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Benfica v Alverca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

It's an away match for Custódio André Gune's Alverca side on Sunday night, as they visit the Estádio da Luz for a Liga NOS clash with José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho's Benfica. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a sound selection is laid out below. Switch between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for each one.

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Benfica's next match is v Santa Clara at 18:30 on Friday 13th February
Alverca's next match is v Tondela at 20:45 on Friday 13th February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Benfica and Alverca was on Sunday 8th February 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 8th 2026
Benfica 2
1 Alverca
 
A. Schjelderup 16'30' L. Figueiredo dos Santos
A. Fernandes Reis Cabral 86'
 
BEF
Shots On
10
2
Shots Off
9
2
Corners
9
1
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
11
18
Yellow/red cards
4/0
3/0
 
BenficaAlverca
 
A. Trubin
F. Aursnes
V. Pavlidis (A. Tavares Silva 88')
S. Lopes Cabral (H. Sudakov 73')
S. Dahl
N. Otamendi
T. Araújo
A. Schjelderupfootball icon (A. Fernandes Reis Cabral 85')
G. Prestianni Gross (A. Tué Na Bangna 85')
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva (E. Barrenechea 88')
L. Barreiro Martins
N. Zoubdi Touaizi
K. Marques Naves
S. Gómez Solà
(M. Clairicia 81') M. Milovanović
(F. Garcia Andrade 46') Chiquinho
V. Silva Moreira
Matheus Mendes
(I. James 88') N. Meupiyou Menadjou
F. Chissumba Rodrigues
(R. Simião Gomes 71') L. Oliveira dos Santos
(C. Nuozzi 81') football iconL. Figueiredo dos Santos

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

A Liga NOS home win for José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho's Benfica side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest they have what it takes, and they should be too strong for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers suggest the same, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Benfica win is our recommendation, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
72%
3/201/200
Draw
17%
11/225/1
8%
Alverca
11%
14/1750/1
Benfica 2-0
12%
11/24/1
14%
Benfica 1-0
10%
8/1
7%
15/2
17%
Benfica 2-1
9%
9/14/7
6%
Benfica 3-0
9%
6/14/1
8%
Draw 1-1
8%
12/121/20
Benfica 3-1
7%
10/1
8%
12/5
9%
Benfica 4-0
6%
9/16/1
Benfica 4-1
4%
14/111/1
13%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
42%
Draw 2-2
4%
25/110/1
12%
Alverca 1-0
3%
28/118/1
21%
Alverca 2-1
3%
33/112/1
10%
Benfica 3-2
3%
28/120/1
12%
Benfica 5-0
3%
16/110/1
20%
Benfica 5-1
2%
25/1
10%
45/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/9
1%
7/10
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
17/10
4%
21/20
16%
Home 1st Goal
60%
1/41/5
2%
Away 1st Goal
37%
3/14/1
5%
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
13%
12/1
25%
BTTS - Yes
50%
11/10
8%
13/10
13%
BTTS - No
50%
4/6
6%
11/20
6%
BTTS - Home Win
32%
15/8
3%
1/33
14%
BTTS - Draw
13%
15/2
6%
10/1
6%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
22/1
15%
55/1
10%
Home/draw
89%
1/331/1000
Away/draw
28%
7/218/1
6%
Home/away
83%
1/91/1000
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/81/18
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5/18/1
19%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
11/10
7%
4/1
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
4/6
6%
1/7
13%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
5/228/1
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/71/1000
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
6/1
13%
90/1
24%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/10
2%
1/1000
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/66
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
12%
12/1
42%
Home DNB
84%
1/201/1000
1%
Away DNB
23%
10/155/1
Benfica win to nil
41%
5/6
8%
-
Alverca win to nil
5%
20/1
12%
-
Benfica / Benfica
52%
8/1311/2
5%
Benfica / Alverca
1%
50/160/1
9%
Benfica / Draw
4%
20/133/1
10%
Draw / Benfica
20%
3/17/10
8%
Draw / Alverca
3%
25/1
15%
8/1
Draw / Draw
8%
9/116/5
19%
Alverca / Benfica
4%
18/133/1
Alverca / Alverca
4%
25/128/1
Alverca / Draw
3%
25/1
10%
33/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten in 18 games against teams below them in the league and kept 10 clean sheets out of 18 games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 5 and lost no matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 42 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Alverca are in 10th position in the Liga NOS on 24 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 0 and won 3. Alverca have conceded 26 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Alverca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2018113555 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-3A
May 3
2
S. Lisbon2016314351 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
3
Benfica2114703249 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
4
Braga2111642639 
May 10
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 2
l
 
0-4A
Mar 15
6
Estoril21867830 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
May 10
l
 
4-1A
7
Moreirense21939-230 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
8
Famalicao20857529 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
w
 
1-0F
May 17
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
Mar 22
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
Feb 28
10
Alverca217311-1524 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
-
-
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
12
Arouca216510-2023 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 15
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
13
Nacional215610-321 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 13
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
17
Tondela213513-2114 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Feb 13
18
AVS200515-375 
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
3
Benfica have won 3 consecutive home league games
3
Alverca have lost 3 consecutive away league games
35
Benfica have not lost in 35 consecutive league games
3
Benfica have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Benfica
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
35
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Benfica1 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 2Braga
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica0 - 0Tondela
HBenfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica2 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica2 - 2Braga
HBenfica1 - 0Famalicao
ABenfica4 - 0Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
HBenfica1 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica2 - 1Alverca
HBenfica3 - 0Tondela
ABenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Alverca
9 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
6 / 9
Conceded
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
Failed to score
3 / 9
Won
2
D
1
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga5 - 0Alverca
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Casa Pia0 - 2Alverca
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AVS1 - 3Alverca
Santa Clara2 - 1Alverca
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Moreirense2 - 1Alverca
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
AAlverca0 - 5Braga
HAlverca2 - 1Moreirense
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
HAlverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAlverca1 - 2Santa Clara
HAlverca1 - 0Tondela
HAlverca1 - 2Benfica
AAlverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HAlverca0 - 3Braga
AAlverca1 - 2Moreirense
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, Alverca look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Benfica haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games, and it could be a long night for C. Gune's men.

Benfica Alverca
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Alverca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Benfica have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Alverca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Alverca
2.4
0.8
Attack rating
38%
better
BEF
view stats
Games scored18
14
Failed to score2
6
Scored first15
7
Goals scored42
20
Avg. goals scored2.1
1
Avg. shots per game12
7
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
14
Avg. XG for2.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
54%
better
BEF
view stats
Games conceded9
15
Clean sheets11
5
Conceded first3
13
Goals conceded11
34
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
5
Conversion rate against9%
19%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+54%

Benfica v Alverca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201946
N OtamendiV PavlidisV PavlidisE Barrenechea
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK19
-
S Cabral DEF511
1
-
T Araújo DEF151
2
-
N Otamendi DEF202
5
-
S Dahl DEF2111
2
-
L Barreiro MID2013
1
-
F Aursnes MID2133
1
-
G Prestianni MID1721
4
1
R Silva MID3
-
A Schjelderup MID1522
1
-
V Pavlidis FWD21194
2
-
Subs
D. Jesus Ferreira GLK
-
K. Anjos Pinto DEF
-
A Silva DEF14
3
-
E Barrenechea MID17
6
-
H Sudakov MID1842
2
-
Manu MID5
-
Bruma  FWD2
-
F Ivanovic FWD153
1
-
A. Fernandes Reis Cabral FWD32
-
Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20535
K NavesM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Mendes GLK2
1
-
K Naves DEF20
4
1
S Gómez DEF17
1
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF19
3
-
Zoubdi MID2112
4
-
V. Silva Moreira MID4
1
-
Lincoln MID1823
5
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues MID18
3
-
L Figueiredo FWD1421
2
-
M Milovanovic FWD2051
3
-
Chiquinho FWD81
3
-
Subs
M Mateusão GLK
1
-
I. James DEF91
2
-
D. Spencer Marques DEF
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF9
1
-
D. Gui MID1811
3
-
Rhaldney MID1
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD7
1
-
C. Nuozzi FWD191
-
M. Clairicia FWD3
-