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Athletic Bilbao v Valencia CF : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 15:15 BST, San Mamés, Bilbao

Ernesto Valverde Tejedor and Carlos Corberán Vallet take on one another in the La Liga on Sunday afternoon, as Athletic Bilbao face Valencia CF at the San Mamés. We have custom-designed statistics for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of A.Bilbao and Valencia serving up at least a couple of goals in this La Liga match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
45%
-5/6
Draw
26%
-13/5
Valencia
29%
-10/3
Draw 1-1
12%
-11/2
A.Bilbao 1-0
11%
-11/2
A.Bilbao 2-1
9%
-13/2
Valencia 1-0
8%
-9/1
A.Bilbao 2-0
8%
-7/1
Draw 0-0
7%
-8/1
Valencia 2-1
7%
-11/1
Draw 2-2
5%
-12/1
Valencia 2-0
5%
-16/1
A.Bilbao 3-1
4%
-11/1
A.Bilbao 3-0
4%
-11/1
Valencia 3-1
3%
-25/1
A.Bilbao 3-2
3%
-20/1
Valencia 3-2
2%
-28/1
Valencia 3-0
2%
-28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
-10/11
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
-4/5
Home 1st Goal
51%
-3/5
Away 1st Goal
45%
-17/10
No 1st Goal
5%
-15/2
BTTS - Yes
53%
-17/20
BTTS - No
47%
-17/20
BTTS - Home Win
20%
-11/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
-18/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
-13/2
Home/draw
71%
-2/9
Away/draw
55%
-19/20
Home/away
74%
-2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
-3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
-23/10
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
-11/5
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
-3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
-5/1
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
-1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
-11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
-1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
-1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
-8/1
Home DNB
63%
-1/3
Away DNB
48%
-2/1
A.Bilbao win to nil
24%
--
Valencia win to nil
16%
--
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
28%
-7/4
A.Bilbao / Valencia
3%
-28/1
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / A.Bilbao
17%
-18/5
Draw / Valencia
9%
-15/2
Draw / Draw
15%
-4/1
Valencia / A.Bilbao
4%
-18/1
Valencia / Valencia
12%
-11/2
Valencia / Draw
6%
-12/1
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Bilbao have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 3 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 37 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Bilbao have played 17 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Valencia are in 12th position in the La Liga on 39 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Valencia have conceded 31 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
Valencia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3328145785 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
May 24
l
 
6-0A
2
Real Madrid3323553774 
l
 
0-3A
May 24
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
3
Villarreal3320582165 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
4
A.Madrid3318691960 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
May 2
l
 
2-1A
5
Real Betis3312147850 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
6
Celta33111111244 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
4-1A
7
Getafe3313515-644 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
8
R.Sociedad33111012043 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
May 17
9
Osasuna3311913-142 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
A.Bilbao3312516-1241 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
May 10
11
R.Vallecano3391212-839 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
May 14
d
 
1-1A
12
Valencia3310914-1139 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
-
-
13
Elche3391113-638 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
14
Espanyol3210814-1238 
l
 
1-2F
May 13
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2F
15
Girona3391113-1438 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
16
Alaves339915-1136 
l
 
0-1A
May 2
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Mallorca339816-1035 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
18
Sevilla339717-1534 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
19
Levante328816-1332 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
20
Real Oviedo3361017-2528 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
A.Bilbao 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Valencia 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
A.Bilbao have not lost to Valencia in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A.Bilbao since 2015
A.Bilbao
Valencia
Goals: Scored
12
8
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
ATH
4
D
6
VAL
1
League games at Valencia since 2014
Valencia
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
8 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
4 / 12
ATH
4
D
3
VAL
5
Goal Statistics
A.Bilbao 10th Valencia 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that A.Bilbao will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Valencia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
A.Bilbao have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
-13
Valencia have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
Valencia
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
ATH
VAL
10%
better
view stats
Games scored22
25
Failed to score11
8
Scored first14
15
Goals scored36
37
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
ATH
VAL
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
25
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first18
17
Goals conceded48
48
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
16%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+9%

A.Bilbao v Valencia La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33949
U SimónG GuruzetaY BerchicheI Galarreta
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK33
1
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID312
4
1
I Galarreta MID3012
9
-
G Guruzeta FWD3091
4
1
Y Berchiche DEF294
4
-
D Vivian DEF281
8
1
Álex Berenguer FWD2823
4
-
R Navarro FWD2751
1
-
O Sancet MID263
4
1
I Williams FWD2524
2
-
J Areso DEF241
3
-
A. Rego Mora MID2411
5
-
N Williams FWD2342
2
-
A Laporte DEF211
2
-
M Vesga MID21
-
U Gómez MID2111
1
1
A Gorosabel DEF191
3
-
A Paredes DEF182
4
-
N Serrano  FWD141
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF11
2
-
U. Iruretagoiena Lertxundi FWD11
2
-
I Lekue DEF10
2
1
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD91
1
-
Y Álvarez DEF2
-
B Prados MID2
1
-
?. Padilla Pérez GLK1
1
Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28957
J GayàH DuroL RiojaJ Gayà
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Rioja FWD3225
1
-
J Guerra MID3115
3
-
H Duro FWD319
5
-
J Gayà DEF2912
6
1
A Danjuma FWD2932
-
D López FWD293
2
-
C Tárrega DEF27
6
-
L Beltrán MID2712
1
-
Pepelu MID262
3
-
T Correia DEF221
4
-
F Ugrinic  MID223
3
-
L Ramazani FWD2261
4
-
J Copete DEF21
5
-
A Almeida MID201
-
J Vázquez DEF19
2
-
B Santamaría MID1911
2
-
J Agirrezabala GLK18
1
-
S Dimitrievski GLK15
1
-
D Foulquier DEF15
1
-
E Cömert DEF142
2
-
D Raba FWD121
-
M Diakhaby DEF81
3
-
C Rivero GLK1
1