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CD Nacional v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 01:00 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

We’ve Liga NOS action to enjoy on Sunday morning, as Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido and his CD Nacional side host Luís Miguel Correia Pinto’s Vitoria Guimaraes at the Estadio da Madeira. All of the important stats for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
47%
--
Draw
26%
--
V. Guimaraes
28%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Nacional 1-0
11%
--
Nacional 2-1
9%
--
Nacional 2-0
8%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Nacional 3-1
5%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
4%
--
Nacional 3-0
4%
--
Nacional 3-2
3%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
2%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
--
Nacional 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
52%
--
BTTS - No
48%
--
BTTS - Home Win
21%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
53%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
65%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
Nacional win to nil
26%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Nacional have conceded 37 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 7th place on 42 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored 32 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 15 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3227414985 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Benfica32221004776 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
3
S. Lisbon3122725573 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-4A
May 4
4
Braga3216972857 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
5
Famalicao32141081252 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
Gil Vicente32131181450 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
7
V. Guimaraes3112613-542 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
-
-
8
Moreirense3212614-1042 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
9
Estoril3210814-138 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
10
Alverca3210814-1638 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
11
Arouca3210616-2136 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
12
Rio Ave3281113-1935 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
13
Santa Clara328915-1033 
d
 
3-3A
May 10
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
14
Nacional328717-831 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
May 17
15
Estrela Amadora3261016-1828 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
16
Casa Pia3251116-2726 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
17
Tondela3251017-2825 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS3221119-4217 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional1 - 2AVS
Nacional1 - 0Alverca
Nacional2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional4 - 0Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Santa Clara
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional1 - 2AVS
ANacional2 - 0Tondela
HNacional1 - 0Alverca
ANacional0 - 2Benfica
HNacional2 - 0Estrela Amadora
ANacional0 - 1Famalicao
HNacional0 - 1Estoril
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional1 - 2Braga
ANacional0 - 3Arouca
HNacional0 - 1Porto
HNacional0 - 0Casa Pia
ANacional1 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
AVS1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Benfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Santa Clara2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Braga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Arouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Rio Ave
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1AVS
HV. Guimaraes5 - 0Tondela
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Arouca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 4Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
NAC
3
GUI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional1 - 0
Nacional1 - 0
1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional3 - 2
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Nacional
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
5 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
1 / 6
NAC
1
D
2
GUI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
V. Guimaraes3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
0 - 1Nacional
Goal Statistics

CD Nacional's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Vitoria Guimaraes have conceded in each of their last 6 Liga NOS games. A PG of 1.5 for T. Carvalho Margarido's side suggests that run should continue.

Nacional 14th V. Guimaraes 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
V. Guimaraes have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
NAC
GUI
6%
better
view stats
Games scored22
21
Failed to score10
10
Scored first12
14
Goals scored35
38
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
NAC
GUI
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
21
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first19
15
Goals conceded43
43
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%

Nacional v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3116512
ChuchuChuchuJ. Mendes GomesL Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Chuchu FWD3116
6
-
P Bóia FWD3142
5
-
L Santos DEF2932
12
-
Z Vitor DEF2941
8
2
M Dias MID291
6
1
Liziero  MID284
6
-
K Azarias GLK26
2
-
C. Abidi MID2611
7
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2515
2
-
Witi FWD241
3
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD21
2
1
A Duarte DEF1912
2
-
J Aurélio DEF19
2
-
J Silva MID18
1
-
L João FWD181
1
-
D Jr MID161
3
-
F Soares MID161
2
-
L Vallier DEF14
5
-
M Baeza MID141
1
-
A Sousa MID112
1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF8
2
-
L França GLK6
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28747
J MendesSamuG NogueiraJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mendes DEF2811
7
-
Beni MID2711
6
-
O. Camara FWD2752
2
-
Samu MID2673
4
-
T Arcanjo FWD261
1
2
N Oliveira FWD263
3
1
R Abascal DEF2512
4
-
A Ndoye FWD2221
2
-
Maga DEF21
5
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID2111
4
-
G Nogueira MID204
2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD2052
3
-
T Strata DEF1911
3
-
M. Mitrovic MID182
2
-
Charles GLK16
1
-
O Rivas DEF161
1
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
O Lebedenko DEF14
1
-
F Blanco FWD14
3
1
M Nóbrega DEF131
1
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF111
4
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-