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Vitoria Guimaraes v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th Jan, 20:30 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Sunday night sees Luís Miguel Correia Pinto’s Vitoria Guimaraes and Francesco Farioli’s FC Porto go up against one another in a Liga NOS battle at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a smart selection is published below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for every one.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
21%
--
Draw
24%
--
Porto
55%
--
Porto 1-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Porto 2-0
10%
--
Porto 2-1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
7%
--
Porto 3-0
6%
--
Porto 3-1
6%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
3%
--
Porto 3-2
3%
--
Porto 4-0
2%
--
Porto 4-1
2%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Home 1st Goal
41%
--
Away 1st Goal
55%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
51%
--
BTTS - No
49%
--
BTTS - Home Win
10%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
24%
--
Home/draw
45%
--
Away/draw
79%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
38%
--
Away DNB
71%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
11%
--
Porto win to nil
31%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league. V. Guimaraes are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won zero. V. Guimaraes have conceded 11 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 1st place on 49 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 17 matches. Porto are unbeaten in 17 games against teams below them in the league and kept 13 clean sheets out of 17 games. Porto have a great away record this season winning all their away games and keeping 7 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 36 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 9 away games, winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1716103249 
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
-
-
2
S. Lisbon1713313842 
l
 
1-4A
May 3
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica1711602539 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
4
Gil Vicente177731028 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
Jan 26
w
 
0-2F
5
Braga177641327 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
6
V. Guimaraes17746-425 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Jan 18
7
Moreirense16736-124 
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
8
Famalicao17656623 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
9
Estoril17557-120 
w
 
3-2A
Jan 24
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
10
Rio Ave17485-720 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
11
Alverca17629-1020 
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
May 3
w
 
0-3F
12
Estrela Amadora17476-419 
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
13
Nacional16448-516 
w
 
2-1F
May 17
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
14
Santa Clara16448-516 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
May 17
w
 
0-1F
15
Casa Pia17359-1514 
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
Feb 1
16
Arouca17359-2414 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
Mar 1
w
 
0-4F
17
Tondela163310-1612 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS170413-324 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
10
Porto have won 10 consecutive away league games
20
Porto have not lost in 20 consecutive league games
4
Porto have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive away league games
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
10
Overall
20
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
19
D
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Porto have beaten V. Guimaraes in 6 consecutive away league meetings
9
Porto have not lost to V. Guimaraes in 9 consecutive away league meetings
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Porto
Goals: Scored
5
15
Games: Scored
4 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
6 / 10
GUI
1
D
1
PTO
8
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
26
9
Games: Scored
11 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
0 / 11
GUI
2
D
1
PTO
8
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's defensive record is very strong, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 20 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Vitoria Guimaraes makes sense in this context.

FC Porto have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.7 against Vitoria Guimaraes on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

V. Guimaraes 7th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
V. Guimaraes have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1
1.7
Attack rating
GUI
PTO
48%
better
view stats
Games scored10
16
Failed to score7
1
Scored first6
15
Goals scored18
36
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for11
19
Avg. XG for1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
GUI
PTO
66%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
4
Clean sheets6
13
Conceded first9
1
Goals conceded22
4
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
25
Conversion rate against14%
4%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.6
KickOff rating
+66%

V. Guimaraes v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17325
MagaN OliveiraR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Maga DEF17
4
-
R Abascal DEF1612
3
-
N Oliveira FWD163
3
1
J Mendes DEF15
5
-
A Ndoye FWD152
1
-
T Arcanjo FWD151
-
Beni MID141
4
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK13
1
-
M. Mitrovic MID131
2
-
O. Camara FWD1331
1
-
Samu MID1211
-
O Rivas DEF111
1
-
F Blanco FWD10
3
1
G Nogueira MID91
1
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
O Lebedenko DEF7
-
M Nóbrega DEF71
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID71
1
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD611
1
-
T Strata DEF51
-
Charles GLK4
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171256
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK17
1
-
V. Froholdt MID1723
1
-
J Bednarek DEF16
6
-
A Varela MID161
3
-
B Sainz FWD1652
5
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD16121
2
-
A Baio DEF155
2
-
F Moura DEF1522
3
-
G Veiga MID1514
2
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1411
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD144
3
-
Pepê FWD1423
1
-
J Kiwior DEF131
-
P Rosario MID131
5
-
D Gül FWD122
1
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF10
2
1
Zaidu  DEF811
-
S Eustaquio MID7
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-