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Valencia CF v Alaves : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Mar, 20:00 BST, Mestalla, Valencia

Valencia CF and Alaves meet at the Mestalla on Sunday night, with both Carlos Corberán Vallet and Eduardo Germán Coudet aiming for victory in the La Liga. La Liga statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a close-fought game here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Valencia and Alaves go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver precisely that. The statistics and the odds below point in this direction too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Valencia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Valencia
46%
2.152.20
Draw
28%
3.003.00
Alaves
26%
3.703.70
Valencia 1-0
14%
6.005.50
Draw 1-1
13%
6.005.75
Draw 0-0
10%
6.506.00
Alaves 1-0
10%
8.507.50
Valencia 2-0
9%
9.008.50
Valencia 2-1
9%
9.508.50
Alaves 2-1
6%
13.0012.00
Alaves 2-0
4%
17.0013.00
Valencia 3-0
4%
21.0017.00
Draw 2-2
4%
17.0015.00
Valencia 3-1
4%
21.0017.00
Alaves 3-1
2%
34.0026.00
Valencia 3-2
2%
41.0026.00
Valencia 4-0
1%
41.0034.00
Alaves 3-0
1%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
2.502.50
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
1.531.50
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.801.80
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.402.50
No 1st Goal
7%
6.506.00
BTTS - Yes
44%
2.052.10
BTTS - No
56%
1.701.67
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5.505.00
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.504.50
BTTS - Away Win
10%
9.008.00
Home/draw
74%
1.291.29
Away/draw
54%
1.671.67
Home/away
72%
1.361.36
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1.501.48
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
2.632.50
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
5.004.80
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1.171.17
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
11.0010.00
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.051.04
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
23.0021.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.011.00
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.111.10
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6.506.00
Home DNB
66%
1.501.48
Away DNB
45%
2.502.45
Valencia win to nil
29%
3.25-
Alaves win to nil
16%
5.50-
Valencia / Valencia
23%
3.603.40
Valencia / Alaves
2%
41.0029.00
Valencia / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Valencia
16%
5.005.00
Draw / Alaves
11%
7.507.50
Draw / Draw
19%
4.334.00
Alaves / Valencia
3%
29.0023.00
Alaves / Alaves
14%
6.005.75
Alaves / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Valencia have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Valencia have conceded 35 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Valencia have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Alaves lay in 14th place on 27 points in the La Liga league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 6 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Alaves have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Alaves have played 12 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Valencia
Alaves
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2520144261 
May 24
l
 
6-0A
May 13
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid2519333360 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 22
3
Villarreal2516362051 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
Mar 13
l
 
3-1A
4
A.Madrid2514651948 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
Real Betis2511951042 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
6
Celta259106737 
Apr 5
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
7
Espanyol2510510-635 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
8
A.Bilbao2510411-634 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
May 3
w
 
0-1F
9
Osasuna259610133 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
10
R.Sociedad25889-132 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
11
Girona25799-1430 
Apr 26
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
12
Sevilla258512-729 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
13
Getafe258512-929 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
14
Alaves257612-927 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
15
R.Vallecano246810-926 
May 13
d
 
1-1A
May 24
l
 
1-0A
16
Valencia256811-1326 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
17
Elche2551010-525 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 12
w
 
3-1F
May 10
18
Mallorca256613-1224 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 22
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
19
Levante254615-1818 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 27
20
Real Oviedo243813-2317 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
May 17
Win / draw / win form
Valencia 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Valencia0 - 2Real Madrid
Valencia3 - 2Espanyol
Valencia1 - 1Elche
Valencia1 - 1Mallorca
Valencia1 - 1Sevilla
Valencia1 - 0Levante
Valencia1 - 1Real Betis
Valencia0 - 2Villarreal
Valencia1 - 2Real Oviedo
Valencia2 - 0A.Bilbao
Valencia3 - 0Getafe
Valencia1 - 1R.Sociedad
Valencia0 - 1A.Bilbao
Valencia3 - 0Getafe
Valencia1 - 1Espanyol
Valencia1 - 0Sevilla
Valencia1 - 0Mallorca
Valencia2 - 1Valladolid
Valencia0 - 3A.Madrid
Valencia2 - 0Leganes
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AValencia1 - 2Villarreal
AValencia2 - 0Levante
HValencia0 - 2Real Madrid
AValencia1 - 2Real Betis
HValencia3 - 2Espanyol
AValencia1 - 0Getafe
HValencia1 - 1Elche
AValencia1 - 4Celta
HValencia1 - 1Mallorca
AValencia1 - 2A.Madrid
HValencia1 - 1Sevilla
AValencia1 - 1R.Vallecano
HValencia1 - 0Levante
HValencia1 - 1Real Betis
AValencia0 - 4Real Madrid
HValencia0 - 2Villarreal
AValencia0 - 0Alaves
AValencia1 - 2Girona
HValencia1 - 2Real Oviedo
AValencia2 - 2Espanyol
Alaves 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sevilla1 - 1Alaves
Espanyol1 - 2Alaves
A.Madrid1 - 0Alaves
Villarreal3 - 1Alaves
Osasuna3 - 0Alaves
Barcelona3 - 1Alaves
Girona1 - 0Alaves
R.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
Mallorca1 - 0Alaves
Getafe1 - 1Alaves
A.Bilbao0 - 1Alaves
Real Betis1 - 0Alaves
Valladolid0 - 1Alaves
A.Bilbao1 - 0Alaves
Sevilla1 - 1Alaves
Girona0 - 1Alaves
Las Palmas2 - 2Alaves
Mallorca1 - 1Alaves
Leganes3 - 3Alaves
Barcelona1 - 0Alaves
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlaves2 - 2Girona
AAlaves1 - 1Sevilla
HAlaves0 - 2Getafe
AAlaves2 - 1Espanyol
HAlaves2 - 1Real Betis
AAlaves0 - 1A.Madrid
AAlaves1 - 3Villarreal
HAlaves1 - 1Real Oviedo
AAlaves0 - 3Osasuna
HAlaves1 - 2Real Madrid
HAlaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
AAlaves1 - 3Barcelona
HAlaves0 - 1Celta
AAlaves0 - 1Girona
HAlaves2 - 1Espanyol
AAlaves0 - 1R.Vallecano
HAlaves0 - 0Valencia
HAlaves3 - 1Elche
AAlaves0 - 1Mallorca
AAlaves1 - 1Getafe
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Alaves have not lost to Valencia in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Valencia since 2016
Valencia
Alaves
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
VAL
5
D
2
ALV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Valencia
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Alaves
Valencia3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Valencia2 - 1
Valencia3 - 1
Valencia3 - 1
Valencia2 - 1
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
Valencia
Goals: Scored
12
8
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
VAL
1
D
3
ALV
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
Draw0 - 0Draw
Alaves1 - 0
Alaves1 - 0
Alaves2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Alaves2 - 1
1 - 2Valencia
Alaves2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Valencia 16th Alaves 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Valencia will score no more than 1 goal
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Alaves scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Valencia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
Alaves have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Valencia
PG (predicted goals)
Alaves
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
24%
better
VAL
ALV
view stats
Games scored19
15
Failed to score6
9
Scored first11
7
Goals scored26
21
Avg. goals scored1
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for14
10
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
2%
better
VAL
ALV
view stats
Games conceded19
21
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first13
16
Goals conceded39
30
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%

Valencia v Alaves La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20746
L RiojaH DuroL RiojaC Tárrega
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Guerra MID243
3
-
H Duro FWD247
5
-
L Rioja FWD2424
1
-
A Danjuma FWD2332
-
Pepelu MID222
3
-
D López FWD223
2
-
J Copete DEF21
5
-
C Tárrega DEF21
6
-
J Gayà DEF2111
5
1
L Beltrán MID2112
-
B Santamaría MID1911
2
-
J Agirrezabala GLK18
1
-
T Correia DEF161
3
-
D Foulquier DEF15
1
-
J Vázquez DEF15
2
-
F Ugrinic  MID153
3
-
A Almeida MID151
-
L Ramazani FWD1431
3
-
D Raba FWD111
-
M Diakhaby DEF81
3
-
E Cömert DEF81
1
-
S Dimitrievski GLK7
-
C Rivero GLK1
1
Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25746
A SiveraL BoyéC AleñáV. Parada González
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK25
-
P Ibáñez MID2511
4
-
C Aleñá MID254
3
-
J Castro DEF24
5
-
T Martínez FWD2452
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF231
2
-
A Blanco MID2311
5
-
C Vicente FWD215
1
-
D Suárez MID201
3
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF191
3
-
L Boyé FWD1971
1
1
A Rebbach FWD19
4
-
J Pacheco DEF18
2
-
V. Parada González DEF182
6
-
Calebe MID17
2
-
A Guevara MID171
2
-
J Guridi MID16
-
F Garcés DEF9
3
-
M Díaz FWD9
1
-
C Benavídez MID7
1
1
M Diarra DEF3
1
-