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Estoril v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 20:30 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril and Benfica go head to head at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on Saturday night, with both Ian Cathro and Bruno Lage hoping for success in the Liga NOS. For every Liga NOS match preview, KickOff dives into the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

This one could be one way traffic and, unfortunately for the hosts, that way is Benfica's. We predict Saturday's visitors to Estádio António Coimbra da Mota will have too much for their hosts, and there's plenty of evidence to support that view in the sides' recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from bookies too. They've made an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely final result, and are willing to give a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 63% chance of Benfica coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
17%
9.50
19%
-
Draw
20%
7.50
25%
-
Benfica
62%
1.17
10%
-
Benfica 2-0
10%
7.00-
Benfica 2-1
10%
10.00
18%
-
Benfica 1-0
10%
9.50
12%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
15.00
25%
-
Benfica 3-0
7%
7.50
12%
-
Benfica 3-1
7%
11.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
29.00
38%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
21.00
11%
-
Estoril 2-1
5%
29.00
38%
-
Estoril 1-0
5%
26.00
24%
-
Benfica 4-0
4%
10.00
23%
-
Benfica 4-1
4%
15.00
12%
-
Benfica 3-2
3%
29.00
26%
-
Estoril 2-0
2%
51.00
24%
-
Benfica 4-2
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
1.40
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
2.88
20%
-
Home 1st Goal
41%
5.00
25%
-
Away 1st Goal
57%
1.17
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
21.00
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
2.00
3%
-
BTTS - No
45%
1.75
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
9%
17.00
31%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
10.00
33%
-
BTTS - Away Win
30%
2.62
5%
-
Home/draw
38%
4.50
32%
-
Away/draw
83%
1.06
2%
-
Home/away
80%
1.08
4%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.12
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
6.00
20%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.00
11%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.73
10%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
3.40
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.30
7%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
6.00
25%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.12
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.01
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
21.00
11%
-
Home DNB
31%
9.00
38%
-
Away DNB
77%
1.07
4%
-
Estoril win to nil
8%
19.00
27%
-
Benfica win to nil
33%
1.91
13%
-
Estoril / Estoril
4%
23.00
35%
-
Estoril / Benfica
4%
19.00-
Estoril / Draw
3%
26.00
24%
-
Draw / Estoril
4%
23.00
21%
-
Draw / Benfica
20%
4.00-
Draw / Draw
7%
11.00
29%
-
Benfica / Estoril
2%
51.00-
Benfica / Benfica
52%
1.57
14%
-
Benfica / Draw
4%
21.00
11%
-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Estoril have conceded 30 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 15 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Benfica lay in 2nd place on 75 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 24, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 80 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Benfica have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Benfica have played 15 away games, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3123625875 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
May 10
l
 
1-0A
2
Benfica Away3124345575 
May 3
l
 
3-0A
-
-
3
Braga3119752664 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2A
May 17
4
Porto3119572962 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
5
V. Guimaraes31131261251 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
6
Santa Clara3115511250 
l
 
1-4F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-1F
7
Famalicao3111119644 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
8
Estoril Home3111911-842 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
May 3
9
Casa Pia3111812-541 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
10
Moreirense319913-936 
d
 
2-2A
May 11
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
11
Nacional319616-1433 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
12
Arouca318914-1733 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
13
Rio Ave318914-1833 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
2-3F
14
Gil Vicente318815-1232 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
w
 
5-1A
w
 
0-3F
15
Estrela Amadora317816-1929 
May 17
w
 
2-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
16
AVS3141215-3224 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
w
 
6-0F
d
 
1-1F
17
Sporting Farense314918-2221 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
18
Boavista315620-3221 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
6
Benfica have won 6 consecutive away league games
6
Benfica have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Estoril 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril0 - 2Braga
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Estoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Boavista
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril2 - 2Moreirense
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril2 - 1Famalicao
Estoril0 - 0AVS
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Estoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Estoril0 - 0Gil Vicente
Estoril1 - 4Santa Clara
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Famalicao
Estoril0 - 1Braga
Estoril1 - 0Porto
Estoril1 - 0Portimonense
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril3 - 1Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 2Braga
AEstoril0 - 3Famalicao
AEstoril3 - 0AVS
HEstoril1 - 2Porto
AEstoril1 - 1Arouca
HEstoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
AEstoril1 - 3S. Lisbon
HEstoril2 - 1Rio Ave
AEstoril2 - 2Nacional
HEstoril2 - 1Boavista
AEstoril2 - 1Gil Vicente
HEstoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
AEstoril3 - 2Santa Clara
AEstoril4 - 2Estrela Amadora
HEstoril2 - 2Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 3Benfica
HEstoril0 - 2Casa Pia
AEstoril2 - 2Braga
HEstoril2 - 1Famalicao
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Gil Vicente0 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Santa Clara0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
S. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
AVS1 - 1Benfica
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 2Benfica
Boavista0 - 3Benfica
Moreirense1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Rio Ave1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 3Benfica
S. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica6 - 0AVS
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
ABenfica4 - 1Porto
HBenfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
ABenfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 2Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 0Nacional
HBenfica3 - 0Boavista
ABenfica1 - 0Santa Clara
HBenfica3 - 2Moreirense
ABenfica3 - 2Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 3Casa Pia
HBenfica4 - 0Famalicao
HBenfica1 - 2Braga
ABenfica0 - 1S. Lisbon
HBenfica3 - 0Estoril
ABenfica2 - 0Nacional
ABenfica1 - 1AVS
HBenfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Benfica have beaten Estoril in 6 consecutive league meetings
13
Benfica have not lost to Estoril in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
Benfica
Goals: Scored
4
12
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
D
1
BEF
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
0 - 1Benfica
1 - 5Benfica
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
1 - 2Benfica
League games at Benfica since 2015
Benfica
Estoril
Goals: Scored
18
4
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
BEF
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica3 - 0
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica1 - 0
Benfica2 - 1
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica2 - 1
Benfica4 - 0
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 8 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Estoril 8th Benfica 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Estoril scoring 1 goal or less
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Estoril have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-1
Benfica’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285325/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1
2.1
Attack rating
EST
BEF
40%
better
view stats
Games scored20
29
Failed to score11
2
Scored first13
24
Goals scored41
80
Avg. goals scored1.3
2.6
Avg. shots per game8
13
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
20
Avg. XG for1.1
2.3
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
EST
BEF
41%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
16
Clean sheets6
15
Conceded first15
7
Goals conceded49
25
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+41%

Estoril v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291048
P ÁlvaroA MarquésW. Cardoso PinaP Álvaro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Begraoui FWD3183
1
-
A Marqués FWD3010
1
-
P Álvaro DEF2911
8
-
W. Cardoso Pina DEF2924
5
1
J Robles GLK27
3
-
V Zanocelo MID271
7
-
P Amaral DEF262
3
-
K Boma DEF261
7
-
J Holsgrove MID2613
5
-
J Carvalho MID2563
4
1
F. Garcia Andrade FWD24
3
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD2442
3
-
J Orellana MID2211
2
-
F Bacher DEF2011
6
-
R Guitane MID183
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF17
1
-
G Costa DEF152
1
-
Xeka  MID1411
6
-
I. Salazar Piriz FWD11
-
E Mangala DEF9
4
-
K Chamorro GLK3
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291899
A TrubinV PavlidisK AktürkogluÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Pavlidis FWD31186
2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF3031
9
-
O Kökcü MID3076
6
-
A Trubin GLK29
1
-
N Otamendi DEF2852
2
-
F Aursnes MID2725
1
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD27109
2
-
T Araújo DEF2512
1
-
L Barreiro MID2531
5
-
Florentino MID2321
5
-
Z Amdouni FWD2372
1
-
Ángel Di María FWD2385
5
-
A Silva DEF2013
2
-
A Cabral FWD192
3
-
A Bah DEF181
3
-
A Schjelderup FWD1713
-
A Belotti FWD113
-
R Sanches  MID10
1
-
S Dahl DEF93
-
Bruma  FWD812
-
G Prestianni FWD8
1
-
L. Sousa Santos DEF3
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID3
-
Manu MID32
1
-
T Gouveia FWD311
1
-
S Soares GLK2
-
A Bajrami DEF1
-