FREE BETS	ODDS	RETURNS	BET
	-	-
	-	-

Botafogo v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Jul, 23:30 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

the Estádio Nilton Santos masses welcome Vitória's travelling contingent on Wednesday morning, as Davide Ancelotti's Botafogo face Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura's team in the Serie A. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Botafogo and Vitoria will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Davide Ancelotti or Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Botafogo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Botafogo 58%	OFF 100%	3/4 11%
Draw 23%	OFF 100%	29/10 3%
Vitoria 19%	OFF 100%	17/5 27%
Botafogo 1-0 11%	6/1 8%	6/1 17%
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1 7%	11/2 7%
Botafogo 2-0 10%	7/1 14%	13/2 15%
Botafogo 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Botafogo 3-0 6%	12/1 18%	10/1 16%
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1 10%	10/1 22%
Botafogo 3-1 6%	12/1	11/1 9%
Vitoria 1-0 6%	14/1	10/1 8%
Vitoria 2-1 5%	16/1 11%	11/1 20%
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1 12%	11/1 20%
Botafogo 4-0 3%	25/1 24%	18/1 12%
Botafogo 3-2 3%	25/1 10%	18/1 10%
Vitoria 2-0 3%	25/1 24%	16/1 26%
Botafogo 4-1 3%	25/1 13%	20/1 11%
Vitoria 3-1 2%	40/1 20%	25/1 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	17/20 3%	4/5 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	19/20 3%	19/20 5%
Home 1st Goal 56%	8/15 6%	11/20 8%
Away 1st Goal 40%	7/4 8%	13/8 19%
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1 10%	10/1 22%
BTTS - Yes 52%	4/5 8%	3/4 13%
BTTS - No 48%	19/20 8%	19/20 11%
BTTS - Home Win 26%	13/5	5/2
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4 14%	18/5 12%
BTTS - Away Win 10%	9/1 17%	13/2 25%
Home/draw 81%	1/6 4%	1/5 7%
Away/draw 42%	23/20 10%	21/20 14%
Home/away 77%	2/7 3%	1/4 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	2/7	1/4 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	11/4	11/4 10%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	11/5 6%	2/1 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	4/11 2%	4/11 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	5/1	9/2 4%
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/8	1/8 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/25	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20 1%	1/33 2%
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1 10%	10/1 22%
Home DNB 74%	1/4 6%	3/10 10%
Away DNB 35%	11/4 17%	11/5 24%
Botafogo win to nil 32%	7/4 10%	-
Vitoria win to nil 10%	8/1 18%	-
Botafogo / Botafogo 32%	8/5 9%	8/5 13%
Botafogo / Vitoria 2%	40/1	25/1 24%
Botafogo / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1 20%
Draw / Botafogo 18%	7/2 4%	19/5 11%
Draw / Vitoria 8%	9/1 17%	8/1 18%
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	19/4 5%
Vitoria / Botafogo 4%	20/1	16/1 11%
Vitoria / Vitoria 10%	15/2 15%	11/2 24%
Vitoria / Draw 5%	16/1	11/1 20%

Win / draw / win form

Vitoria have not won in 10 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo	2 - 1	Santos
Botafogo	3 - 1	Corinthians
Botafogo	1 - 2	Remo
Botafogo	2 - 2	Internacional
Botafogo	2 - 2	Cortiba
Botafogo	3 - 2	Mirassol
Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
Botafogo	4 - 0	Cruzeiro
Botafogo	4 - 2	Fortaleza
Botafogo	3 - 2	Gremio
Botafogo	3 - 2	S. Recife
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	2 - 2	Santos
Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
Botafogo	2 - 1	Bahia
Botafogo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Botafogo	3 - 3	Mirassol
Botafogo	4 - 1	Bragantino
Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Botafogo	0 - 2	Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Botafogo	2 - 1	Santos
A	Botafogo	1 - 2	Bahia
A	Botafogo	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Botafogo	3 - 1	Corinthians
A	Botafogo	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Botafogo	1 - 2	Remo
H	Botafogo	2 - 2	Internacional
A	Botafogo	4 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Botafogo	2 - 2	Cortiba
A	Botafogo	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
H	Botafogo	3 - 2	Mirassol
A	Botafogo	1 - 4	Athletico PR
A	Botafogo	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Botafogo	1 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Fluminense
A	Botafogo	3 - 5	Gremio
H	Botafogo	4 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Botafogo	4 - 2	Fortaleza
A	Botafogo	2 - 2	Cruzeiro

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos	3 - 1	Vitoria
Bragantino	2 - 0	Vitoria
Fluminense	2 - 2	Vitoria
Athletico PR	3 - 1	Vitoria
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Vitoria
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Vitoria
Gremio	2 - 0	Vitoria
Bahia	1 - 1	Vitoria
Palmeiras	5 - 1	Vitoria
Bragantino	4 - 0	Vitoria
S. Recife	1 - 3	Vitoria
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Vitoria
Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Vitoria
Santos	0 - 1	Vitoria
Vasco d Gama	4 - 3	Vitoria
Gremio	3 - 1	Vitoria
Fortaleza	2 - 0	Vitoria
Flamengo	8 - 0	Vitoria
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Vitoria
Mirassol	1 - 1	Vitoria

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Santos
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vitoria	2 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Athletico PR
H	Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Vitoria	1 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Vitoria	0 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Gremio
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Vitoria	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Vitoria	1 - 5	Palmeiras
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Remo
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Vitoria	0 - 4	Bragantino

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Botafogo have drawn with Vitoria in 3 consecutive league meetings

Botafogo have not lost to Vitoria in 8 consecutive league meetings

Botafogo

Vitoria

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

1 / 4

BOT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Botafogo	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Vitoria

Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

3 / 4

BOT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Botafogo
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	3 - 4	Botafogo

Goal Statistics

	Botafogo 10th	Vitoria 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+38 Botafogo have scored 38% more goals at home than predicted	-2 Vitoria’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.1 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	2.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

better

BOT

VIT

view stats

Games scored	2		3
Failed to score	1		0
Scored first	2		1
Goals scored	7		4
Avg. goals scored	2.3		1.3
Avg. shots per game	7		9
Avg. shots per goal	3		7
Conversion rate for	33		15
Avg. XG for	0.8		1.6
KickOff rating		+7%

13%

better

BOT

VIT

view stats

Games conceded	2		2
Clean sheets	1		1
Conceded first	1		2
Goals conceded	6		7
Avg. goals conceded	2		2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		4
Conversion rate against	21%		28%
Avg. XG against	2.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+13%

Botafogo v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	7	3	4
A Telles	A Cabral	?. Montoro	C Medina

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Telles DEF	16	2	2	3 -
Vitinho DEF	16		2	3 -
M Martins FWD	16	4		2 -
A Cabral FWD	15	7	1	2 -
?. Montoro FWD	15		3	3 -
N Ferraresi DEF	13	1		3 -
Edenilson MID	13	3	2	2 -
C Medina MID	12	1		3 1
Danilo MID	12	7	2	1 -
S Rodríguez MID	11			1 -
J Herrera MID	11	1		-
Allan MID	10			3 -
L Jaume FWD	10	1	1	2 -
M Ponte DEF	9		1	3 -
J Santos FWD	9	1		2 -
K. Barria FWD	9	1	1	1 -
Raul GLK	8			1 -
E. Justino DEF	7			1 -
Bastos DEF	6			1 -
J Correa FWD	6		1	3 -
M Marçal DEF	5			1 -
V. de Melo Moura MID	4	1		2 -
N Fernandes FWD	4		1	-
Caio Gomes DEF	3		1	-
C Ramos FWD	3			1 -
L Linck GLK	1			-
J Mejia DEF	1			-
Y. Rodrigues de Oliveira DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	16	3	5
A Cabral	M Martins	?. Montoro	Danilo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Cabral FWD	7	16	1	2
Danilo MID	7	12	2	5
M Martins FWD	4	16
Edenilson MID	3	5	2	2
A Telles DEF	2	2	2	3
N Ferraresi DEF	1	1
C Medina MID	1	3		1
J Herrera MID	1	5
L Jaume FWD	1	2	1	3
J Santos FWD	1	4
K. Barria FWD	1	4	1	1
V. de Melo Moura MID	1	2
Vitinho DEF			2	3
?. Montoro FWD		4	3	3
S Rodríguez MID				2
Allan MID				2
M Ponte DEF			1
J Correa FWD		1	1
M Marçal DEF		2
N Fernandes FWD		1	1	1
Caio Gomes DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
557	34	64
N Ferraresi	Vitinho	A Cabral

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Ferraresi DEF	557	26	56
Danilo MID	527	16	34
Vitinho DEF	426	34	60
A Telles DEF	415	18	43
C Medina MID	405	16	52
?. Montoro FWD	337	11	60
Bastos DEF	313	10	17
M Martins FWD	286	18	54
Allan MID	253	13	22
Raul GLK	238		6
M Ponte DEF	211	8	30
A Cabral FWD	196	8	64
Edenilson MID	195	5	17
S Rodríguez MID	187	16	48
E. Justino DEF	141	10	19
V. de Melo Moura MID	121	6	18
J Herrera MID	116	3	18
M Marçal DEF	91	4	5
L Jaume FWD	72	11	25
J Correa FWD	71	2	10
J Santos FWD	60	1	26
K. Barria FWD	40	5	29
L Linck GLK	35
Caio Gomes DEF	34	3	6
N Fernandes FWD	31	1	5
Y. Rodrigues de Oliveira DEF	23	1	2
J Mejia DEF	16		1
C Ramos FWD	4	1	2

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	5	4	5
Ramon	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	E Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Erick FWD	17	2	4	1 -
Matheuzinho MID	16	2	1	3 -
Ramon DEF	15	2		3 -
E Martínez MID	15			5 -
Caique MID	15			3 -
G Baralhas MID	15	2	3	4 -
L Arcanjo GLK	14			1 -
Cacá DEF	13	1		3 -
N Mendes DEF	13		1	3 -
D. Tarzia FWD	13	2	2	1 -
R Kayzer FWD	13	4	1	3 -
L Cândido DEF	11		2	1 -
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	11	5	1	2 -
J. Silva Neves MID	10	1		3 -
F Fabrício FWD	9		1	-
Camutanga DEF	8			-
A Cantalapiedra MID	8			1 -
Marinho FWD	8			-
Jamerson DEF	7			1 -
Gabriel GLK	4			-
L Silva FWD	4			1 -
A. Santos FWD	4			1 -
Dudu MID	3	1		-
Z Marcos DEF	2			1 -
Riccieli DEF	2			-
Matheusinho DEF	2			-
J. Silva Costa MID	2			-
Osvaldo FWD	2			-
E Brítez DEF	1			-
Edu DEF	1			-
T Pochettino MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	15	4	6
C. de Sousa Ferreira	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	Erick

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	5	15	1	1
R Kayzer FWD	4	8	1	1
Erick FWD	2	9	4	6
Matheuzinho MID	2	11	1	2
Ramon DEF	2	4
G Baralhas MID	2	4	3	4
D. Tarzia FWD	2	8	2	2
Cacá DEF	1	2
J. Silva Neves MID	1	3		1
Dudu MID	1	1
E Martínez MID		1
Caique MID		1
N Mendes DEF			1	1
L Cândido DEF		3	2	1
F Fabrício FWD		3	1	1
Camutanga DEF		1		1
A Cantalapiedra MID		1		1
Marinho FWD		1
A. Santos FWD		1
Z Marcos DEF		1
Matheusinho DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
559	28	75
E Martínez	Ramon	J. Silva Neves

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Martínez MID	559	26	65
Caique MID	536	24	57
Ramon DEF	495	28	62
Cacá DEF	468	7	32
G Baralhas MID	450	23	54
Erick FWD	441	11	66
L Arcanjo GLK	397		4
N Mendes DEF	388	26	54
L Cândido DEF	361	11	45
J. Silva Neves MID	319	19	75
Matheuzinho MID	304	5	53
Camutanga DEF	179	11	32
Jamerson DEF	139	9	33
A Cantalapiedra MID	102	5	18
D. Tarzia FWD	101	10	26
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	92	4	47
R Kayzer FWD	90	3	29
Gabriel GLK	82		3
Dudu MID	75	4	18
Z Marcos DEF	67	3	5
Matheusinho DEF	43	2	7
Marinho FWD	37	5	15
Edu DEF	35	1	3
Riccieli DEF	32	1	4
F Fabrício FWD	20	7	21
A. Santos FWD	16	5	8
T Pochettino MID	12	3	3
J. Silva Costa MID	11		1
L Silva FWD	9	1	3
Osvaldo FWD	9	1	1
E Brítez DEF	6	2	2