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Botafogo v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 17th Jul, 01:30 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Thiago Carpini Barbosa is aiming for a crucial away win in the Serie A on Thursday morning, as he takes his Vitória side to the Estádio Nilton Santos to visit Botafogo and Renato Manuel Alves Paiva. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Botafogo to win

We're predicting Botafogo will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Wednesday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home supporters when that final whistle blows at Estádio Nilton Santos.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Botafogo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Botafogo
66%
1/2
12%
8/15
6%
Draw
21%
29/10
9%
3/1
5%
Vitoria
13%
6/1
40%
11/2
18%
Botafogo 1-0
14%
9/2
21%
17/4
5%
Botafogo 2-0
13%
5/1
19%
5/1
8%
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
7%
13/2
7%
Botafogo 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Botafogo 3-0
8%
9/1
23%
8/1
10%
Draw 0-0
7%
15/2
11%
7/1
Botafogo 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Vitoria 1-0
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Botafogo 4-0
4%
20/1
19%
16/1
11%
Vitoria 2-1
3%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
40%
16/1
Botafogo 4-1
3%
28/120/1
Botafogo 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
Vitoria 2-0
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
10%
Botafogo 5-0
2%
40/1
20%
28/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
11/10
8%
21/20
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
7/10
8%
7/10
Home 1st Goal
60%
1/3
9%
4/9
4%
Away 1st Goal
35%
3/1
25%
5/2
13%
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
11%
7/1
BTTS - Yes
43%
6/5
15%
5/4
7%
BTTS - No
57%
8/13
15%
3/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1
7%
29/10
BTTS - Draw
14%
5/1
26%
19/4
10%
BTTS - Away Win
5%
14/1
50%
11/1
20%
Home/draw
87%
1/10
6%
1/9
3%
Away/draw
34%
6/4
19%
6/4
11%
Home/away
79%
1/4
3%
2/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
4/11
5%
4/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/5
9%
2/1
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3/1
18%
13/5
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/4
6%
1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1
23%
6/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12
3%
1/12
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1
31%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/66
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14
1%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
15/2
11%
7/1
Home DNB
81%
1/7
6%
2/13
6%
Away DNB
28%
9/2
33%
19/5
20%
Botafogo win to nil
42%
6/5
20%
-
Vitoria win to nil
8%
10/1
11%
-
Botafogo / Botafogo
35%
13/10
13%
5/4
6%
Botafogo / Vitoria
2%
40/140/1
21%
Botafogo / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Botafogo
20%
3/1
11%
3/1
5%
Draw / Vitoria
6%
12/1
30%
11/1
20%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
5%
Vitoria / Botafogo
4%
22/120/1
Vitoria / Vitoria
8%
11/1
50%
17/2
19%
Vitoria / Draw
5%
18/1
27%
14/1
Win / draw / win form
3
Botafogo have won 3 consecutive home league games
14
Botafogo have not lost in 14 consecutive home league games
Botafogo 6TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Vitoria 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Botafogo have not lost to Vitoria in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
3
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
BOT
1
D
2
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
BOT
2
D
1
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks like a tall order for Vitória, with T. Carpini Barbosa's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Serie A outings.

Botafogo 6th Vitoria 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 85% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Botafogo have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+18
Vitoria have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294583/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Botafogo
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
1.9
0.7
Attack rating
29%
better
BOT
VIT
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score5
6
Scored first6
2
Goals scored16
10
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.8
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for12
9
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
47%
better
BOT
VIT
view stats
Games conceded5
11
Clean sheets7
2
Conceded first4
9
Goals conceded7
15
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded15
9
Conversion rate against7%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+47%

Botafogo v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12244
JohnA Telles M FreitasA Barboza
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
John GLK12
2
-
M Freitas MID1214
2
-
Vitinho DEF111
1
-
A Telles  DEF112
1
-
Gregore MID11
3
-
Artur FWD1123
1
-
Cuiabano DEF911
2
-
M Ponte DEF81
1
-
J Savarino MID821
1
-
S Rodríguez MID7
-
G Mastriani FWD71
1
-
A Barboza DEF6
4
-
D Loiola DEF6
1
P Paula MID6
-
Allan MID6
1
-
N Fernandes FWD61
1
-
M Martins FWD5
1
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID4
1
-
R Seco FWD4
-
D Barbosa MID3
1
-
Jeffinho FWD31
-
M Marçal DEF2
1
-
E Manoel FWD2
-
Kaio DEF1
-
?. Montoro MID1
1
-
K. Cordeiro Lindes MID1
-
A Cabral FWD11
-
J Correa FWD1
-
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12224
L ArcanjoMatheuzinhoJamersonClaudinho
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arcanjo GLK12
1
-
Jamerson DEF122
-
L Halter DEF121
3
-
G Baralhas MID11
3
-
Ronald MID11
2
-
R Ryller MID11
3
-
Claudinho DEF10
4
-
Z Marcos DEF10
1
-
Matheuzinho MID102
3
1
Edu DEF6
-
Pepê MID6
1
1
W Oliveira MID5
2
-
Neris DEF3
1
-
R Cáceres DEF3
1
-
M. Kesley de Jesus Ramalho DEF2
-
Gabriel GLK1
-
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