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Estrela Amadora v Gil Vicente FC : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

Estrela Amadora and their boss João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu will be looking to get one over on Paulo César da Silva Peixoto and his Gil Vicente FC side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair clash at the Estádio José Gomes in the Liga NOS. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.

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Estrela Amadora's next match is v Rio Ave at 18:00 on Sunday 15th March
Gil Vicente FC's next match is v Alverca at 18:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Estrela Amadora and Gil Vicente was on Sunday 8th March 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
March 8th 2026
Estrela Amadora 2
2 Gil Vicente
 
J. Borges Cabral 54'14' M. De Souza Costa
A. Marcus 67'69' S. Garcia Gonzalez
 
GIL
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
2
6
Corners
8
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
16
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
Estrela AmadoraGil Vicente
 
S. Leković
K. Höög-Jansson
P. Valente Moreira
I. Stoica (T. Moustier 65')
J. Borges Cabralfootball icon
M. Scholze (O. Galdino Fernandes 79')
R. Ribeiro
B. Langa
L. Wiedthauper (R. Pereira de Pinho 46')
A. Mussolo Sola (E. Doué 46')
A. Marcusfootball icon (B. Brahimi 76')
G. Konan
L. Galdino de Azevedo
M. Elimbi Gilbert
(J. Natário Ferreira 78') F. Cáseres
H. Ciriaco Santos
J. Buatu Mananga
L. Leite Esteves
(A. Espigares Morillas 90') football iconS. Garcia Gonzalez
(G. Pereira De Sousa 78') H. Hernández Marrero
(M. Fernández Benítez 56') A. Moreira Morales
(R. Prata Deusdado Rodrigues 90') football iconM. De Souza Costa

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Estrela Amadora and Gil Vicente will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu or Paulo César da Silva Peixoto has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.36 equating to approximately a 73% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Gil Vicente coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
30%
31/1020/1
Draw
26%
11/51/20
Gil Vicente
44%
10/1114/1
Draw 1-1
12%
5/111/10
Gil Vicente 1-0
11%
11/22/1
Gil Vicente 2-1
9%
8/129/10
Estrela Amadora 1-0
8%
9/17/1
Gil Vicente 2-0
8%
15/23/1
Draw 0-0
7%
7/111/2
Estrela Amadora 2-1
7%
14/119/4
Draw 2-2
5%
14/11/6
Estrela Amadora 2-0
5%
20/114/1
Gil Vicente 3-1
4%
16/111/1
Gil Vicente 3-0
4%
16/18/1
Estrela Amadora 3-1
3%
33/122/1
Gil Vicente 3-2
3%
33/16/1
Estrela Amadora 3-2
2%
40/110/1
Estrela Amadora 3-0
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
23/2013/20
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/611/10
Home 1st Goal
45%
6/413/8
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/67/10
No 1st Goal
5%
7/111/2
BTTS - Yes
53%
19/2013/10
BTTS - No
47%
4/54/7
BTTS - Home Win
14%
8/110/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/22/13
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/46/1
Home/draw
56%
4/51/66
Away/draw
70%
2/91/1000
Home/away
74%
4/1117/2
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
4/117/20
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
2/12/1
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3/13/1
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/92/9
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
8/117/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/141/25
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/160/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/661/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/141/12
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/16/1
Home DNB
48%
7/48/5
Away DNB
62%
2/54/9
Estrela Amadora win to nil
16%
11/2-
Gil Vicente win to nil
24%
9/4-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
12%
11/2100/1
Estrela Amadora / Gil Vicente
3%
25/1100/1
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/1125/1
Draw / Estrela Amadora
10%
7/133/1
Draw / Gil Vicente
17%
15/428/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/425/1
Gil Vicente / Estrela Amadora
3%
33/112/1
Gil Vicente / Gil Vicente
26%
11/52/7
Gil Vicente / Draw
6%
14/119/5
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Estrela Amadora have conceded 33 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 12 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Gil Vicente lay in 5th place on 40 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Gil Vicente have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Gil Vicente have played 12 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2521313966 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 17
3
Benfica2517803759 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
4
Braga2513752746 
d
 
3-3A
May 17
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
5
Gil Vicente2511861241 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
-
-
6
Famalicao251168939 
May 10
w
 
2-3A
w
 
5-0F
d
 
0-00-0
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
8
Estoril25979434 
l
 
0-5A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1F
9
V. Guimaraes259511-932 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
10
Alverca257711-1528 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
w
 
0-4F
11
Arouca257513-2126 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 19
May 10
d
 
2-2A
12
Estrela Amadora2551010-1525 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
13
Casa Pia255911-1824 
Mar 20
w
 
3-5A
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
14
Rio Ave255911-2024 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
d
 
2-2F
May 3
15
Nacional255713-822 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
16
Santa Clara255713-922 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Mar 21
17
Tondela254714-2019 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
18
AVS251717-3910 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Estrela Amadora 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
Estrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
Estrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0AVS
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2Tondela
AEstrela Amadora1 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Alverca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Benfica
HEstrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
HEstrela Amadora3 - 3Braga
AEstrela Amadora3 - 2Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 3Porto
HEstrela Amadora3 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
AEstrela Amadora5 - 3Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Tondela
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril3 - 1Gil Vicente
Moreirense1 - 2Gil Vicente
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Arouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
AVS1 - 1Gil Vicente
Alverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Braga0 - 1Gil Vicente
Famalicao0 - 0Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Rio Ave1 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Boavista1 - 3Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
Braga2 - 0Gil Vicente
AVS1 - 0Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGil Vicente1 - 2Benfica
AGil Vicente1 - 3Estoril
HGil Vicente2 - 1Braga
AGil Vicente2 - 1Moreirense
HGil Vicente5 - 0Famalicao
AGil Vicente0 - 3Porto
HGil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
HGil Vicente1 - 1S. Lisbon
AGil Vicente2 - 2Arouca
HGil Vicente2 - 2Rio Ave
AGil Vicente1 - 1Casa Pia
AGil Vicente0 - 0V. Guimaraes
HGil Vicente0 - 1Tondela
AGil Vicente1 - 1AVS
HGil Vicente1 - 0Santa Clara
AGil Vicente4 - 0Alverca
HGil Vicente2 - 0Estrela Amadora
AGil Vicente1 - 2Benfica
HGil Vicente2 - 0Estoril
AGil Vicente1 - 0Braga
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Estrela Amadora since 2024
Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
1
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estrela Amadora
Draw1 - 1Draw
Estrela Amadora1 - 0
League games at Gil Vicente since 2024
Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
6
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
D
1
GIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente2 - 0
Gil Vicente3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Estrela Amadora of late. It has been 7 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Gil Vicente FC.

Gil Vicente FC have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Estrela Amadora on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Estrela Amadora 12th Gil Vicente 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Gil Vicente will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Estrela Amadora have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Gil Vicente’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
Gil Vicente
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
GIL
29%
better
view stats
Games scored13
19
Failed to score11
5
Scored first6
15
Goals scored26
35
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
GIL
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
14
Clean sheets6
10
Conceded first14
7
Goals conceded41
23
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
12%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+33%

Estrela Amadora v Gil Vicente Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25538
R RibeiroJ CabralA MarcusP. Valente Moreira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK25
3
-
M. Scholze DEF3
-
L Patrick DEF24
2
1
S Lekovic DEF4
-
B Langa DEF2
-
P. Valente Moreira MID2332
7
1
K Jansson MID4
1
-
A Marcus MID2243
1
1
A. Mussolo Sola MID12
1
-
J Cabral MID185
5
-
I Stoica FWD2422
4
-
Subs
Dudu GLK
-
Y Kalley DEF2
1
-
O. Galdino Fernandes DEF161
3
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID13
3
-
T. Moustier MID5
-
E. Doué MID7
3
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD172
-
B Brahimi FWD4
-
R Pinho FWD2111
2
-
Gil Vicente Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24766
L EstevesM SouzaL EstevesM Gilbert
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lucão GLK6
-
Hevertton DEF201
4
1
M Gilbert DEF22
6
-
J Buatu DEF2211
2
-
G Konan DEF22
4
-
F Cáseres MID22
6
-
L Esteves MID2436
3
1
M Souza MID2374
2
-
S García MID2562
4
-
A. Moreira Morales MID121
1
-
H Hernández FWD421
-
Subs
D Figueira GLK3
1
-
Z Carlos DEF24
4
-
Espigares DEF1311
-
Weverson DEF
-
Z Carlos MID22
4
-
M Benítez MID1811
1
1
R. Prata Deusdado Rodrigues MID4
2
-
S Bermejo FWD13
-
G. Pereira De Sousa FWD2342
2
-