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Lazio v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 17:00 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

the Stadio Olimpico faithful welcome Atalanta's fans on Saturday evening, as Maurizio Sarri's Lazio take on Raffaele Palladino's charges in the Serie A. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lazio
34%
--
Draw
27%
--
Atalanta
39%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Atalanta 1-0
11%
--
Lazio 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Atalanta 2-1
8%
--
Lazio 2-1
8%
--
Atalanta 2-0
7%
--
Lazio 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Atalanta 3-1
4%
--
Atalanta 3-0
3%
--
Lazio 3-1
3%
--
Lazio 3-0
2%
--
Atalanta 3-2
2%
--
Lazio 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
61%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
53%
--
Away DNB
58%
--
Lazio win to nil
19%
--
Atalanta win to nil
22%
--
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lazio have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Lazio have conceded 11 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lazio have played 12 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Atalanta lay in 7th place on 36 points in the Serie A league table having played 23 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 25 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Atalanta have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Atalanta have played 11 away games, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lazio
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2318143355 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
2
Milan2314812150 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 10
3
Napoli2314451246 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
Feb 22
l
 
3-1A
4
Juventus2313642145 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
5
Roma2314181343 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
6
Como 19072311842141 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
7
Atalanta239951036 
Feb 14
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
8
Lazio23887332 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
9
Udinese23959-832 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
10
Bologna23869230 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
May 17
w
 
0-2F
11
Sassuolo238510-229 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 1
12
Cagliari23779-328 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 21
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
13
Torino237511-1826 
d
 
3-3A
Mar 1
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
14
Cremonese235810-1123 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
Feb 9
d
 
1-1A
15
Parma235810-1523 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
Genoa235810-723 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
May 3
w
 
0-1F
17
Lecce234613-1718 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-1F
Apr 4
18
Fiorentina233812-1117 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
w
 
2-0F
May 24
19
Pisa2411211-2115 
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
20
Verona242913-2315 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 22
l
 
3-1A
Win / draw / win form
Lazio 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lazio3 - 2Genoa
Lazio0 - 3Como 1907
Lazio2 - 2Fiorentina
Lazio0 - 2Napoli
Lazio0 - 0Cremonese
Lazio1 - 1Bologna
Lazio2 - 0Lecce
Lazio2 - 0Cagliari
Lazio1 - 0Juventus
Lazio3 - 3Torino
Lazio0 - 1Roma
Lazio4 - 0Verona
Lazio0 - 1Lecce
Lazio1 - 1Juventus
Lazio2 - 2Parma
Lazio1 - 1Roma
Lazio1 - 1Torino
Lazio1 - 1Udinese
Lazio2 - 2Napoli
Lazio5 - 1Monza
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLazio3 - 2Genoa
ALazio0 - 0Lecce
HLazio0 - 3Como 1907
ALazio1 - 0Verona
HLazio2 - 2Fiorentina
HLazio0 - 2Napoli
ALazio1 - 1Udinese
HLazio0 - 0Cremonese
ALazio1 - 0Parma
HLazio1 - 1Bologna
ALazio0 - 1Milan
HLazio2 - 0Lecce
ALazio0 - 2Inter
HLazio2 - 0Cagliari
ALazio0 - 0Pisa
HLazio1 - 0Juventus
ALazio0 - 0Atalanta
HLazio3 - 3Torino
ALazio3 - 0Genoa
HLazio0 - 1Roma
Atalanta 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Como 19070 - 0Atalanta
Pisa1 - 1Atalanta
Bologna0 - 2Atalanta
Genoa0 - 1Atalanta
Verona3 - 1Atalanta
Napoli3 - 1Atalanta
Udinese1 - 0Atalanta
Cremonese1 - 1Atalanta
Juventus1 - 1Atalanta
Torino0 - 3Atalanta
Parma1 - 1Atalanta
Genoa2 - 3Atalanta
Monza0 - 4Atalanta
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
Juventus0 - 4Atalanta
Empoli0 - 5Atalanta
Verona0 - 5Atalanta
Como 19071 - 2Atalanta
Udinese0 - 0Atalanta
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta0 - 0Como 1907
HAtalanta4 - 0Parma
AAtalanta1 - 1Pisa
HAtalanta2 - 0Torino
AAtalanta2 - 0Bologna
HAtalanta1 - 0Roma
HAtalanta0 - 1Inter
AAtalanta1 - 0Genoa
HAtalanta2 - 1Cagliari
AAtalanta1 - 3Verona
HAtalanta2 - 0Fiorentina
AAtalanta1 - 3Napoli
HAtalanta0 - 3Sassuolo
AAtalanta0 - 1Udinese
HAtalanta1 - 1Milan
AAtalanta1 - 1Cremonese
HAtalanta0 - 0Lazio
HAtalanta1 - 1Como 1907
AAtalanta1 - 1Juventus
AAtalanta3 - 0Torino
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lazio since 2014
Lazio
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
17
17
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
LAZ
4
D
4
ATA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lazio
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lazio3 - 2
0 - 2Atalanta
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4Atalanta
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 3Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lazio2 - 1
Lazio2 - 0
Lazio3 - 0
League games at Atalanta since 2015
Atalanta
Lazio
Goals: Scored
19
20
Games: Scored
9 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
3 / 12
LAZ
4
D
4
ATA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Lazio
Atalanta3 - 1
0 - 2Lazio
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Lazio
Atalanta3 - 2
Atalanta1 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
3 - 4Lazio
Atalanta2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's defensive record is to be admired, R. Palladino's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Lazio makes sense in this context.

Lazio 8th Atalanta 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Lazio will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Lazio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+15
Atalanta have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Lazio
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
LAZ
ATA
23%
better
view stats
Games scored12
18
Failed to score11
5
Scored first11
13
Goals scored24
30
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
5%
better
LAZ
ATA
view stats
Games conceded12
14
Clean sheets11
9
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded21
20
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
10
Conversion rate against9%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%

Lazio v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23327
I ProvedelD CataldiD CataldiM Zaccagni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Provedel GLK23
1
-
M Gila  DEF22
3
1
A Marusic DEF211
1
1
A Romagnoli DEF20
5
-
D Cataldi MID2032
5
-
L Pellegrini DEF19
5
-
M Zaccagni FWD193
6
1
Pedro FWD1821
2
-
G Isaksen FWD1721
-
M Lazzari  DEF16
2
-
M Cancellieri FWD1631
4
-
T Noslin FWD162
1
1
T Basic MID1512
1
B Dia FWD141
-
O Provstgaard DEF11
1
-
N Tavares DEF10
1
-
F Dele-Bashiru MID10
-
R Belahyane MID91
1
1
N Rovella MID61
2
-
Patric DEF4
-
E Hysaj DEF4
-
K Taylor MID41
-
P Ratkov FWD4
-
D Maldini MID1
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23647
M CarnesecchiN KrstovicN KrstovicM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK23
-
C Ketelaere MID2133
2
-
B Djimsiti DEF20
1
-
I Hien DEF201
3
-
D Zappacosta MID202
2
-
M Roon MID2011
6
1
Éderson MID19
1
-
N Zalewski MID1912
1
-
M Pasalic MID1923
2
-
N Krstovic FWD1964
2
-
L Samardžić MID1612
1
-
K Sulemana FWD1622
3
-
G Scamacca FWD1661
2
-
H. Ahanor DEF14
1
R Bellanova MID131
1
-
L Bernasconi MID131
1
-
O Kossounou  DEF121
-
Y Musah MID12
1
-
G Scalvini DEF102
1
-
S Kolasinac DEF6
1
-
G Raspadori FWD21
-