augsburg
HHamburg1 - 1Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 4Köln
HHamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
AHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
HHamburg4 - 0Mainz
AHamburg0 - 0Union Berlin
HHamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
AHamburg0 - 5Bayern
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Wolfsburg since 2012
Wolfsburg
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
WOB
1
D
3
HSV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Wolfsburg
1 - 3Hamburg
Wolfsburg1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Hamburg since 2013
Hamburg
Wolfsburg
Goals: Scored
4
9
Games: Scored
3 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
4 / 7
WOB
4
D
2
HSV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
0 - 1Wolfsburg
Draw0 - 0Draw
Hamburg2 - 1
0 - 1Wolfsburg
0 - 2Wolfsburg
1 - 3Wolfsburg
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Hamburger SV's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because VfL Wolfsburg have conceded in each of their last 14 Bundesliga matches. A PG of 1.5 for M. Polzin's side suggests that run should continue.

Wolfsburg 15th Hamburg 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Wolfsburg will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Wolfsburg have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Hamburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Wolfsburg
PG (predicted goals)
Hamburg
1.7
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
WOB
HSV
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
WOB
HSV
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Wolfsburg v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Wolfsburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22855
K GrabaraM AmouraS KumbediM Arnold
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Grabara GLK22
1
-
L Majer MID2023
3
-
M Arnold MID2014
5
-
K Koulierakis DEF191
3
-
C Eriksen MID1914
3
-
M Svanberg MID1931
3
1
M Amoura FWD1982
2
-
D Pejčinović FWD195
1
-
P Wimmer FWD1733
4
-
A Zehnter DEF162
-
A Daghim FWD1622
1
-
S Kumbedi DEF155
2
-
M Jenz DEF141
5
-
V Souza MID14
2
-
K Fischer DEF11
-
Y Gerhardt MID11
1
-
D Vavro DEF91
1
-
J Seelt DEF9
-
A Olsen FWD81
1
-
J Wind FWD8
1
-
J Maehle DEF71
-
J Lindström FWD6
1
-
K Paredes MID4
1
-
B. Dárdai MID1
-
Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22548
D FernandesR PhilippeM MuheimN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK22
3
-
M Muheim DEF224
4
-
R Königsdörffer FWD2242
1
-
N Remberg MID211
8
-
R Philippe FWD205
2
-
L. Vušković DEF194
5
-
N Capaldo  MID1911
6
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF182
2
1
F Vieira MID1734
2
2
D Elfadli DEF16
4
1
W Mikelbrencis DEF161
2
-
A Lokonga MID164
2
-
M Dompé FWD152
-
R Glatzel FWD1411
-
J Torunarigha DEF13
1
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD111
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD111
2
1
Y Poulsen FWD101
3
-
B Jatta FWD101
-
G Ramos DEF8
-
W Omari DEF8
-
I Pherai MID6
1
1
A. Souhmahoro DEF4
1
-
J Meffert MID4
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-