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Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Mar, 17:30 BST, Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla

Sunday evening at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, and it’s a La Liga showdown between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano. Matías Jesús Almeyda and Iñigo Pérez Soto will be doing all they can to ensure victory. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this game will have 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics align with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Sevilla and R.Vallecano have seldom served up a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in La Liga individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, without a compelling favourite draw or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sevilla are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sevilla
47%
27/2011/8
Draw
26%
11/59/4
R.Vallecano
27%
21/1021/10
Draw 1-1
12%
5/119/4
Sevilla 1-0
11%
13/211/2
Sevilla 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Sevilla 2-0
8%
10/117/2
R.Vallecano 1-0
8%
8/113/2
Draw 0-0
7%
15/213/2
R.Vallecano 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Sevilla 3-1
5%
20/116/1
R.Vallecano 2-0
4%
14/111/1
Sevilla 3-0
4%
20/116/1
Sevilla 3-2
3%
33/122/1
R.Vallecano 3-1
2%
25/120/1
R.Vallecano 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Sevilla 4-1
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
6/523/20
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/613/20
Home 1st Goal
51%
5/617/20
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/56/5
No 1st Goal
5%
15/213/2
BTTS - Yes
52%
10/1110/11
BTTS - No
48%
10/115/6
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4/119/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/210/3
BTTS - Away Win
13%
11/25/1
Home/draw
73%
4/114/11
Away/draw
53%
4/74/7
Home/away
74%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/54/11
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
2/115/8
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3/129/10
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/42/9
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/100
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/121/14
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
7/113/2
Home DNB
65%
8/1313/20
Away DNB
45%
6/523/20
Sevilla win to nil
26%
11/4-
R.Vallecano win to nil
15%
4/1-
Sevilla / Sevilla
22%
11/413/5
Sevilla / R.Vallecano
3%
33/125/1
Sevilla / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Sevilla
15%
9/29/2
Draw / R.Vallecano
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
R.Vallecano / Sevilla
3%
28/120/1
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
17%
4/118/5
R.Vallecano / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Sevilla have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Sevilla have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Sevilla have played 13 games at home winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

R.Vallecano are in 15th position in the La Liga on 26 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 6 and won 4. R.Vallecano have conceded 25 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sevilla
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2520144261 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
2
Real Madrid2519333360 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
3
Villarreal2516362051 
l
 
1-2A
May 13
May 17
l
 
4-0A
4
A.Madrid2514651948 
Apr 12
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2A
5
Real Betis2511951042 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
6
Celta259106737 
l
 
0-1A
May 24
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
7
Espanyol2510510-635 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
Apr 22
l
 
1-0A
8
A.Bilbao2510411-634 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2A
Feb 28
l
 
1-0A
9
Osasuna259610133 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
10
R.Sociedad25889-132 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
11
Girona25799-1430 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
May 10
w
 
1-3F
12
Sevilla258512-729 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Mar 8
13
Getafe258512-929 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 3
14
Alaves257612-927 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
May 24
15
R.Vallecano246810-926 
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
-
-
16
Valencia256811-1326 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 13
17
Elche2551010-525 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
l
 
4-0A
18
Mallorca256613-1224 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
19
Levante254615-1818 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 22
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
20
Real Oviedo243813-2317 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
Mar 4
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
7
R.Vallecano have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Sevilla 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sevilla1 - 1Alaves
Sevilla1 - 1Girona
Sevilla2 - 1A.Bilbao
Sevilla0 - 1Celta
Sevilla0 - 3Levante
Sevilla4 - 0Real Oviedo
Sevilla0 - 2Real Betis
Sevilla1 - 0Osasuna
Sevilla1 - 3Mallorca
Sevilla4 - 1Barcelona
Sevilla1 - 2Villarreal
Sevilla2 - 2Elche
Sevilla1 - 2Getafe
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Sevilla1 - 0Las Palmas
Sevilla2 - 2Leganes
Sevilla1 - 1Alaves
Sevilla1 - 2A.Madrid
Sevilla0 - 1A.Bilbao
Sevilla1 - 1Mallorca
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASevilla1 - 0Getafe
HSevilla1 - 1Alaves
HSevilla1 - 1Girona
ASevilla1 - 4Mallorca
HSevilla2 - 1A.Bilbao
ASevilla2 - 2Elche
HSevilla0 - 1Celta
HSevilla0 - 3Levante
ASevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
HSevilla4 - 0Real Oviedo
ASevilla1 - 1Valencia
HSevilla0 - 2Real Betis
ASevilla1 - 2Espanyol
HSevilla1 - 0Osasuna
ASevilla0 - 3A.Madrid
ASevilla1 - 2R.Sociedad
HSevilla1 - 3Mallorca
HSevilla4 - 1Barcelona
ASevilla1 - 0R.Vallecano
HSevilla1 - 2Villarreal
R.Vallecano 15TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Betis1 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Celta3 - 0R.Vallecano
Elche4 - 0R.Vallecano
Espanyol1 - 0R.Vallecano
Real Oviedo0 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal4 - 0R.Vallecano
Levante0 - 3R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad0 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid3 - 2R.Vallecano
Osasuna2 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Vallecano
Girona1 - 3R.Vallecano
Celta1 - 2R.Vallecano
Las Palmas0 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao3 - 1R.Vallecano
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Barcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Real Betis
HR.Vallecano3 - 0A.Madrid
AR.Vallecano1 - 2Real Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 3Osasuna
AR.Vallecano0 - 3Celta
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Mallorca
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Getafe
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Elche
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Betis
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Espanyol
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
AR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Oviedo
HR.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
AR.Vallecano0 - 4Villarreal
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
AR.Vallecano3 - 0Levante
AR.Vallecano1 - 0R.Sociedad
HR.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
AR.Vallecano2 - 3A.Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Celta
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Sevilla have not lost to R.Vallecano in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sevilla since 2015
Sevilla
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
16
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
SEV
5
D
1
VAL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sevilla
Sevilla1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1R.Vallecano
Sevilla3 - 0
Sevilla5 - 0
Sevilla3 - 2
Sevilla2 - 0
League games at R.Vallecano since 2014
R.Vallecano
Sevilla
Goals: Scored
7
13
Games: Scored
6 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
2 / 8
SEV
4
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
0 - 1Sevilla
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Sevilla
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Sevilla
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Sevilla
Goal Statistics

Sevilla have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.5 against Rayo Vallecano on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Sevilla 12th R.Vallecano 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Sevilla will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that R.Vallecano will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Sevilla have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
R.Vallecano have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Sevilla
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
30%
better
SEV
VAL
view stats
Games scored20
14
Failed to score5
10
Scored first11
8
Goals scored32
22
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for16
9
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
SEV
VAL
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
17
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first14
13
Goals conceded39
31
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+16%

Sevilla v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Sevilla La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
216410
O VlachodimosA AdamsA AdamsJ Carmona
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Carmona DEF2313
10
-
L Agoumé MID2212
8
-
O Vlachodimos GLK21
1
-
D Sow MID214
3
-
N Gudelj MID211
6
-
P Fernández  FWD2121
7
-
B Mendy MID201
6
-
J Sánchez MID202
2
1
A Adams FWD2064
1
-
G Suazo DEF182
3
-
C Ejuke FWD1811
-
I. Romero Bernal FWD183
5
-
A Sánchez FWD1721
1
-
K Salas DEF141
-
M Marcão DEF131
4
1
R Vargas FWD1334
1
-
C Azpilicueta DEF12
4
-
A Januzaj FWD11
1
-
A González FWD101
-
A Castrín DEF9
3
-
T Nianzou DEF9
5
-
Örjan Nyland GLK4
1
-
F Cardoso DEF4
-
J Jordán MID4
1
1
M Bueno MID4
-
R. Martinez Gil DEF2
-
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24747
A BatallaJ FrutosÁlvaro GarcíaI Palazón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK24
4
-
F Lejeune DEF24
3
-
Álvaro García FWD2434
3
-
P Chavarría DEF2312
5
1
I Palazón FWD2333
7
-
J Frutos FWD2271
2
-
A Rațiu DEF213
6
-
P Díaz MID21
1
-
Óscar Valentín MID211
2
1
F Pérez FWD202
2
-
A Espino DEF181
2
-
G Gumbau MID171
4
-
P Ciss MID171
4
2
U López MID173
5
1
N Mendy DEF152
4
1
A Alemão FWD131
1
-
S Camello FWD13
2
1
I Balliu DEF9
2
-
L Felipe DEF8
1
-
R Nteka MID8
-
J Vertrouwd DEF7
-
Óscar Trejo MID5
2
-