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Vitoria Guimaraes v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

FC Porto, led by manager Francesco Farioli, visit Luís Miguel Correia Pinto and his Vitoria Guimaraes side at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques on Sunday night in the Liga NOS. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.

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Vitoria Guimaraes's next match is v Estoril at 20:30 on Saturday 24th January
FC Porto's next match is v Plzen at 17:45 on Thursday 22nd January
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between V. Guimaraes and Porto was on Sunday 18th January 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
January 18th 2026
V. Guimaraes 0
1 Porto
 
85' A. Varela
 
GUI
PTO
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
7
7
Corners
6
1
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
19
15
Yellow/red cards
4/1
2/0
 
V. GuimaraesPorto
 
J. Castillo Reyes
M. Nóbrega
O. Lebedenko
R. Abascal Barros
B. Mambuene Mukendi (Fabio Gomez 89')
F. Amorim Silva (D. Lobão Sousa 76')
O. Camara (T. Gomes Arcanjo 76')
G. Teixeira Nogueira (M. Mitrovic 88')
T. Strata
N. Jose Saviolo
A. Ndoye (G. da Silva Cunha 65')
D. Meireles Costa
T. da Silva
J. Kiwior
V. Froholdt
(R. Mora Carvalho 60') G. Veiga Novas
(D. Gül 72') S. Omorodion Aghehowa
(W. Gomes Carvalho Santos 60') E. Aquino Cossa
football iconA. Varela
(O. Pietuszewski 73') B. Sainz Eguskiza
(J. Bednarek 88') A. Costa
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Porto to win

Playing as the away side at Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques and claiming victory is incredibly difficult, especially in Liga NOS, but we predict Porto boss Francesco Farioli is capable of inspiring his side to do exactly that. Statistics, head-to-head (H2H) records and odds from the bookmakers all suggest an away win is highly likely, and we would absolutely suggest it's the best bet on this fixture.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 61% chance of Porto coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
16%
6/1100/1
Draw
22%
31/10
9%
16/1
5%
Porto
61%
21/50
3%
1/66
Porto 1-0
13%
9/2
8%
8/15
5%
Porto 2-0
12%
5/1
8%
19/5
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
7%
19/4
Porto 2-1
10%
15/216/1
Porto 3-0
7%
17/2
5%
20/1
Draw 0-0
7%
8/13/5
Porto 3-1
6%
12/155/1
9%
V. Guimaraes 1-0
6%
14/113/2
V. Guimaraes 2-1
4%
22/1
10%
33/1
Draw 2-2
4%
20/166/1
Porto 4-0
3%
18/1
10%
80/1
Porto 4-1
3%
25/1150/1
10%
Porto 3-2
2%
33/1200/1
V. Guimaraes 2-0
2%
33/133/1
Porto 5-0
1%
40/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
21/2050/1
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
3/41/1000
3%
Home 1st Goal
38%
12/5
5%
9/2
Away 1st Goal
58%
2/5
3%
23/10
No 1st Goal
4%
8/13/5
BTTS - Yes
48%
6/5
5%
14/1
5%
BTTS - No
52%
8/13
3%
1/66
1%
BTTS - Home Win
8%
16/1
13%
33/1
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
9%
9/2
BTTS - Away Win
25%
3/114/1
5%
Home/draw
39%
13/8
5%
14/1
Away/draw
84%
1/101/1000
1%
Home/away
78%
2/9
2%
1/100
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/313/2
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
9/41/14
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
11/470/1
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/41/300
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/11/50
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/121/50
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/11/50
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/165/4
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/13/5
Home DNB
32%
9/228/1
Away DNB
77%
1/71/1000
V. Guimaraes win to nil
9%
10/1-
Porto win to nil
37%
11/10
5%
-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
7%
12/1
8%
22/1
5%
V. Guimaraes / Porto
4%
22/133/1
11%
V. Guimaraes / Draw
5%
18/125/1
Draw / V. Guimaraes
6%
12/111/2
9%
Draw / Porto
20%
3/111/8
Draw / Draw
15%
9/28/5
5%
Porto / V. Guimaraes
2%
50/1
24%
55/1
21%
Porto / Porto
36%
6/5
4%
8/1
2%
Porto / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
25/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league. V. Guimaraes are winless in the 7 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 6 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won zero. V. Guimaraes have conceded 15 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 1st place on 49 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 17 matches. Porto are unbeaten in 17 games against teams below them in the league and kept 13 clean sheets out of 17 games. Porto have a great away record this season winning all their away games and keeping 7 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 36 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 9 away games, winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1817103352 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
-
-
2
S. Lisbon1814314145 
l
 
1-4A
May 3
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica1812602742 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
4
Gil Vicente188731131 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
Jan 26
w
 
0-2F
5
Braga188641430 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
6
Moreirense18837-127 
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
7
Famalicao18756726 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
8
V. Guimaraes18747-525 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
9
Estoril18657423 
w
 
3-2A
Jan 24
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
10
Alverca18729-923 
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
May 3
w
 
0-3F
11
Rio Ave18486-920 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
12
Estrela Amadora18477-919 
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
13
Nacional18459-617 
w
 
2-1F
May 17
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
14
Santa Clara18459-617 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
May 17
w
 
0-1F
15
Arouca18459-2317 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
Mar 1
w
 
0-4F
16
Casa Pia183510-1814 
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
Feb 1
17
Tondela183312-1812 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS180414-334 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
V. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santa Clara0 - 1Porto
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Famalicao0 - 1Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente3 - 1Porto
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Moreirense0 - 3Porto
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
19
D
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto3 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1Boavista
HPorto3 - 1Moreirense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Porto have beaten V. Guimaraes in 6 consecutive away league meetings
9
Porto have not lost to V. Guimaraes in 9 consecutive away league meetings
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Porto
Goals: Scored
5
15
Games: Scored
4 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
6 / 10
GUI
1
D
1
PTO
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
0 - 3Porto
1 - 2Porto
0 - 1Porto
0 - 1Porto
2 - 3Porto
1 - 2Porto
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Porto
0 - 2Porto
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
26
9
Games: Scored
11 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
0 / 11
GUI
2
D
1
PTO
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0
Porto2 - 1
Porto1 - 0
Porto3 - 0
2 - 3V. Guimaraes
Porto4 - 2
Porto3 - 0
Porto3 - 0
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, Vitoria Guimaraes look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that FC Porto have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games, and it could be a long night for L. Correia Pinto's men.

FC Porto have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.8 against Vitoria Guimaraes on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

V. Guimaraes 7th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
V. Guimaraes have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
0.8
1.8
Attack rating
GUI
PTO
48%
better
view stats
Games scored10
16
Failed to score7
1
Scored first6
15
Goals scored18
36
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for11
19
Avg. XG for1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
GUI
PTO
66%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
4
Clean sheets6
13
Conceded first9
1
Goals conceded22
4
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
25
Conversion rate against14%
4%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.6
KickOff rating
+66%

V. Guimaraes v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17325
R AbascalO. CamaraR AbascalBeni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Castillo Reyes GLK14
1
-
T Strata DEF61
1
-
R Abascal DEF1712
3
-
M Nóbrega DEF81
-
O Lebedenko DEF8
1
-
Beni MID151
5
-
G Nogueira MID101
1
-
O. Camara MID1431
1
-
Samu MID1311
-
N. Jose Saviolo MID1412
1
-
A Ndoye FWD162
1
-
Subs
Charles GLK4
-
Maga DEF17
4
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF1
-
M. Mitrovic MID141
2
-
R. Silva Duarte MID
-
T Arcanjo MID161
1
2
D. Lobão Sousa MID81
1
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD711
1
-
F Blanco FWD11
3
1
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181256
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK18
1
-
A Baio DEF165
2
-
T Silva DEF1
-
J Kiwior DEF141
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF11
2
1
V. Froholdt MID1823
1
-
A Varela MID172
4
-
G Veiga MID1614
2
-
Pepê FWD1523
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD17121
2
-
B Sainz FWD1752
5
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK1
-
J Bednarek DEF17
6
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
F Moura DEF1522
3
-
S Eustaquio MID7
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1511
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD154
3
-
D Gül FWD132
1
-
O. Pietuszewski FWD1
1
-