FREE BETS	ODDS	RETURNS	BET
	-	-
	-	-

Arouca v Tondela : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th May, 18:00 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

It's an away match for Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira's Tondela side on Sunday morning, as they head to the Estadio Municipal de Arouca for a Liga NOS meeting with Vasco César Freire De Seabra's Arouca. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Arouca and Tondela will score at least a couple of goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Vasco César Freire De Seabra or Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 79% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arouca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Arouca 43%	11/5	17/10
Draw 24%	12/5	11/4
Tondela 33%	21/20	11/8
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	11/2
Arouca 2-1 9%	11/1	8/1
Arouca 1-0 8%	10/1	15/2
Tondela 2-1 8%	8/1	15/2
Tondela 1-0 7%	15/2	7/1
Arouca 2-0 7%	16/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 5%	11/1	10/1
Tondela 2-0 5%	10/1	9/1
Arouca 3-1 5%	25/1	16/1
Tondela 3-1 4%	16/1	14/1
Arouca 3-0 3%	33/1	20/1
Arouca 3-2 3%	28/1	22/1
Tondela 3-2 3%	22/1	18/1
Tondela 3-0 2%	20/1	16/1
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	17/20	4/5
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	19/20	19/20
Home 1st Goal 50%	6/5	21/20
Away 1st Goal 47%	4/5	10/11
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1	10/1
BTTS - Yes 59%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - No 41%	21/20	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 22%	5/1	19/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 18%	3/1	10/3
Home/draw 67%	7/10	4/7
Away/draw 57%	4/11	4/9
Home/away 76%	3/10	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	11/4	13/5
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	2/1	2/1
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	4/11	7/20
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	5/1	19/4
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/8	1/8
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	12/1	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/25	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	11/1	10/1
Home DNB 60%	5/4	1/1
Away DNB 50%	4/7	8/11
Arouca win to nil 20%	5/1	-
Tondela win to nil 15%	11/4	-
Arouca / Arouca 18%	4/1	3/1
Arouca / Tondela 4%	22/1	18/1
Arouca / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Arouca 11%	13/2	11/2
Draw / Tondela 14%	9/2	19/4
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	9/2
Tondela / Arouca 3%	28/1	20/1
Tondela / Tondela 23%	5/2	5/2
Tondela / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Arouca have outscored their opponents by 44 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Arouca have played 16 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 29 goals at home.

Tondela are in 17th position in the Liga NOS on 28 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 8 and won 6. Tondela have conceded 50 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 17 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Arouca Tondela
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	33	27	4	2	47	85	l 0-4A	l 3-1A	l 0-2A	l 2-0A
2	S. Lisbon	33	24	7	2	62	79	l 1-2A	l 6-0A	l 0-3A	d 2-2A
3	Benfica	33	22	11	0	47	77	l 1-2F	l 5-0A	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
4	Braga	33	16	10	7	28	58	l 0-4A	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	l 3-0A
5	Famalicao	33	14	11	8	12	53	d 1-1F	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	l 3-0A
6	Gil Vicente	33	13	11	9	12	50	d 2-2F	w 1-3F	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
7	V. Guimaraes	33	12	6	15	-10	42	w 3-2A	d 1-1A	l 0-1A	l 5-0A
8	Moreirense	33	12	6	15	-12	42	l 0-2A	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	l 1-0A
9	Estoril	33	10	9	14	-1	39	w 3-2A	l 4-3F	d 2-2A	d 2-2F
10	Alverca	33	10	9	14	-16	39	w 1-0F	l 2-1A	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
11	Arouca	33	11	6	16	-19	39	-	-	w 3-1A	May 16
12	Santa Clara	33	9	9	15	-8	36	d 2-2F	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F	w 1-2F
13	Rio Ave	33	8	11	14	-22	35	d 3-3F	w 0-3F	l 0-1A	l 3-0A
14	Nacional	33	8	7	18	-10	31	w 3-0F	w 1-2A	l 0-2A	l 3-1F
15	Estrela Amadora	33	6	11	16	-18	29	w 1-0F	l 3-1A	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F
16	Casa Pia	33	6	11	16	-26	29	l 0-2A	l 3-2F	l 1-2F	w 0-1F
17	Tondela	33	6	10	17	-26	28	May 16	l 3-1F	-	-
18	AVS	33	3	11	19	-40	20	w 3-1F	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca	2 - 2	Santa Clara
Arouca	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Arouca	3 - 2	Estoril
Arouca	1 - 2	Benfica
Arouca	3 - 0	Nacional
Arouca	3 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Arouca	1 - 2	S. Lisbon
Arouca	2 - 2	Gil Vicente
Arouca	1 - 0	Alverca
Arouca	0 - 4	Braga
Arouca	0 - 2	Moreirense
Arouca	1 - 1	Famalicao
Arouca	0 - 4	Porto
Arouca	0 - 2	Casa Pia
Arouca	3 - 3	Rio Ave
Arouca	3 - 1	AVS
Arouca	4 - 1	Boavista
Arouca	0 - 0	Casa Pia
Arouca	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Arouca	1 - 2	Famalicao

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Arouca	3 - 1	Gil Vicente
H	Arouca	2 - 2	Santa Clara
A	Arouca	1 - 2	Alverca
H	Arouca	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
A	Arouca	0 - 1	Braga
H	Arouca	3 - 2	Estoril
A	Arouca	1 - 0	Moreirense
H	Arouca	1 - 2	Benfica
A	Arouca	0 - 1	Famalicao
A	Arouca	1 - 3	Porto
H	Arouca	3 - 0	Nacional
A	Arouca	2 - 3	Casa Pia
H	Arouca	3 - 2	V. Guimaraes
A	Arouca	3 - 0	Rio Ave
H	Arouca	1 - 2	S. Lisbon
A	Arouca	1 - 0	AVS
A	Arouca	1 - 3	Tondela
H	Arouca	2 - 2	Gil Vicente
A	Arouca	0 - 0	Santa Clara
H	Arouca	1 - 0	Alverca

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia	0 - 1	Tondela
S. Lisbon	2 - 2	Tondela
Porto	2 - 0	Tondela
V. Guimaraes	5 - 0	Tondela
Estrela Amadora	0 - 2	Tondela
Estoril	2 - 2	Tondela
Famalicao	3 - 0	Tondela
Moreirense	1 - 0	Tondela
Nacional	3 - 1	Tondela
Gil Vicente	0 - 1	Tondela
AVS	2 - 2	Tondela
Rio Ave	3 - 0	Tondela
Santa Clara	1 - 2	Tondela
Alverca	1 - 0	Tondela
Benfica	3 - 0	Tondela
Braga	3 - 0	Tondela
Gil Vicente	3 - 0	Tondela
P. Ferreira	1 - 1	Tondela
Moreirense	2 - 0	Tondela
Maratimo	1 - 3	Tondela

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Tondela	2 - 0	Moreirense
A	Tondela	1 - 0	Casa Pia
A	Tondela	2 - 2	S. Lisbon
H	Tondela	0 - 2	Nacional
A	Tondela	0 - 2	Porto
H	Tondela	2 - 2	Gil Vicente
A	Tondela	0 - 5	V. Guimaraes
H	Tondela	0 - 0	AVS
H	Tondela	0 - 1	Rio Ave
H	Tondela	2 - 2	Santa Clara
A	Tondela	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	Tondela	1 - 1	Alverca
A	Tondela	2 - 2	Estoril
H	Tondela	0 - 0	Benfica
A	Tondela	0 - 3	Famalicao
H	Tondela	0 - 1	Braga
A	Tondela	0 - 1	Moreirense
H	Tondela	3 - 1	Arouca
H	Tondela	1 - 2	Casa Pia
A	Tondela	1 - 3	Nacional

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Arouca

Tondela

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

ARO

CDT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
Arouca	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Tondela
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Tondela

Arouca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

1 / 4

ARO

CDT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
Tondela	3 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Arouca
	0 - 1	Arouca

Goal Statistics

	Arouca 11th	Tondela 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Arouca will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+19 Arouca have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted	-18 Tondela have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season

34%

better

ARO

CDT

view stats

Games scored	24		15
Failed to score	9		18
Scored first	16		11
Goals scored	44		26
Avg. goals scored	1.3		0.8
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		10
Conversion rate for	16		10
Avg. XG for	1		1.3
KickOff rating		+34%

ARO

CDT

better

view stats

Games conceded	26		26
Clean sheets	7		7
Conceded first	16		19
Goals conceded	63		52
Avg. goals conceded	1.9		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		6
Conversion rate against	20%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.6
KickOff rating		+5%

Arouca v Tondela Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	8	4	11
N Djouahra	A Trezza	T Esgaio	J Fontán

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Djouahra FWD	33	6	3	2 -
T Fukui MID	32	3	3	2 1
A Trezza FWD	31	8	3	2 1
J Fontán DEF	30	2	3	8 3
Barbero FWD	30	8	2	5 -
H. Lee MID	29	6	3	6 2
T Esgaio DEF	28	3	4	10 -
P Gozálbez MID	27	1	2	4 -
M Puche FWD	27	1	1	4 -
E. van Ee MID	25	2	1	7 -
D Nandin FWD	20	1	1	2 1
B Mansilla FWD	20		1	1 -
B Popovic DEF	17	1		3 -
A Dante DEF	17			-
P Santos MID	15			4 -
B Pinto MID	12			3 -
M Rocha DEF	11			4 2
M. Flores Lozano MID	11			2 -
A Solà DEF	10		1	1 -
J Valido GLK	9			-
N Mantl GLK	8			-
O. Fayed DEF	7			2 -
D Monteiro DEF	7			1 -
A Pinto DEF	7			2 1
R Jansonas FWD	2			-
J. Vinarčík GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	4	5
A Trezza	Barbero	T Esgaio	N Djouahra

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Trezza FWD	8	17	3	4
Barbero FWD	8	21	2	2
N Djouahra FWD	6	19	3	5
H. Lee MID	6	10	3	3
T Fukui MID	3	7	3	1
T Esgaio DEF	3	5	4	5
J Fontán DEF	2	4	3	5
E. van Ee MID	2	6	1	3
P Gozálbez MID	1	8	2	5
M Puche FWD	1	7	1
D Nandin FWD	1	8	1	3
B Popovic DEF	1	2
B Mansilla FWD		1	1	1
A Dante DEF		2		1
B Pinto MID		1		1
A Solà DEF			1	1
O. Fayed DEF				1
D Monteiro DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1894	53	135
J Fontán	T Fukui	T Esgaio

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Fontán DEF	1894	30	113
T Fukui MID	1221	53	123
T Esgaio DEF	985	29	135
E. van Ee MID	952	51	113
N Djouahra FWD	814	30	70
H. Lee MID	639	11	105
B Popovic DEF	622	11	37
P Santos MID	572	18	38
M Rocha DEF	561	9	32
B Pinto MID	424	14	38
A Trezza FWD	370	36	81
A Dante DEF	329	24	42
O. Fayed DEF	314	19	35
Barbero FWD	312	27	80
J Valido GLK	296	3	8
P Gozálbez MID	279	22	65
A Solà DEF	235	8	25
N Mantl GLK	228		2
M Puche FWD	227	13	47
D Nandin FWD	136	14	61
A Pinto DEF	115	5	17
M. Flores Lozano MID	101	4	10
D Monteiro DEF	93	7	20
B Mansilla FWD	86	11	31
J. Vinarčík GLK	24
R Jansonas FWD	9		3

Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	6	2	11
B Fontes	P Henryque	P Henryque	B Medina

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Fontes GLK	33			2 -
P Henryque FWD	32	6	2	6 -
C Marques DEF	30			6 -
J. Rodríguez López MID	28			3 -
T. Silva Manso DEF	27	1	1	7 -
S Sithole MID	26	1		6 -
B Medina DEF	25		1	9 2
H. Sequeira MID	25		1	1 -
J Hodge MID	25	1	1	2 -
Bebeto DEF	24	3		5 -
Jordan FWD	22	1		3 -
E Maviram DEF	20	2	2	4 -
H Tavares MID	20			1 1
C. Alves Santana MID	17	1	1	4 -
M. Sie Ouattara FWD	16			1 -
R Lopes FWD	15	3	2	3 -
I Cavaleiro FWD	13	2		1 -
J Afonso DEF	12			3 -
Y. Augusto FWD	11			-
J. Rodriguez FWD	9	1		1 -
A Rodrigues FWD	7			1 -
Xabi Huarte MID	5			-
R Vita DEF	4			2 -
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	25	2	4
P Henryque	P Henryque	P Henryque	P Henryque

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Henryque FWD	6	25	2	4
Bebeto DEF	3	3		2
R Lopes FWD	3	9	2	4
E Maviram DEF	2	4	2	3
I Cavaleiro FWD	2	4		3
T. Silva Manso DEF	1	7	1	3
S Sithole MID	1	2
J Hodge MID	1	5	1	2
Jordan FWD	1	9
C. Alves Santana MID	1	3	1	1
J. Rodriguez FWD	1	3
C Marques DEF		1		1
J. Rodríguez López MID		1		1
B Medina DEF		4	1	1
H. Sequeira MID		8	1	2
M. Sie Ouattara FWD		1		2
Y. Augusto FWD		3		2
A Rodrigues FWD		1
Xabi Huarte MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1139	71	142
C Marques	Bebeto	B Medina

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Marques DEF	1139	35	85
B Fontes GLK	952	4	21
B Medina DEF	834	61	142
J. Rodríguez López MID	733	40	88
Bebeto DEF	716	71	125
S Sithole MID	672	35	74
P Henryque FWD	566	40	133
J Hodge MID	562	32	44
T. Silva Manso DEF	509	38	82
C. Alves Santana MID	507	20	65
H. Sequeira MID	504	10	58
E Maviram DEF	452	18	51
R Lopes FWD	321	19	39
J Afonso DEF	258	13	41
I Cavaleiro FWD	234	5	35
Jordan FWD	207	6	58
H Tavares MID	186	15	37
M. Sie Ouattara FWD	140	3	36
R Vita DEF	95	4	9
Y. Augusto FWD	77	7	26
Xabi Huarte MID	33	5	7
J. Rodriguez FWD	30	5	14
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID	30	3	6
A Rodrigues FWD	27	3	12

Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds

Braga v Estrela Amadora

Sat 16th May, 18:00

Arouca v Tondela

Sat 16th May, 18:00

Nacional v V. Guimaraes

Sat 16th May, 18:00

Casa Pia v Rio Ave

Sat 16th May, 18:00

S. Lisbon v Gil Vicente

Arouca v Tondela : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arouca have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Tondela are in 17th position in the Liga NOS on 28 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Arouca v Tondela Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

About.

Betting offers

Betting Tips

Key Competitions