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Napoli v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 31st Jan, 17:00 BST, San Paolo, Castelvolturno

Paolo Vanoli guides his Fiorentina troops to the San Paolo in the Serie A on Saturday evening, with Antonio Conte's Napoli the opponent. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Napoli
58%
--
Draw
24%
--
Fiorentina
18%
--
Napoli 1-0
14%
--
Napoli 2-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Napoli 2-1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Fiorentina 1-0
7%
--
Napoli 3-0
7%
--
Napoli 3-1
5%
--
Fiorentina 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Napoli 4-0
3%
--
Fiorentina 2-0
3%
--
Napoli 4-1
2%
--
Napoli 3-2
2%
--
Fiorentina 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
82%
--
Away/draw
42%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
75%
--
Away DNB
35%
--
Napoli win to nil
36%
--
Fiorentina win to nil
10%
--
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Napoli have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Serie A league table. Napoli are unbeaten at home after 9 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Napoli have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Napoli have played 9 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Fiorentina are in 18th position in the Serie A on 14 points having played 20 matches so far this season. Fiorentina are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 7 and won 2. Fiorentina have conceded 29 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Napoli
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2015142646 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 22
l
 
3-0A
2
Milan2012711743 
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
3
Napoli2012441340 
-
-
l
 
1-3A
Jan 31
4
Juventus2011631639 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
May 17
5
Roma2013071239 
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
May 3
6
Como 1907209741234 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
l
 
1-2F
Feb 15
7
Atalanta21885632 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 22
May 24
l
 
2-0A
8
Bologna20866730 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
9
Lazio20776528 
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
10
Udinese20758-1026 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-1F
Mar 1
11
Torino20659-1123 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
Feb 7
d
 
0-00-0
12
Sassuolo20659-423 
Jan 17
w
 
0-2F
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
13
Cremonese20578-822 
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
14
Parma20578-822 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
15
Genoa20479-719 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 7
May 10
d
 
2-2A
16
Cagliari20479-919 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
Jan 24
d
 
1-1F
17
Lecce204511-1517 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
18
Fiorentina202810-1014 
Jan 31
w
 
1-3F
-
-
19
Pisa211119-1514 
w
 
3-2F
May 17
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
20
Verona202711-1713 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
l
 
1-2A
Apr 4
Win / draw / win form
Napoli 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Fiorentina 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Napoli since 2015
Napoli
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
22
11
Games: Scored
9 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
2 / 11
NAP
7
D
1
FIO
3
League games at Fiorentina since 2014
Fiorentina
Napoli
Goals: Scored
14
21
Games: Scored
7 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
5 / 12
NAP
6
D
5
FIO
1
Goal Statistics
Napoli 3rd Fiorentina 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
There is a 82% probability that Napoli will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Fiorentina scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Napoli have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-14
Fiorentina have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
NAP
FIO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
NAP
FIO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Napoli v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20635
G LorenzoR HöjlundM PolitanoJ Jesus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Lorenzo DEF2011
1
-
M Politano FWD203
1
-
S McTominay MID1953
1
-
E Elmas MID171
1
-
N Lang FWD1712
2
-
V Milinković-Savić GLK16
-
A Buongiorno DEF161
1
-
L Spinazzola DEF1622
1
-
S Lobotka MID161
1
-
R Höjlund FWD1662
1
-
L Lucca FWD161
1
-
D Neres  FWD1633
3
-
A Rrahmani DEF131
2
-
J Jesus DEF13
5
-
M Olivera DEF12
2
-
M Gutiérrez DEF11
-
F Anguissa MID1141
1
-
S Beukema DEF101
2
-
B Gilmour MID91
1
-
K Bruyne MID84
1
-
P Mazzocchi  DEF5
1
A Meret GLK4
-
A Vergara MID3
-
G Ambrosino FWD3
-
L. Marianucci DEF21
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20537
D GeaR Mandragora N FagioliM Pongracic 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK20
-
Dodô DEF201
3
-
R Mandragora  MID205
4
-
M Kean FWD1951
3
-
L Ranieri DEF181
5
-
M Pongracic  DEF18
7
-
A Gudmundsson FWD1842
3
-
N Fagioli MID173
4
-
C Ndour MID161
1
-
R Piccoli FWD161
-
S Sohm MID151
2
-
N. Fortini DEF14
-
P. Comuzzo DEF141
-
R Gosens DEF132
2
-
F Parisi DEF121
4
-
P Marí DEF11
3
-
H Caviglia MID111
4
-
E Dzeko FWD11
1
-
M Viti DEF10
2
1
J Fazzini MID10
-
E. Kouadio DEF3
-
T Lamptey  DEF2
-
A Richardson MID2
-
C Kouamé FWD2
-
A Sabiri MID1
-