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FC Porto v CD Santa Clara : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th May, 15:30 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Sunday morning sees Francesco Farioli’s FC Porto and Vasco Miguel Lopes Matos’s CD Santa Clara go up against one another in a Liga NOS battle at the Estádio do Dragão. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across every market, so there's nowhere better to prepare Liga NOS clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Porto to win

A Liga NOS victory in front of their own fans for Francesco Farioli's Porto side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Porto win is the bet we'd suggest, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
64%
37/1004/9
Draw
21%
7/27/2
Santa Clara
15%
13/26/1
Porto 1-0
13%
6/119/4
Porto 2-0
12%
11/25/1
Draw 1-1
10%
15/27/1
Porto 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Porto 3-0
8%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
7%
11/117/2
Porto 3-1
6%
11/110/1
Santa Clara 1-0
5%
18/112/1
Santa Clara 2-1
4%
20/116/1
Draw 2-2
4%
20/116/1
Porto 4-0
4%
16/114/1
Porto 4-1
3%
20/118/1
Porto 3-2
2%
25/122/1
Santa Clara 2-0
2%
40/125/1
Porto 5-0
1%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
3/417/20
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
21/2017/20
Home 1st Goal
58%
4/114/11
Away 1st Goal
38%
9/413/5
No 1st Goal
4%
11/117/2
BTTS - Yes
47%
1/123/20
BTTS - No
53%
3/48/13
BTTS - Home Win
25%
9/413/5
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/15/1
BTTS - Away Win
7%
14/111/1
Home/draw
85%
1/101/10
Away/draw
36%
7/47/4
Home/away
79%
2/111/5
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
2/92/7
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/112/5
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
7/411/5
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
2/51/3
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
9/219/4
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/71/9
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/201/33
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11/117/2
Home DNB
79%
1/82/15
Away DNB
30%
5/117/4
Porto win to nil
38%
6/5-
Santa Clara win to nil
8%
12/1-
Porto / Porto
39%
21/2021/20
Porto / Santa Clara
2%
40/140/1
Porto / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Porto
20%
3/116/5
Draw / Santa Clara
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
Santa Clara / Porto
4%
20/118/1
Santa Clara / Santa Clara
7%
12/19/1
Santa Clara / Draw
5%
18/114/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto are unbeaten at home after 16 games and have kept 11 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below in the table, having won 27, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 20 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Porto have outscored their opponents by 65 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 16 games at home winning 13, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 32 goals, kept 11 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Santa Clara are in 12th position in the Liga NOS on 36 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Santa Clara have conceded 29 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Santa Clara
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto3327424785 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
May 16
2
S. Lisbon3324726279 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2F
3
Benfica33221104777 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
4
Braga33161072858 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
Famalicao33141181253 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
6
Gil Vicente33131191250 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
7
V. Guimaraes3312615-1042 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
8
Moreirense3312615-1242 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
9
Estoril3310914-139 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
2-4A
w
 
0-1F
10
Alverca3310914-1639 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
11
Arouca3311616-1939 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
12
Santa Clara339915-836 
May 16
w
 
0-1F
-
-
13
Rio Ave3381114-2235 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
14
Nacional338718-1031 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3F
15
Estrela Amadora3361116-1829 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
16
Casa Pia3361116-2629 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Tondela3361017-2628 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
18
AVS3331119-4020 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
19
Porto have not lost in 19 consecutive home league games
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
19
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Santa Clara 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
13
Porto have not lost to Santa Clara in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at Porto since 2019
Porto
Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
11
3
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
PTO
5
D
1
League games at Santa Clara since 2018
Santa Clara
Porto
Goals: Scored
2
12
Games: Scored
2 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
5 / 7
PTO
6
D
1
Goal Statistics

FC Porto have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 24 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.9 against CD Santa Clara on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Porto 1st Santa Clara 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Santa Clara scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Santa Clara’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Santa Clara
1.9
0.8
Attack rating
48%
better
PTO
SCL
view stats
Games scored32
21
Failed to score1
12
Scored first28
12
Goals scored65
32
Avg. goals scored2
1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
11
Avg. XG for1.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
49%
better
PTO
SCL
view stats
Games conceded13
23
Clean sheets20
10
Conceded first4
18
Goals conceded18
40
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
6
Conversion rate against9%
16%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+49%

Porto v Santa Clara Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321388
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaG VeigaJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V. Froholdt MID3367
2
-
D Costa GLK32
3
-
J Bednarek DEF312
8
-
G Veiga MID3038
4
-
Pepê FWD3034
1
-
A Varela MID292
7
-
B Sainz FWD2953
5
-
A Baio DEF2818
6
-
D Gül FWD2851
2
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID2711
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD2781
5
1
J Kiwior DEF251
3
-
P Rosario MID2221
6
-
F Moura DEF2022
3
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF2011
3
1
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD20131
2
-
Zaidu  DEF1711
2
-
S Eustaquio MID8
-
D. Prpić DEF6
1
1
N Pérez DEF51
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK2
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-
Santa Clara Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32639
G BatistaG SilvaS. Lobo AraújoS. Pena De Lima
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Batista GLK321
-
S. Pena De Lima DEF321
8
1
S. Lobo Araújo MID3143
9
-
P Ferreira MID31
4
-
Brenner FWD281
2
-
G Silva FWD286
4
-
L Soares MID27
5
1
V Lopes FWD2761
8
-
F Venâncio DEF2211
6
-
Calila DEF221
4
-
P Victor DEF201
4
1
A Firmino MID18
5
1
E Manoel FWD143
1
-
L Rocha DEF13
5
-
W. da Silva Costa FWD1312
2
-
MT MID121
2
-
M Pereira DEF101
2
-
Luquinhas FWD9
1
-
J. Augusto Mourão Costa FWD71
-
A. Carter FWD51
1
-
P. Pacheco Seabra DEF21
-