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Casa Pia v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th May, 18:00 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira and Sotiris Silaidopoulos meet in the Liga NOS on Sunday morning, as Casa Pia face Rio Ave at the Estádio Pina Manique. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. You can access it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Casa Pia and Rio Ave will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira or Sotiris Silaidopoulos has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Casa Pia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
51%
4/74/5
Draw
25%
14/529/10
Rio Ave
24%
4/116/5
Draw 1-1
12%
13/26/1
Casa Pia 1-0
12%
7/16/1
Casa Pia 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Casa Pia 2-0
9%
15/27/1
Rio Ave 1-0
7%
14/110/1
Draw 0-0
7%
12/19/1
Rio Ave 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Casa Pia 3-1
5%
12/111/1
Casa Pia 3-0
5%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Rio Ave 2-0
4%
25/116/1
Casa Pia 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Rio Ave 3-1
2%
40/122/1
Casa Pia 4-1
2%
22/120/1
Casa Pia 4-0
2%
22/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
8/113/4
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
43/4019/20
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/154/7
Away 1st Goal
42%
8/513/8
No 1st Goal
5%
12/19/1
BTTS - Yes
51%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
49%
1/119/20
BTTS - Home Win
22%
12/55/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/26/1
Home/draw
76%
1/62/9
Away/draw
49%
5/41/1
Home/away
75%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/91/4
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3/127/10
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
7/419/10
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/54/11
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/72/15
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
12/19/1
Home DNB
68%
1/41/3
Away DNB
42%
11/421/10
Casa Pia win to nil
29%
2/1-
Rio Ave win to nil
13%
8/1-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
31%
8/58/5
Casa Pia / Rio Ave
3%
33/125/1
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Casa Pia
17%
15/419/5
Draw / Rio Ave
8%
9/18/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Rio Ave / Casa Pia
4%
20/116/1
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
11%
7/15/1
Rio Ave / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 10 and won 4. Casa Pia have conceded 51 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 14 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Casa Pia have played 16 games at home, winning 2, drawing 8 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Rio Ave lay in 13th place on 35 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Rio Ave have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Rio Ave have played 16 away games, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3327424785 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon3324726279 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-4F
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica33221104777 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
4
Braga33161072858 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
5
Famalicao33141181253 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
6
Gil Vicente33131191250 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
7
V. Guimaraes3312615-1042 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
8
Moreirense3312615-1242 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
9
Estoril3310914-139 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-4A
w
 
1-2A
10
Alverca3310914-1639 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
11
Arouca3311616-1939 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-3A
d
 
3-3A
12
Santa Clara339915-836 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
13
Rio Ave3381114-2235 
May 16
l
 
3-1A
-
-
14
Nacional338718-1031 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
15
Estrela Amadora3361116-1829 
l
 
3-5F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
16
Casa Pia3361116-2629 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
May 16
17
Tondela3361017-2628 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS3331119-4020 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
5
Casa Pia have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
3
Casa Pia have failed to score in 3 consecutive home league games
Casa Pia 16TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Rio Ave 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Casa Pia since 2022
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
4
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
2
D
1
League games at Rio Ave since 2023
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
7
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
D
2
RIO
2
Goal Statistics
Casa Pia 16th Rio Ave 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Casa Pia will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Casa Pia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Rio Ave’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.6
1
Attack rating
RIO
11%
better
view stats
Games scored18
20
Failed to score15
13
Scored first9
12
Goals scored30
34
Avg. goals scored0.9
1
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
RIO
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
27
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first20
18
Goals conceded56
56
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+1%

Casa Pia v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
326813
G LarrazabalCassianoJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Larrazabal DEF3244
6
-
J Livolant FWD3238
3
1
Cassiano FWD316
5
1
P Sequeira GLK28
3
1
A Geraldes DEF26
8
-
S Pérez MID26
5
-
D Sousa  DEF252
13
-
J Goulart DEF241
4
-
R Brito MID2421
5
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD23
2
-
A Conté DEF212
1
-
I Mohamed MID211
5
-
T Morais FWD19
2
-
J Fonte DEF181
3
-
R. Nhaga MID182
4
-
O Osundina FWD172
1
-
Claudio FWD131
1
1
M Sousa MID122
3
-
D. Bandeira DEF11
5
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF10
2
-
K. Prieto Machado MID10
1
-
K Nsona  FWD1011
-
Y Oukili MID8
2
-
K Rocha DEF61
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
X Severina FWD5
1
-
R Batista GLK4
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-
K Silva FWD1
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301059
M Vrousai ClaytonA LuizA Ndoj
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF3112
4
1
O Pohlmann MID3011
1
-
A Ndoj DEF2912
9
-
D Spikic FWD2923
1
-
N Abby DEF261
4
-
T. Nikitscher MID2611
5
1
J Brabec DEF2411
4
-
G Liavas MID241
2
-
F. Petrasso DEF23
6
1
C Miszta GLK21
5
-
A. Papakanellos MID20
1
-
B Aguilera MID191
4
-
A Luiz FWD1975
3
-
Clayton FWD19104
7
1
J Tomé DEF18
2
-
N Athanasiou DEF171
1
-
J Panzo DEF14
3
1
O Richards DEF13
2
-
M Gual FWD10
-
J Graça MID8
1
-
J DEF6
1
-
K. Zoabi FWD5
2
-
K Chamorro GLK3
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF3
-
T. Bakoulas MID3
-
R. Genuino Lobato FWD2
-
T. Medina FWD1
-