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Atletico de Madrid v Athletic Bilbao : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Apr, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Athletic Bilbao are on the road on Saturday night, as manager Ernesto Valverde Tejedor takes his side to visit Atletico de Madrid and Diego Pablo Simeone at the Wanda Metropolitano in the La Liga. Statistics drive the predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
62%
--
Draw
21%
--
A.Bilbao
16%
--
A.Madrid 1-0
12%
--
A.Madrid 2-0
11%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
--
A.Madrid 3-0
7%
--
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
A.Bilbao 1-0
5%
--
A.Bilbao 2-1
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
A.Madrid 4-0
4%
--
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
--
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
--
A.Bilbao 2-0
2%
--
A.Madrid 5-0
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Home 1st Goal
57%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
27%
--
BTTS - Draw
15%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
84%
--
Away/draw
38%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
77%
--
Away DNB
31%
--
A.Madrid win to nil
36%
--
A.Bilbao win to nil
8%
--
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 50 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 16 games at home winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 35 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

A.Bilbao are in 11th position in the La Liga on 38 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 3. A.Bilbao have conceded 23 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
A.Bilbao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3126145479 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
2
Real Madrid3122453670 
w
 
5-2F
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-3A
May 24
3
Villarreal3018481958 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
4
A.Madrid3017672057 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
5
Real Betis3011127745 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
6
Celta3011118744 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
May 17
l
 
2-0A
7
R.Sociedad3111911142 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
8
Getafe3012513-441 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
9
Osasuna3010812-138 
w
 
1-0F
May 13
Apr 21
d
 
1-1A
10
Espanyol3110813-1138 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2F
May 13
11
A.Bilbao3011514-1138 
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
-
-
12
Girona3191111-1238 
May 17
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
13
R.Vallecano3081111-635 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
14
Valencia319814-1235 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
May 10
l
 
2-0A
15
Alaves318914-1133 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
May 3
16
Elche3171113-832 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Mallorca308715-1231 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
18
Sevilla308715-1331 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 11
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1F
19
Levante306816-1626 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-2F
20
Real Oviedo305916-2724 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid1 - 2Barcelona
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Sociedad
A.Madrid4 - 2Espanyol
A.Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
A.Madrid3 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid1 - 0Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 1Valencia
A.Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
A.Madrid3 - 1Levante
A.Madrid3 - 0Sevilla
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
A.Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 1Elche
A.Madrid4 - 1Real Betis
A.Madrid4 - 0R.Sociedad
A.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid1 - 2Barcelona
AA.Madrid2 - 3Real Madrid
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid3 - 2R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid1 - 0Real Oviedo
HA.Madrid4 - 2Espanyol
AA.Madrid0 - 3R.Vallecano
HA.Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid0 - 0Levante
HA.Madrid3 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 0Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Sociedad
AA.Madrid3 - 0Girona
HA.Madrid2 - 1Valencia
AA.Madrid0 - 1A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid1 - 3Barcelona
HA.Madrid2 - 0Real Oviedo
AA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid3 - 1Levante
HA.Madrid3 - 0Sevilla
A.Bilbao 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Getafe2 - 0A.Bilbao
Girona3 - 0A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano1 - 1A.Bilbao
Real Oviedo1 - 2A.Bilbao
Sevilla2 - 1A.Bilbao
Mallorca3 - 2A.Bilbao
Osasuna1 - 1A.Bilbao
Celta2 - 0A.Bilbao
Levante0 - 2A.Bilbao
Barcelona4 - 0A.Bilbao
R.Sociedad3 - 2A.Bilbao
Elche0 - 0A.Bilbao
Villarreal1 - 0A.Bilbao
Valencia2 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Betis1 - 2A.Bilbao
Valencia0 - 1A.Bilbao
Getafe0 - 2A.Bilbao
R.Sociedad0 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Villarreal0 - 0A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Bilbao0 - 2Getafe
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Betis
AA.Bilbao0 - 3Girona
HA.Bilbao0 - 1Barcelona
AA.Bilbao1 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Elche
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Oviedo
HA.Bilbao4 - 2Levante
HA.Bilbao1 - 1R.Sociedad
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Sevilla
AA.Bilbao2 - 3Mallorca
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Osasuna
HA.Bilbao1 - 2Espanyol
AA.Bilbao0 - 2Celta
HA.Bilbao1 - 0A.Madrid
HA.Bilbao0 - 3Real Madrid
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Levante
AA.Bilbao0 - 4Barcelona
HA.Bilbao1 - 0Real Oviedo
AA.Bilbao2 - 3R.Sociedad
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
19
6
Games: Scored
9 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
2 / 11
ATM
9
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 1
A.Madrid1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 2
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at A.Bilbao since 2014
A.Bilbao
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
9 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
3 / 12
ATM
5
D
2
ATH
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Bilbao
A.Bilbao1 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao2 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao2 - 0
A.Bilbao2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Bilbao2 - 0
1 - 2A.Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1A.Madrid
1 - 4A.Madrid
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.9 against Athletic Bilbao on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A.Madrid 4th A.Bilbao 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of A.Bilbao scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+27
A.Madrid have scored 27% more goals at home than predicted
-30
A.Bilbao have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1.9
0.9
Attack rating
%
better
ATM
ATH
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ATM
ATH
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

A.Madrid v A.Bilbao La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261065
J OblakA SörlothG SimeoneA Sörloth
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sörloth FWD2910
4
1
J Álvarez FWD2984
2
-
Koke MID2822
5
-
A Griezmann FWD2761
-
G Simeone FWD2746
1
-
J Oblak GLK26
-
D Hancko DEF262
2
-
M Llorente DEF254
5
-
R Normand DEF221
3
-
N Molina DEF2221
4
-
N González FWD223
4
1
M Ruggeri DEF213
4
-
P Barrios MID2111
-
Álex Baena FWD2122
3
-
T Almada FWD2131
1
-
C Gallagher MID192
2
-
J Giménez DEF151
3
-
C Lenglet DEF131
4
1
Johnny MID13
5
-
M Pubill DEF121
1
-
G Raspadori FWD121
1
-
J Galán DEF5
-
J Musso GLK4
2
-
A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30649
U SimónG GuruzetaI WilliamsI Galarreta
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK30
1
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID292
3
-
I Galarreta MID2711
9
-
G Guruzeta FWD2761
3
1
Y Berchiche DEF263
4
-
D Vivian DEF251
8
1
Álex Berenguer FWD2523
4
-
J Areso DEF241
3
-
R Navarro FWD2451
1
-
O Sancet MID233
4
1
I Williams FWD2224
1
-
A. Rego Mora MID211
5
-
M Vesga MID20
-
U Gómez MID2011
1
1
N Williams FWD2042
2
-
A Laporte DEF191
2
-
A Paredes DEF171
4
-
A Gorosabel DEF161
2
-
N Serrano  FWD131
-
U. Iruretagoiena Lertxundi FWD11
2
-
I Lekue DEF9
2
1
A. Boiro Boiro DEF9
2
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD91
1
-
B Prados MID2
1
-
?. Padilla Pérez GLK1
1
Y Álvarez DEF1
-