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Estoril v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 20:30 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Ian Cathro welcomes Luís Miguel Correia Pinto to the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on Saturday night, as their Estoril and Vitoria Guimaraes sides meet in the Liga NOS. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Estoril and V. Guimaraes combined during a standard 90 mins. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and we think there's a 74% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Estoril are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
47%
7/5
2%
6/4
Draw
26%
23/10
2%
12/5
6%
V. Guimaraes
27%
7/49/5
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
8%
19/4
Estoril 1-0
12%
7/16/1
Estoril 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
8/1
6%
Estoril 2-0
9%
11/19/1
V. Guimaraes 1-0
9%
8/1
6%
13/2
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1
11%
15/2
13%
V. Guimaraes 2-1
6%
10/18/1
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
V. Guimaraes 2-0
4%
14/1
15%
10/1
8%
Estoril 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Estoril 3-0
4%
22/116/1
11%
Estoril 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
V. Guimaraes 3-1
2%
22/118/1
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Estoril 4-1
2%
40/128/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1
4%
1/1
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5
4%
8/11
4%
Home 1st Goal
51%
10/11
2%
10/11
2%
Away 1st Goal
43%
21/2011/10
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
11%
15/2
13%
BTTS - Yes
49%
3/4
3%
4/5
2%
BTTS - No
51%
1/1
3%
10/11
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4/1
9%
4/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
Home/draw
73%
2/54/9
3%
Away/draw
53%
8/15
2%
8/15
2%
Home/away
74%
1/33/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
3/10
2%
1/3
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
12/5
5%
21/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
5/2
7%
5/2
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/7
3%
1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6/1
13%
6/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/10
2%
1/12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1
11%
8/1
13%
Home DNB
65%
8/11
4%
3/4
Away DNB
45%
1/1
5%
19/20
Estoril win to nil
27%
3/1-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
15%
4/1
11%
-
Estoril / Estoril
21%
3/114/5
3%
Estoril / V. Guimaraes
3%
28/120/1
9%
Estoril / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw / Estoril
14%
5/119/4
Draw / V. Guimaraes
13%
11/25/1
8%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
7%
V. Guimaraes / Estoril
3%
25/1
10%
22/1
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
18%
15/4
6%
10/3
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Estoril have conceded 17 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 8th place on 25 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1817103352 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon1814314145 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
l
 
1-4A
May 3
3
Benfica1812602742 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
4
Gil Vicente188731131 
Feb 22
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
5
Braga188641430 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
6
Moreirense18837-127 
d
 
3-3A
Apr 19
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
7
Famalicao18756726 
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
8
V. Guimaraes18747-525 
Jan 24
l
 
3-2F
-
-
9
Estoril18657423 
-
-
w
 
3-2A
Jan 24
10
Alverca18729-923 
w
 
4-1F
May 10
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
11
Rio Ave18486-920 
Mar 22
w
 
0-4F
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
12
Estrela Amadora18477-919 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
13
Nacional18459-617 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
w
 
2-1F
May 17
14
Santa Clara18459-617 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 1
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
15
Arouca18459-2317 
w
 
4-3A
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
16
Casa Pia183510-1814 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
17
Tondela183312-1812 
Feb 8
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS180414-334 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
5
Estoril have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
3
V. Guimaraes have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Estoril 9TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Estoril1 - 0Braga
Estoril3 - 3Moreirense
Estoril4 - 3Arouca
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril3 - 1AVS
Estoril0 - 1Santa Clara
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
Estoril0 - 2Braga
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Estoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Boavista
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril2 - 2Moreirense
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril2 - 1Famalicao
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril5 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril4 - 1Alverca
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 1Porto
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstoril3 - 1AVS
HEstoril0 - 1Santa Clara
AEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril2 - 3V. Guimaraes
HEstoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HEstoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril2 - 2Moreirense
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Santa Clara1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Estoril since 2015
Estoril
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
3 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
4 / 7
EST
2
D
1
GUI
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
Estoril1 - 0
1 - 3V. Guimaraes
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Draw0 - 0Draw
Estoril3 - 0
0 - 2V. Guimaraes
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Estoril
Goals: Scored
18
10
Games: Scored
8 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
0 / 8
D
2
GUI
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes3 - 2
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
V. Guimaraes3 - 2
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
V. Guimaraes3 - 1
V. Guimaraes3 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Estoril's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Vitoria Guimaraes have conceded in each of their last 6 Liga NOS matches. A PG of 1.5 for I. Cathro's side suggests that run should continue.

Estoril 9th V. Guimaraes 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Estoril will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Estoril have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-29
V. Guimaraes have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.5
1
Attack rating
32%
better
EST
GUI
view stats
Games scored13
10
Failed to score5
8
Scored first9
6
Goals scored33
18
Avg. goals scored1.8
1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for20
11
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
EST
GUI
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
12
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded29
23
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+16%

Estoril v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181175
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoJ Holsgrove
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK18
1
-
F Bacher DEF18
2
-
J Carvalho MID1857
4
-
Y Begraoui FWD18111
1
-
K Boma DEF171
4
-
J Holsgrove MID1714
5
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF152
4
-
R Guitane FWD1523
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1521
1
-
T. Parente DEF141
3
-
P Amaral DEF142
2
-
Ferro DEF13
1
-
N Lominadze MID132
3
-
A Marqués FWD121
1
-
R Sánchez DEF1122
5
-
Pizzi MID11
-
A Tsoungui DEF9
3
-
P Paula MID91
4
-
J Orellana MID91
2
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD7
1
-
G Costa DEF4
1
-
T Brito MID4
1
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17325
R AbascalN OliveiraR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Abascal DEF1712
3
-
Maga DEF17
4
-
A Ndoye FWD162
1
-
T Arcanjo FWD161
1
2
N Oliveira FWD163
3
1
J Mendes DEF15
5
-
Beni MID151
5
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK14
1
-
M. Mitrovic MID141
2
-
O. Camara FWD1431
1
-
Samu MID1311
-
O Rivas DEF111
1
-
F Blanco FWD11
3
1
G Nogueira MID101
1
-
O Lebedenko DEF8
1
-
M Nóbrega DEF81
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID81
1
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD711
1
-
T Strata DEF61
1
-
Charles GLK4
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF1
-