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Milan v Parma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Feb, 17:00 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Parma are away from home on Sunday evening, as manager Carlos Antón Cuesta takes his team to visit Milan and Massimiliano Allegri at the Giuseppe Meazza in the Serie A. All the odds are delivered directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Serie A match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 80% chance of Milan and Parma 3 goals or less combined during this Serie A clash according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Milan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
57%
4/11
2%
4/11
1%
Draw
25%
10/3
6%
19/5
4%
Parma
18%
8/1
5%
7/1
11%
Milan 1-0
16%
11/25/1
Milan 2-0
12%
5/119/4
Draw 1-1
12%
15/2
6%
15/2
Draw 0-0
10%
10/1
8%
9/1
Milan 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
Parma 1-0
7%
20/114/1
12%
Milan 3-0
6%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Milan 3-1
5%
11/110/1
Parma 2-1
4%
25/118/1
10%
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Parma 2-0
3%
40/128/1
Milan 4-0
2%
14/112/1
8%
Milan 4-1
2%
20/116/1
Milan 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Parma 3-1
1%
66/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4/54/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1/119/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/11
2%
1/3
2%
Away 1st Goal
37%
5/2
3%
14/5
5%
No 1st Goal
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
BTTS - Yes
41%
21/20
2%
23/20
2%
BTTS - No
59%
7/10
2%
8/13
BTTS - Home Win
19%
12/512/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Home/draw
82%
1/141/14
1%
Away/draw
43%
2/1
8%
2/1
3%
Home/away
75%
1/5
2%
2/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
3/113/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
2/119/10
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/54/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
9/217/4
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/72/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
10/19/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/20
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
10/1
8%
9/1
9%
Home DNB
75%
1/10
2%
1/10
2%
Away DNB
36%
6/1
13%
5/1
8%
Milan win to nil
38%
11/10
5%
-
Parma win to nil
11%
14/1-
Milan / Milan
41%
1/1
5%
1/1
3%
Milan / Parma
2%
50/140/1
Milan / Draw
5%
16/114/1
12%
Draw / Milan
20%
3/1
7%
3/1
3%
Draw / Parma
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Draw / Draw
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
Parma / Milan
4%
20/118/1
Parma / Parma
6%
14/1
12%
10/1
8%
Parma / Draw
4%
20/116/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 8 and lost 1 match. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Milan have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Milan have played 11 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Parma are in 14th position in the Serie A on 26 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Parma have conceded 27 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Parma
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2419143858 
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
May 3
2
Milan2314812150 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
Feb 22
3
Napoli2415451349 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
4
Juventus2413742146 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
5
Roma2415181546 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
May 10
l
 
2-1A
6
Como 19072311842141 
Feb 18
w
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
7
Atalanta2410951139 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
8
Lazio24897333 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
9
Udinese249510-932 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
10
Bologna248610130 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-3F
w
 
0-1F
11
Sassuolo248511-729 
d
 
2-2A
May 3
May 24
d
 
1-1A
12
Cagliari247710-528 
May 24
w
 
0-1F
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
13
Torino247611-1827 
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
14
Parma246810-1426 
Feb 22
d
 
2-2F
-
-
15
Cremonese245811-1223 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
16
Genoa245811-823 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
17
Lecce245613-1621 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
18
Fiorentina243912-1118 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
19
Pisa2411211-2115 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 13
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
20
Verona242913-2315 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Milan
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan1 - 0Lecce
Milan1 - 1Genoa
Milan3 - 0Verona
Milan2 - 2Sassuolo
Milan1 - 0Lazio
Milan1 - 0Roma
Milan2 - 2Pisa
Milan2 - 1Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Napoli
Milan1 - 0Bologna
Milan1 - 2Cremonese
Milan2 - 0Monza
Milan3 - 1Bologna
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Milan2 - 2Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Como 1907
Milan1 - 2Lazio
Milan1 - 0Verona
Milan1 - 1Inter
Milan3 - 2Parma
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMilan3 - 0Bologna
AMilan1 - 1Roma
HMilan1 - 0Lecce
AMilan3 - 1Como 1907
AMilan1 - 1Fiorentina
HMilan1 - 1Genoa
AMilan1 - 0Cagliari
HMilan3 - 0Verona
HMilan2 - 2Sassuolo
AMilan3 - 2Torino
HMilan1 - 0Lazio
AMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 2Parma
HMilan1 - 0Roma
AMilan1 - 1Atalanta
HMilan2 - 2Pisa
HMilan2 - 1Fiorentina
AMilan0 - 0Juventus
HMilan2 - 1Napoli
AMilan3 - 0Udinese
Parma
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bologna0 - 1Parma
Atalanta4 - 0Parma
Napoli0 - 0Parma
Lecce1 - 2Parma
Sassuolo1 - 1Parma
Pisa0 - 1Parma
Verona1 - 2Parma
Roma2 - 1Parma
Genoa0 - 0Parma
Cremonese0 - 0Parma
Cagliari2 - 0Parma
Juventus2 - 0Parma
Atalanta2 - 3Parma
Empoli2 - 1Parma
Lazio2 - 2Parma
Fiorentina0 - 0Parma
Verona0 - 0Parma
Monza1 - 1Parma
Udinese1 - 0Parma
Cagliari2 - 1Parma
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AParma1 - 0Bologna
HParma1 - 4Juventus
AParma0 - 4Atalanta
HParma0 - 0Genoa
AParma0 - 0Napoli
AParma2 - 1Lecce
HParma0 - 2Inter
AParma1 - 1Sassuolo
HParma1 - 0Fiorentina
HParma0 - 1Lazio
AParma1 - 0Pisa
HParma0 - 2Udinese
AParma2 - 1Verona
HParma2 - 2Milan
HParma1 - 3Bologna
AParma1 - 2Roma
HParma0 - 0Como 1907
AParma0 - 0Genoa
HParma0 - 1Lecce
HParma2 - 1Torino
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Milan have not lost to Parma in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Parma
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
5 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
0 / 5
ACM
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Milan3 - 1
Milan2 - 1
Milan3 - 1
League games at Parma since 2014
Parma
Milan
Goals: Scored
10
13
Games: Scored
5 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
1 / 6
ACM
3
D
2
PMA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Parma
Draw2 - 2Draw
Parma2 - 1
1 - 3Milan
0 - 1Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
4 - 5Milan
Goal Statistics

Milan have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 17 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Parma on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Milan Parma
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Parma scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Milan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Parma have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Parma
1.6
0.7
Attack rating
53%
better
ACM
PMA
view stats
Games scored22
12
Failed to score1
12
Scored first15
6
Goals scored38
16
Avg. goals scored1.7
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for16
9
Avg. XG for1.7
0.9
KickOff rating
+53%
Defence rating
31%
better
ACM
PMA
view stats
Games conceded12
16
Clean sheets11
8
Conceded first7
13
Goals conceded17
30
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
8
Conversion rate against9%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+31%

Milan v Parma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22844
M Maignan C PulisicA RabiotF Tomori
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK22
3
-
M Gabbia DEF22
3
-
L Modric MID2213
3
-
A Saelemaekers MID2223
2
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2121
1
-
F Tomori DEF202
4
-
S Pavlovic DEF1921
2
-
S Ricci MID1912
1
-
Y Fofana MID1912
4
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF182
1
-
C Nkunku  FWD1752
-
A Rabiot MID1644
3
-
R Leão FWD1672
1
-
C Pulisic FWD1682
-
K Winter DEF151
1
-
Z. Athekame DEF141
3
-
P Estupiñán DEF121
2
1
S Giménez FWD9
1
-
N Füllkrug FWD71
-
A Jashari MID6
-
P Terracciano GLK2
-
D Odogu DEF1
-
Parma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23626
A BernabéM PellegrinoS. BritschgiM. Troilo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Bernabé MID2421
-
M Pellegrino FWD2461
3
-
E Prato DEF231
4
-
O Sørensen MID231
2
-
M Keita MID23
1
-
N Estévez MID21
2
-
E Valeri DEF201
2
-
S. Britschgi DEF202
4
-
A Circati DEF191
4
-
L Valenti DEF17
3
-
C Ordoñez MID151
2
1
G Oristanio MID14
1
-
E Corvi GLK12
1
-
Z Suzuki GLK11
1
-
J Ondrejka FWD11
1
-
M. Troilo DEF9
4
2
P Almqvist FWD9
-
N Ndiaye DEF7
3
1
B Cremaschi MID5
-
H Caviglia MID21
-
F Rinaldi GLK1
1
-
F Carboni DEF1
-
G Strefezza FWD1
-
N Elphege FWD1
-