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Alverca v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca,

Alverca and Casa Pia meet at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca on Sunday afternoon, with both Custódio André Gune and João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira hoping for success in the Liga NOS. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our expansive database and found the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

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Alverca's next match is v Nacional at 15:30 on Saturday 18th April
Casa Pia's next match is v Santa Clara at 18:00 on Saturday 18th April
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Alverca and Casa Pia was on Sunday 12th April 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 12th 2026
Alverca 3
1 Casa Pia
 
L. Figueiredo dos Santos 49'1' J. Freitas Silva Marques
Chiquinho 63'
R. Simião Gomes 83'
 
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
9
11
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
10
15
 
AlvercaCasa Pia
 
N. Zoubdi Touaizi
K. Marques Naves
S. Gómez Solà
I. James
Chiquinhofootball icon (Z. Kessary 90')
Matheus Mendes
N. Meupiyou Menadjou
L. Oliveira dos Santos (D. Gui 90')
R. Simião Gomesfootball icon (V. Silva Moreira 87')
L. Figueiredo dos Santosfootball icon (C. Nuozzi 87')
S. Cesar (M. Milovanović 75')
P. Sequeira Mejías
D. Bandeira
J. Goulart Silva
R. Brito
(L. Ofori 69') football iconJ. Freitas Silva Marques
(A. Geraldes de Barros 82') David Sousa
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
P. Silva Rosas
(I. Mohamed 69') S. Pérez Cardona
(D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario 68') J. Livolant
(C. Mendes Vicente 58') C. Dias Moreira

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Alverca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alverca
48%
43/501/1000
Draw
26%
12/5125/1
Casa Pia
26%
16/51/50
Alverca 1-0
13%
11/219/4
Draw 1-1
12%
11/26/5
Alverca 2-0
9%
15/27/1
Alverca 2-1
9%
8/12/5
Draw 0-0
9%
15/27/1
Casa Pia 1-0
9%
10/121/10
Casa Pia 2-1
6%
14/119/4
Draw 2-2
4%
16/15/1
Alverca 3-0
4%
14/112/1
Alverca 3-1
4%
16/11/4
Casa Pia 2-0
4%
20/15/1
Alverca 3-2
2%
28/113/2
Casa Pia 3-1
2%
33/120/1
Alverca 4-0
2%
33/122/1
Alverca 4-1
2%
33/16/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
11/103/5
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
7/106/5
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/613/20
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/413/8
No 1st Goal
5%
15/213/2
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/207/10
BTTS - No
52%
4/521/20
BTTS - Home Win
19%
7/21/1000
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/440/1
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8/1125/1
Home/draw
74%
2/91/50
Away/draw
52%
10/1190/1
Home/away
74%
3/101/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
4/111/3
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
2/121/10
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
11/417/10
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/42/5
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/17/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/121/16
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/145/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
15/27/1
Home DNB
66%
4/111/500
Away DNB
44%
2/1125/1
Alverca win to nil
29%
2/1-
Casa Pia win to nil
15%
6/1-
Alverca / Alverca
27%
21/1060/1
Alverca / Casa Pia
3%
33/190/1
Alverca / Draw
6%
14/1100/1
Draw / Alverca
17%
15/418/1
Draw / Casa Pia
10%
15/228/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/120/1
Casa Pia / Alverca
3%
25/15/1
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
12%
6/14/6
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/15/2
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Alverca have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Alverca have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Alverca have played 14 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 20 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 25 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 9 and won 3. Casa Pia have conceded 45 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alverca
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2924414576 
l
 
0-3A
May 3
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
2
S. Lisbon2822515671 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica2920904369 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
4
Braga2815762852 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
Apr 23
l
 
4-0A
5
Famalicao2913881147 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Gil Vicente29121071446 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
7
Estoril2910712137 
May 10
l
 
4-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
8
V. Guimaraes2910613-836 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
10
Alverca299812-1535 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1F
11
Rio Ave298912-1733 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
May 17
l
 
3-1A
12
Arouca299515-2132 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
13
Santa Clara297715-1128 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
14
Estrela Amadora2961013-1528 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-5F
l
 
4-0A
15
Nacional296716-1025 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Casa Pia2851013-2425 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
-
-
17
Tondela284915-2521 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
May 3
w
 
1-2A
18
AVS291919-4312 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Alverca 10TH
14 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
10 / 14
Conceded
9 / 14
Clean sheets
5 / 14
Failed to score
4 / 14
Won
5
Draw
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca1 - 4S. Lisbon
Alverca0 - 0AVS
Alverca1 - 1Santa Clara
Alverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Alverca2 - 1Moreirense
Alverca1 - 0Famalicao
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Alverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Alverca0 - 3Braga
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlverca2 - 1Rio Ave
HAlverca1 - 4S. Lisbon
AAlverca2 - 2Gil Vicente
HAlverca0 - 0AVS
AAlverca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HAlverca1 - 1Santa Clara
AAlverca1 - 1Tondela
AAlverca1 - 2Benfica
HAlverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
AAlverca0 - 5Braga
HAlverca2 - 1Moreirense
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
Casa Pia 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora4 - 0Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 0Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
Tondela1 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara1 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia1 - 1Benfica
ACasa Pia0 - 4Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 0Estoril
HCasa Pia1 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia0 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia3 - 2Arouca
ACasa Pia0 - 0Nacional
HCasa Pia2 - 1Porto
HCasa Pia3 - 3AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 3Rio Ave
HCasa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia2 - 1Tondela
HCasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia0 - 1Santa Clara
HCasa Pia0 - 2Alverca
ACasa Pia2 - 2Benfica
HCasa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Casa Pia of late. It has been 5 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Alverca.

Alverca 10th Casa Pia 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Alverca will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Casa Pia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
14 home / away league games
-21
Alverca have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-39
Casa Pia have scored 39% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Alverca
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.5
1
Attack rating
15%
better
view stats
Games scored21
15
Failed to score7
12
Scored first10
7
Goals scored29
27
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game8
6
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
22
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first17
17
Goals conceded46
49
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+3%

Alverca v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27857
K NavesM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Mendes GLK4
1
-
K Naves DEF271
6
1
S Gómez DEF25
1
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF26
4
1
Zoubdi MID2813
5
-
Rhaldney MID91
2
-
Lincoln MID2525
5
-
I. James MID162
3
-
L Figueiredo FWD2252
2
-
S. Cesar FWD2452
1
1
Chiquinho FWD1623
3
-
Subs
M Mateusão GLK
1
-
S Baseya DEF9
1
-
D. Spencer Marques DEF3
-
D. Gui MID2311
3
-
V. Silva Moreira MID12
1
-
Z. Kessary MID1
-
M Milovanovic FWD2882
3
-
C. Nuozzi FWD231
-
M. Clairicia FWD8
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
285812
J LivolantCassianoJ LivolantD Sousa 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Sequeira GLK23
3
1
J Goulart DEF191
3
-
D Sousa  DEF202
12
-
D. Bandeira DEF10
5
-
G Larrazabal MID2734
5
-
S Pérez MID22
5
-
R Brito MID2021
3
-
P. Silva Rosas MID4
-
J Livolant FWD2838
2
-
Cassiano FWD275
5
-
J Marques FWD81
1
-
Subs
I Mandic GLK
-
A Geraldes DEF22
5
-
K Rocha DEF61
-
I Mohamed MID171
4
-
L Ofori MID6
1
-
T Morais FWD18
1
-
Claudio FWD91
1
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD18
2
-
K. Prieto Machado FWD8
-