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Casa Pia v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 01:00 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

Rio Ave, led by manager Sotiris Silaidopoulos, visit João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira and his Casa Pia side at the Estádio Pina Manique on Sunday morning in the Liga NOS. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
45%
--
Draw
26%
--
Rio Ave
29%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
11%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
9%
--
Rio Ave 1-0
9%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Rio Ave 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Rio Ave 2-0
5%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
4%
--
Casa Pia 3-0
4%
--
Rio Ave 3-1
3%
--
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
--
Rio Ave 3-2
2%
--
Rio Ave 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
51%
--
BTTS - No
49%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
71%
--
Away/draw
55%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
48%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
25%
--
Rio Ave win to nil
16%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 10 and won 3. Casa Pia have conceded 51 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 14 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Casa Pia have played 16 games at home, winning 2, drawing 8 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Rio Ave lay in 12th place on 35 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 19 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Rio Ave have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Rio Ave have played 16 away games, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3227414985 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
2
Benfica32221004776 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
3
S. Lisbon3122725573 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
May 10
l
 
4-0A
4
Braga3216972857 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
5
Famalicao32141081252 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
6
Gil Vicente32131181450 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
7
V. Guimaraes3112613-542 
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
8
Moreirense3212614-1042 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
9
Estoril3210814-138 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-4A
w
 
1-2A
10
Alverca3210814-1638 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
11
Arouca3210616-2136 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-3A
d
 
3-3A
12
Rio Ave3281113-1935 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
-
-
13
Santa Clara328915-1033 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
14
Nacional328717-831 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
15
Estrela Amadora3261016-1828 
l
 
3-5F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
16
Casa Pia3251116-2726 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
May 17
17
Tondela3251017-2825 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS3221119-4217 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Casa Pia 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
Rio Ave 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Casa Pia since 2022
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
4
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
2
D
1
League games at Rio Ave since 2023
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
7
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
D
2
RIO
2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Casa Pia of late. It has been 9 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against Rio Ave.

Casa Pia 16th Rio Ave 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Casa Pia will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Casa Pia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Rio Ave’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
RIO
12%
better
view stats
Games scored17
19
Failed to score14
12
Scored first8
11
Goals scored29
33
Avg. goals scored0.9
1
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for0.9
1
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
RIO
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
26
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first19
18
Goals conceded55
52
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+2%

Casa Pia v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
326813
J LivolantCassianoJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Livolant FWD3238
3
1
G Larrazabal DEF3134
6
-
Cassiano FWD316
5
1
P Sequeira GLK27
3
1
A Geraldes DEF26
8
-
S Pérez MID25
5
-
D Sousa  DEF242
13
-
R Brito MID2421
5
-
J Goulart DEF231
4
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD22
2
-
I Mohamed MID211
5
-
A Conté DEF202
1
-
T Morais FWD19
2
-
R. Nhaga MID182
4
-
J Fonte DEF171
3
-
O Osundina FWD162
1
-
M Sousa MID122
3
-
Claudio FWD121
1
1
D. Bandeira DEF10
5
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF10
2
-
K Nsona  FWD1011
-
K. Prieto Machado MID9
1
-
Y Oukili MID8
2
-
K Rocha DEF61
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
X Severina FWD5
1
-
R Batista GLK4
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-
K Silva FWD1
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291059
M Vrousai ClaytonA LuizA Ndoj
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF3012
4
1
O Pohlmann MID3011
1
-
A Ndoj DEF2812
9
-
D Spikic FWD2823
1
-
N Abby DEF251
4
-
T. Nikitscher MID2511
5
1
G Liavas MID241
2
-
J Brabec DEF2311
4
-
F. Petrasso DEF22
5
-
C Miszta GLK20
5
-
B Aguilera MID191
4
-
A. Papakanellos MID19
1
-
A Luiz FWD1975
3
-
Clayton FWD19104
7
1
J Tomé DEF17
2
-
N Athanasiou DEF171
1
-
J Panzo DEF14
3
1
O Richards DEF12
2
-
M Gual FWD10
-
J Graça MID8
1
-
J DEF6
1
-
K. Zoabi FWD5
2
-
K Chamorro GLK3
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF3
-
T. Bakoulas MID3
-
R. Genuino Lobato FWD2
-
T. Medina FWD1
-