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Alverca v Moreirense : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca,

We’ve Liga NOS action to look forward to on Saturday evening, as Custódio André Gune and his Alverca side host Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa’s Moreirense at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Alverca's next match is v Braga at 20:30 on Sunday 25th January
Moreirense 's next match is v Santa Clara at 15:30 on Saturday 24th January
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Alverca and Moreirense was on Saturday 17th January 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
January 17th 2026
Alverca 2
1 Moreirense
 
N. Zoubdi Touaizi 60'62' R. Alonso Martín
S. Cesar 69'
 
MOR
Shots On
3
4
Shots Off
8
4
Corners
4
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
16
6
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
AlvercaMoreirense
 
A. Nogueira Gomes
N. Zoubdi Touaizifootball icon (Kauan de Souza Gomes 90')
K. Marques Naves
S. Gómez Solà
A. Amorim de Freitas Filho (V. Silva Moreira 90')
N. Meupiyou Menadjou
F. Chissumba Rodrigues
L. Oliveira dos Santos (D. Gui 74')
S. Abdulai (C. Nuozzi 85')
L. Figueiredo dos Santos
S. Cesarfootball icon (M. Milovanović 74')
A. Ribeiro Ferreira
D. Martins Travassos
Michel
(L. Costa Araujo 77') ?. Martínez Navarro
A. de Souza Guimarães
L. Silva Semedo
F. Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
J. de Brito Gonzaga
D. Casals Namura Borges Pinto
(Y. Farias de Sousa 71') football iconR. Alonso Martín
(M. Stjepanovic 71') A. Cunha Almeida

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Alverca and Moreirense combined during a standard 90 mins. Up to date form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to our prediction, and we're suggest there's a 75% chance of it being right on the money. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Moreirense coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alverca
34%
4/31/100
Draw
28%
15/818/1
Moreirense
38%
12/5125/1
Draw 1-1
13%
9/23/4
Moreirense 1-0
11%
7/119/4
Alverca 1-0
11%
5/13/1
Draw 0-0
9%
5/16/5
Moreirense 2-1
8%
12/15/1
Alverca 2-1
8%
9/11/5
Moreirense 2-0
7%
14/118/1
Alverca 2-0
6%
9/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/17/1
Moreirense 3-1
3%
33/125/1
Alverca 3-1
3%
22/17/1
Moreirense 3-0
3%
40/155/1
Alverca 3-0
2%
22/133/1
Moreirense 3-2
2%
40/155/1
Alverca 3-2
2%
40/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
8/51/1
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
19/403/4
Home 1st Goal
46%
10/1113/8
Away 1st Goal
48%
13/1013/5
No 1st Goal
6%
5/16/5
BTTS - Yes
48%
11/1019/4
BTTS - No
52%
4/61/9
BTTS - Home Win
14%
5/11/14
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/27/1
BTTS - Away Win
15%
15/245/1
Home/draw
62%
3/101/1000
Away/draw
66%
8/1516/1
Home/away
72%
2/51/300
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/227/10
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
6/41/4
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
9/210/1
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/71/33
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
12/166/1
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/251/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/180/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/801/200
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/98/13
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
11/26/5
Home DNB
54%
4/71/1000
Away DNB
57%
5/445/1
Alverca win to nil
20%
5/2-
Moreirense win to nil
22%
4/1-
Alverca / Alverca
21%
3/112/1
Alverca / Moreirense
2%
33/155/1
Alverca / Draw
6%
14/128/1
Draw / Alverca
15%
9/22/1
Draw / Moreirense
12%
6/116/5
Draw / Draw
20%
10/313/10
Moreirense / Alverca
3%
33/145/1
Moreirense / Moreirense
15%
9/216/1
Moreirense / Draw
6%
14/128/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Alverca have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Alverca have conceded 21 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Alverca have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Moreirense lay in 6th place on 27 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 22 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Moreirense have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Moreirense have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alverca
Moreirense
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1817103352 
l
 
0-3A
May 3
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
2
S. Lisbon1814314145 
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica1812602742 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
l
 
0-4A
Apr 26
4
Gil Vicente188731131 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 15
Feb 8
l
 
2-0A
5
Braga188641430 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
6
Moreirense18837-127 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
7
Famalicao18756726 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
d
 
2-2A
Apr 12
8
V. Guimaraes18747-525 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
w
 
2-0F
Feb 1
9
Estoril18657423 
May 10
l
 
4-1A
Apr 19
d
 
3-3F
10
Alverca18729-923 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
11
Rio Ave18486-920 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
12
Estrela Amadora18477-919 
Feb 1
d
 
2-2F
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
13
Nacional18459-617 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
Mar 8
l
 
3-2F
14
Santa Clara18459-617 
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
Jan 24
w
 
0-1F
15
Arouca18459-2317 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
Mar 22
w
 
0-2F
16
Casa Pia183510-1814 
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
17
Tondela183312-1812 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
w
 
1-0F
May 10
18
AVS180414-334 
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
May 17
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Alverca 12TH
9 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
7
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
6 / 9
Conceded
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
Failed to score
3 / 9
Won
4
D
1
Lost
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca1 - 0Famalicao
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Alverca1 - 0Nacional
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Alverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Alverca0 - 3Braga
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 17
Conceded
12 / 17
Clean sheets
5 / 17
Failed to score
5 / 17
Won
6
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
HAlverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAlverca1 - 2Santa Clara
HAlverca1 - 0Tondela
HAlverca1 - 2Benfica
AAlverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HAlverca0 - 3Braga
AAlverca1 - 2Moreirense
Moreirense 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVS0 - 2Moreirense
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
Estoril3 - 3Moreirense
Braga2 - 1Moreirense
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
S. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
Gil Vicente2 - 0Moreirense
Santa Clara0 - 1Moreirense
AVS0 - 3Moreirense
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
S. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
Gil Vicente0 - 1Moreirense
Santa Clara1 - 1Moreirense
Famalicao2 - 0Moreirense
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Estoril2 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 0Moreirense
Rio Ave3 - 2Moreirense
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMoreirense1 - 0Tondela
AMoreirense2 - 0AVS
AMoreirense0 - 0Estrela Amadora
HMoreirense0 - 4Benfica
AMoreirense3 - 3Estoril
HMoreirense2 - 2Famalicao
AMoreirense1 - 2Braga
AMoreirense2 - 0Arouca
HMoreirense1 - 2Porto
AMoreirense2 - 3Nacional
HMoreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
AMoreirense0 - 3S. Lisbon
HMoreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
AMoreirense0 - 2Gil Vicente
HMoreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AMoreirense1 - 0Santa Clara
HMoreirense2 - 1Alverca
AMoreirense3 - 0AVS
HMoreirense2 - 2Estoril
AMoreirense1 - 3Porto
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Alverca of late. It has been 5 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday evening against Moreirense .

Alverca 12th Moreirense 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Alverca will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Moreirense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
9 home / away league games
=0
Alverca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Moreirense have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Alverca
PG (predicted goals)
Moreirense
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
MOR
22%
better
view stats
Games scored12
13
Failed to score5
4
Scored first6
10
Goals scored17
24
Avg. goals scored1
1.4
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
MOR
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first11
6
Goals conceded27
24
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%

Alverca v Moreirense Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18525
A FilhoM MilovanovicZoubdiK Naves
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gomes GLK17
3
-
K Naves DEF17
4
1
S Gómez DEF14
1
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF16
3
-
Zoubdi MID1812
4
-
S Abdulai MID151
4
1
A Filho MID182
3
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues MID16
3
-
Lincoln FWD1522
4
-
S. Cesar FWD1632
1
L Figueiredo FWD1111
2
-
Subs
M Mendes GLK1
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF8
1
-
I. James DEF71
1
-
Kauan de Souza Gomes DEF2
-
D. Gui MID1711
3
-
V. Silva Moreira MID1
-
M Milovanovic FWD175
3
-
C. Nuozzi FWD171
-
M. Clairicia FWD
-
Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17366
D PintoD. Martins TravassosD PintoM Maracás
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Ferreira GLK9
1
-
D Pinto DEF1716
5
-
Michel DEF4
1
-
M Maracás DEF162
5
1
?. Martínez Navarro DEF9
1
-
Alanzinho MID1725
5
-
A. Cunha Almeida MID91
3
-
R Alonso MID1112
1
-
D. Martins Travassos FWD143
1
-
L Semedo FWD911
-
K Bondoso FWD152
-
Subs
Mika GLK
-
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF1411
3
-
G Batista DEF13
1
-
M Stjepanovic MID18
3
-
Bernardo MID1311
1
-
J. Gower MID2
-
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD1011
2
-
C Teguia FWD13
1
-
L. Costa Araujo FWD142
2
-