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Estrela Amadora v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

The Liga NOS is the focus for both Estrela Amadora and FC Porto on Saturday night, as managers Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins and Martin Svedik battle it out at the Estádio José Gomes. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Liga NOS match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Estrela Amadora's next match is v Rio Ave at 15:30 on Sunday 4th May
FC Porto's next match is v Moreirense at 20:15 on Friday 2nd May
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Estrela Amadora and Porto was on Saturday 26th April 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 26th 2025
Estrela Amadora 2
0 Porto
 
J. Alves Rodrigues 38'
A. Ruiz 62'
 
PTO
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
5
11
Possession
32%
68%
Fouls
17
14
Yellow/red cards
5/0
3/0
 
Estrela AmadoraPorto
 
J. Santos da Costa
D. Martins Travassos
R. Pantalon
G. Serrão Montóia
I. Dramé
A. Oudrhiri Idrissi
P. Valente Moreira (F. Reis Ferreira 81')
A. Ruizfootball icon (L. Cordeiro de Lima Silva 81')
L. Bucca (F. Sacalumbo 68')
J. Borges Cabral (G. Saches Sousa 90')
J. Alves Rodriguesfootball icon (R. Pereira de Pinho 81')
C. Morais Ramos
I. Marcano Sierra
(W. Gomes Carvalho Santos 66') F. Moura
J. Neto Lopes
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
(M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes 66') S. Antunes Eustáquio
F. Ferreira Vieira
R. Mora Carvalho
(A. Russo Franco 87') A. Varela
(D. Loader 77') E. Aquino Cossa
(S. Omorodion Aghehowa 46') D. Gül

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Estrela Amadora and Porto have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Porto coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
24%
21/4
17%
-
Draw
26%
14/5
16%
-
Porto
50%
11/20
11%
-
Porto 1-0
13%
5/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
17%
-
Porto 2-0
10%
11/2-
Porto 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1
18%
-
Estrela Amadora 1-0
8%
12/1
24%
-
Estrela Amadora 2-1
6%
18/1
10%
-
Porto 3-0
5%
10/1
22%
-
Porto 3-1
5%
14/1
25%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-0
4%
28/1
29%
-
Porto 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Porto 4-0
2%
20/1
24%
-
Estrela Amadora 3-1
2%
50/1-
Porto 4-1
2%
28/1
38%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
43/40
16%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/11
14%
-
Home 1st Goal
41%
13/5
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/11
5%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
8/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
11/10
2%
-
BTTS - No
53%
4/6
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
12/1
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2
15%
-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3/1
18%
-
Home/draw
50%
11/8
13%
-
Away/draw
76%
1/8
2%
-
Home/away
74%
1/4
6%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/3
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
9/4
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
11/4
25%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/4
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/1
33%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/12
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
31%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
9%
-
Home DNB
42%
7/2
25%
-
Away DNB
69%
2/11
5%
-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
14%
9/1
23%
-
Porto win to nil
31%
5/4
2%
-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
7%
10/1
15%
-
Estrela Amadora / Porto
4%
22/1
10%
-
Estrela Amadora / Draw
4%
18/1-
Draw / Estrela Amadora
7%
11/1
20%
-
Draw / Porto
21%
3/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
15%
-
Porto / Estrela Amadora
2%
40/1-
Porto / Porto
35%
11/8
13%
-
Porto / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Estrela Amadora have conceded 38 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 4th place on 62 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 52 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 15 away games, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3123625875 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica3124345575 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-1A
3
Braga3119752664 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
Porto Away3119572962 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
-
-
5
V. Guimaraes31131261251 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
6
Santa Clara3115511250 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
7
Famalicao3111119644 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
8
Estoril3111911-842 
l
 
2-4A
May 17
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
9
Casa Pia3111812-541 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Moreirense319913-936 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 2
w
 
0-3F
11
Nacional319616-1433 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
l
 
2-0A
12
Arouca318914-1733 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
Rio Ave318914-1833 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
14
Gil Vicente318815-1232 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
15
Estrela Amadora H317816-1929 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
16
AVS3141215-3224 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-5F
17
Sporting Farense314918-2221 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
18
Boavista315620-3221 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
May 11
Win / draw / win form
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
Estrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Moreirense
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Boavista
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora0 - 3Famalicao
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora0 - 3Sporting Farense
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 2S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Nacional
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Moreirense
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Boavista
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
HEstrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1AVS
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Porto
HEstrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Porto 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente3 - 1Porto
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Moreirense0 - 3Porto
Famalicao1 - 1Porto
Benfica4 - 1Porto
AVS0 - 5Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Santa Clara0 - 2Porto
Braga0 - 1Porto
Chaves0 - 3Porto
Casa Pia1 - 2Porto
Estoril1 - 0Porto
Portimonense0 - 3Porto
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
HPorto1 - 4Benfica
APorto2 - 1Estoril
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto0 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 0Arouca
HPorto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Sporting Farense
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto2 - 2Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 1Santa Clara
APorto1 - 3Gil Vicente
APorto0 - 2Nacional
HPorto4 - 0Boavista
APorto3 - 0Moreirense
HPorto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
APorto1 - 1Famalicao
HPorto2 - 0Casa Pia
APorto1 - 4Benfica
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Estrela Amadora fans, as should a 10 Liga NOS matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

FC Porto have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.5 against Estrela Amadora on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Estrela Amadora 15th Porto 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Estrela Amadora have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285320/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
0.9
1.5
Attack rating
PTO
50%
better
view stats
Games scored15
27
Failed to score15
3
Scored first8
19
Goals scored22
57
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.9
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
17
Avg. XG for0.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+50%
Defence rating
PTO
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
15
Clean sheets6
15
Conceded first20
11
Goals conceded43
26
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+33%

Estrela Amadora v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
206211
KikasKikasL BuccaA Ruiz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Andorinha GLK11
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF221
4
-
R Pantalon DEF9
1
-
I Dramé DEF181
2
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF9
3
1
Amine MID8
2
-
L Bucca MID2722
8
-
P. Valente Moreira MID231
3
-
J Cabral FWD2321
4
-
Kikas FWD2961
3
-
A Ruiz FWD2512
11
-
Subs
F Meixedo GLK1
-
Ferro DEF17
6
-
R Lima DEF242
3
1
L Cordeiro MID2411
3
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID1
-
R Pinho FWD305
6
-
G. Saches Sousa FWD6
1
-
C Banza FWD111
4
-
T Ferreira FWD1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241699
A VarelaS. Omorodion AghehowaF MouraA Varela
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ramos GLK1
1
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF17
2
-
S Eustaquio DEF28
6
-
I Marcano DEF8
-
J Mário MID243
5
-
F Vieira MID2343
6
-
A Varela MID292
9
-
F Moura MID2419
2
-
Pepê FWD2832
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho FWD2083
3
-
D Gül FWD141
-
Subs
Samuel GLK
-
Zaidu  DEF3
-
N Pérez DEF2311
9
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF225
5
-
A Franco MID151
4
-
T Pérez MID3
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD7
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD27163
3
1
D Namaso FWD2631
2
-