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Napoli v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 17:00 BST, San Paolo, Castelvolturno

Eusebio Di Francesco is aiming for a precious away win in the Serie A on Saturday evening, as he takes his Lecce side to the San Paolo to visit Napoli and Antonio Conte. We've got the best odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Napoli and Lecce combined during the standard 90 minutes. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and we're suggest there's a 78% chance of it coming in. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Napoli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Napoli
60%
1.361.40
Draw
24%
4.104.33
Lecce
16%
9.009.00
Napoli 1-0
15%
5.00
5%
4.60
Napoli 2-0
13%
5.505.25
Draw 1-1
11%
8.50
6%
8.00
Napoli 2-1
9%
9.509.00
Draw 0-0
9%
8.007.50
Napoli 3-0
7%
8.007.50
Lecce 1-0
7%
17.0013.00
Napoli 3-1
5%
15.0013.00
Lecce 2-1
4%
29.0023.00
Draw 2-2
3%
29.0023.00
Napoli 4-0
3%
17.0013.00
Lecce 2-0
2%
41.0029.00
Napoli 4-1
2%
29.0023.00
Napoli 3-2
2%
41.0034.00
Lecce 3-1
1%
81.0061.00
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
2.20
4%
2.20
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1.67
3%
1.60
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.361.33
Away 1st Goal
36%
4.004.40
No 1st Goal
6%
8.007.50
BTTS - Yes
42%
2.632.75
BTTS - No
58%
1.441.40
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4.33
4%
4.50
BTTS - Draw
15%
7.007.00
BTTS - Away Win
6%
23.0019.00
Home/draw
84%
1.071.07
Away/draw
40%
3.002.90
Home/away
76%
1.221.22
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1.401.40
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
3.002.75
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
4.334.00
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1.221.22
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9.008.00
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.071.06
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
19.0017.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.021.01
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.081.07
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8.007.50
Home DNB
77%
1.101.09
Away DNB
33%
7.006.50
Napoli win to nil
39%
1.83-
Lecce win to nil
10%
13.00-
Napoli / Napoli
40%
2.052.05
Napoli / Lecce
1%
51.0067.00
Napoli / Draw
4%
19.0019.00
Draw / Napoli
22%
3.753.80
Draw / Lecce
5%
17.0017.00
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.50
Lecce / Napoli
3%
26.0026.00
Lecce / Lecce
5%
17.0013.00
Lecce / Draw
4%
21.0019.00
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Napoli have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Serie A league table. Napoli are unbeaten at home after 13 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Napoli have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Napoli have played 13 games at home winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Lecce are in 16th position in the Serie A on 27 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Lecce have conceded 34 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Napoli
Lecce
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2822154267 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
2
Milan2817922460 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
3
Napoli2817561456 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Mar 14
4
Roma2816391751 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
5
Como 19072814952551 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
6
Juventus2814862250 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
May 10
d
 
1-1F
7
Atalanta28121061346 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 4
l
 
4-1A
8
Bologna2811611339 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
9
Sassuolo2811512-338 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
10
Lazio289109037 
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
11
Udinese2810612-836 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
12
Parma2881010-1234 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
13
Genoa287912-630 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-3A
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
14
Cagliari287912-830 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 20
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
15
Torino288614-2130 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
16
Lecce287615-1727 
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
-
-
17
Fiorentina2851013-1225 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
18
Cremonese285914-1824 
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
19
Verona283916-2718 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
20
Pisa2811215-2815 
w
 
3-2F
May 17
w
 
1-0F
May 3
Win / draw / win form
Napoli 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Lecce 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Napoli have beaten Lecce in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Napoli have not lost to Lecce in 7 consecutive league meetings
5
Napoli have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive league meetings with Lecce
League games at Napoli since 2020
Napoli
Lecce
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
NAP
1
D
2
LEC
1
League games at Lecce since 2019
Lecce
Napoli
Goals: Scored
2
12
Games: Scored
2 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
3 / 5
NAP
5
Goal Statistics

Napoli have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.7 against Lecce on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Napoli 3rd Lecce 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
There is a 81% probability that Napoli will score 1 or more goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Lecce scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Napoli have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-26
Lecce have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Lecce
1.7
0.7
Attack rating
44%
better
NAP
LEC
view stats
Games scored22
13
Failed to score6
14
Scored first16
11
Goals scored43
18
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.6
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for16
10
Avg. XG for1.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
9%
better
NAP
LEC
view stats
Games conceded19
19
Clean sheets9
8
Conceded first10
12
Goals conceded29
36
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+9%

Napoli v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
239410
R HöjlundR HöjlundM PolitanoJ Jesus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Elmas MID2513
2
-
M Politano FWD254
1
-
A Buongiorno DEF241
2
-
L Spinazzola DEF2433
2
-
R Höjlund FWD2492
1
-
G Lorenzo DEF2311
1
-
S Lobotka MID2311
1
-
S McTominay MID2363
1
-
V Milinković-Savić GLK20
-
J Jesus DEF20
9
1
M Gutiérrez DEF1811
-
M Olivera DEF17
2
-
S Beukema DEF162
2
-
A Rrahmani DEF1611
3
-
D Neres  FWD1633
3
-
F Anguissa MID1241
1
-
B Gilmour MID121
1
-
A Vergara MID1112
2
-
P Mazzocchi  DEF10
1
K Bruyne MID94
1
-
A Meret GLK81
1
-
Giovane FWD62
-
R Lukaku  FWD51
1
-
A Santos FWD42
-
Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28337
W FalconeN StulicL BandaY Ramadani
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK28
2
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF281
4
-
A Gallo DEF282
2
-
Y Ramadani MID271
7
-
S Pierotti FWD271
1
-
D Veiga DEF261
7
-
N Stulic FWD263
1
-
L Coulibaly  MID2431
2
-
L Banda FWD2233
6
1
K Gaspar DEF21
6
1
R Sottil  FWD2112
1
-
K N’Dri FWD182
2
-
F. Camarda FWD171
1
-
M Berisha MID1323
-
J Siebert DEF11
1
-
C Ndaba DEF10
-
O Gendelman MID102
-
Álex Sala MID71
-
W Cheddira FWD7
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID6
-
O Ngom MID5
-
G Jean DEF2
-
S Fofana MID2
-
M. Pérez Sepúlveda DEF1
-