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Atalanta v Napoli : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Feb, 14:00 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Atalanta and their boss Raffaele Palladino will be hoping for victory against Antonio Conte and his Napoli side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair clash at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia in the Serie A. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across every market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Serie A clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Atalanta and Napoli both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
43%
27/207/5
2%
Draw
28%
11/511/5
3%
Napoli
29%
2/121/10
Atalanta 1-0
13%
6/16/1
8%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
5%
Draw 0-0
10%
7/113/2
7%
Napoli 1-0
10%
15/27/1
Atalanta 2-0
8%
10/19/1
Atalanta 2-1
8%
17/215/2
Napoli 2-1
6%
10/19/1
Napoli 2-0
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/111/1
Atalanta 3-0
4%
22/118/1
Atalanta 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Napoli 3-1
2%
25/118/1
10%
Atalanta 3-2
2%
33/122/1
12%
Napoli 3-0
2%
33/122/1
Napoli 3-2
1%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
11/10
5%
21/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
8/11
4%
7/10
3%
Home 1st Goal
50%
10/1110/11
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/56/5
No 1st Goal
7%
7/113/2
7%
BTTS - Yes
45%
19/205/6
1%
BTTS - No
55%
4/510/11
3%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/219/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
11/219/4
4%
Home/draw
71%
4/114/11
1%
Away/draw
57%
4/711/20
Home/away
72%
4/117/20
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/11
3%
7/20
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
11/5
7%
2/1
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3/113/5
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/41/4
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/1
11%
6/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/12
1%
1/12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1
11%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40
1%
1/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/1
13%
7/1
14%
Home DNB
63%
4/613/20
Away DNB
49%
11/1011/10
Atalanta win to nil
27%
11/4-
Napoli win to nil
18%
4/1-
Atalanta / Atalanta
21%
3/127/10
3%
Atalanta / Napoli
3%
33/122/1
12%
Atalanta / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Atalanta
15%
9/29/2
Draw / Napoli
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
18%
15/417/5
5%
Napoli / Atalanta
3%
28/120/1
9%
Napoli / Napoli
17%
4/118/5
4%
Napoli / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Atalanta have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Atalanta have conceded 7 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Atalanta have played 13 games at home, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Napoli lay in 3rd place on 49 points in the Serie A league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Napoli have conceded 18 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Napoli have played 13 away games, winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Napoli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2419143858 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
2
Milan2314812150 
d
 
1-1A
May 10
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
3
Napoli2415451349 
Feb 22
l
 
3-1A
-
-
4
Juventus2413742146 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
5
Roma2415181546 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
6
Como 19072311842141 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
7
Atalanta2410951139 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Feb 22
8
Lazio24897333 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
9
Udinese249510-932 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
May 24
l
 
1-0A
10
Bologna248610130 
May 17
w
 
0-2F
May 10
l
 
2-0A
11
Sassuolo248511-729 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 1
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
12
Cagliari247710-528 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
13
Torino247611-1827 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
14
Parma246810-1426 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
15
Cremonese245811-1223 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
16
Genoa245811-823 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-3A
17
Lecce245613-1621 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 4
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
18
Fiorentina243912-1118 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
19
Pisa2411211-2115 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2F
May 17
20
Verona242913-2315 
Mar 22
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
Win / draw / win form
Atalanta
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Napoli
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Napoli have beaten Atalanta in 4 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Atalanta since 2014
Atalanta
Napoli
Goals: Scored
15
19
Games: Scored
10 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
1 / 11
ATA
3
D
1
NAP
7
League games at Napoli since 2015
Napoli
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
20
20
Games: Scored
9 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
3 / 12
ATA
5
D
2
NAP
5
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's defensive record is to be admired, R. Palladino's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Napoli makes sense in this context.

Atalanta Napoli
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Napoli scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Atalanta have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-16
Napoli have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Napoli
1.3
1
Attack rating
ATA
NAP
6%
better
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score5
6
Scored first13
13
Goals scored30
36
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
10%
better
ATA
NAP
view stats
Games conceded14
15
Clean sheets9
9
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded20
23
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

Atalanta v Napoli Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24747
M CarnesecchiN KrstovicM PasalicM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK24
-
B Djimsiti DEF21
1
-
D Zappacosta MID2112
2
-
C Ketelaere MID2133
2
-
I Hien DEF201
3
-
N Zalewski MID2012
1
-
M Pasalic MID2024
2
-
M Roon MID2011
6
1
Éderson MID20
1
-
N Krstovic FWD2074
2
-
L Samardžić MID1712
1
-
K Sulemana FWD1722
3
-
G Scamacca FWD1661
2
-
H. Ahanor DEF14
1
L Bernasconi MID141
1
-
R Bellanova MID141
1
-
O Kossounou  DEF131
1
-
Y Musah MID13
1
-
G Scalvini DEF112
1
-
S Kolasinac DEF7
2
-
G Raspadori FWD311
-
Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23838
G LorenzoR HöjlundS McTominayJ Jesus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Lorenzo DEF2311
1
-
S McTominay MID2363
1
-
E Elmas MID211
1
-
M Politano FWD213
1
-
A Buongiorno DEF201
2
-
L Spinazzola DEF2022
2
-
S Lobotka MID2011
1
-
R Höjlund FWD2082
1
-
V Milinković-Savić GLK17
-
J Jesus DEF17
7
1
D Neres  FWD1633
3
-
A Rrahmani DEF1511
2
-
M Gutiérrez DEF141
-
M Olivera DEF14
2
-
S Beukema DEF131
2
-
F Anguissa MID1141
1
-
B Gilmour MID91
1
-
K Bruyne MID84
1
-
A Meret GLK71
1
-
A Vergara MID711
1
-
P Mazzocchi  DEF6
1
Giovane FWD3
-
R Lukaku  FWD2
-