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Fluminense v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 27th Nov, 23:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Thursday night at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Fluminense and Sao Paulo. Luis Francisco Zubeldía and Hernán Jorge Crespo will be doing all they can to claim victory. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Serie A match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Fluminense 47%	-	-
Draw 29%	-	-
Sao Paulo 23%	-	-
Fluminense 1-0 16%	-	-
Draw 0-0 13%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Sao Paulo 1-0 10%	-	-
Fluminense 2-0 10%	-	-
Fluminense 2-1 8%	-	-
Sao Paulo 2-1 5%	-	-
Fluminense 3-0 4%	-	-
Sao Paulo 2-0 4%	-	-
Fluminense 3-1 3%	-	-
Draw 2-2 3%	-	-
Sao Paulo 3-1 1%	-	-
Fluminense 3-2 1%	-	-
Fluminense 4-0 1%	-	-
Sao Paulo 3-0 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 34%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 66%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	-	-
No 1st Goal 9%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 39%	-	-
BTTS - No 61%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	-	-
Home/draw 77%	-	-
Away/draw 53%	-	-
Home/away 71%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 61%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 39%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 15%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 85%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	-	-
Home DNB 68%	-	-
Away DNB 44%	-	-
Fluminense win to nil 32%	-	-
Sao Paulo win to nil 16%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Fluminense	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	S. Recife
Fluminense	1 - 1	Vitoria
Fluminense	1 - 0	Santos
Fluminense	2 - 1	Bragantino
Fluminense	1 - 0	Cuiaba
Fluminense	0 - 0	Criciuma
Fluminense	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Fluminense	2 - 2	Gremio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Santos
A	Fluminense	2 - 4	Bragantino
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Fluminense	3 - 3	Bahia
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Fluminense	1 - 3	Sao Paulo
H	Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Mirassol	3 - 0	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Santos	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
S. Recife	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
Internacional	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
Juventude	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bragantino	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
Flamengo	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Bahia	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Ceara	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Botafogo	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
A Mineiro	0 - 0	Sao Paulo
Botafogo	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bragantino	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Bahia	0 - 3	Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Flamengo
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Bahia
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 3	Mirassol
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Gremio
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 3	Palmeiras
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Ceara
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Santos
H	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Sao Paulo	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Internacional
H	Sao Paulo	3 - 1	Fluminense
A	Sao Paulo	1 - 0	Juventude
H	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Corinthians
A	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Bragantino

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Fluminense

Sao Paulo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

0 / 7

FLU

SAO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense	2 - 0
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	3 - 1
Fluminense	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Sao Paulo

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

FLU

SAO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo	3 - 1
Sao Paulo	2 - 1
Sao Paulo	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Sao Paulo	3 - 1
	0 - 2	Fluminense
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Fluminense of late. It has been 8 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday night against Sao Paulo.

	Fluminense 7th	Sao Paulo 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 22% 3 4+ There is a 64% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal	0 45% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 81% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-8 Fluminense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+15 Sao Paulo have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

better

FLU

SAO

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

FLU

SAO

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Fluminense v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	6	3	8
F Fábio	G Cano	K Serna	J Freytes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	33			2 -
H Hércules MID	29	3		1 -
J Freytes DEF	28		1	7 1
Martinelli MID	28	2	2	6 -
K Serna FWD	28	5	3	3 -
Lima MID	26	2	1	2 -
A Canobbio FWD	26	2	2	5 -
S Xavier DEF	24	4	1	3 -
Renê DEF	24	2		2 -
Everaldo FWD	23	2		1 -
T Silva DEF	22	1		1 -
G Cano FWD	22	6		1 -
F Cruz MID	19			6 -
Guga DEF	17	1	1	1 -
Keno FWD	17	1	2	1 -
Ignacio DEF	15			2 1
Nonato MID	15	1		3 -
Ganso MID	14			2 -
J Kennedy FWD	14	1	2	1 -
Y Soteldo FWD	13			-
L Acosta MID	12	2	1	4 -
G Fuentes DEF	10			3 -
T Santos DEF	8			2 -
O Otávio MID	6			-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	6		1	1 -
Manoel DEF	5			-
S Moreno FWD	5			2 -
R Lezcano MID	4			-
I Rabello DEF	3			1 1
J Lavega FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	3	4
G Cano	K Serna	K Serna	K Serna

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Cano FWD	6	13		1
K Serna FWD	5	16	3	4
S Xavier DEF	4	5	1	1
H Hércules MID	3	9
Martinelli MID	2	5	2	3
Lima MID	2	6	1	2
A Canobbio FWD	2	11	2	2
Renê DEF	2	2		2
Everaldo FWD	2	8		3
L Acosta MID	2	7	1	4
T Silva DEF	1	4
Guga DEF	1	2	1	3
Keno FWD	1	6	2	2
Nonato MID	1	3
J Kennedy FWD	1	7	2	1
J Freytes DEF		5	1	1
F Cruz MID		4		1
Ignacio DEF		3		1
Ganso MID				2
Y Soteldo FWD				2
G Fuentes DEF		2
R. Silva de Almeida FWD		1	1	1
J Lavega FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1898	50	126
J Freytes	H Hércules	K Serna

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	1898	19	97
T Silva DEF	1380	10	59
Martinelli MID	1344	42	110
S Xavier DEF	1116	33	72
Renê DEF	1116	45	114
H Hércules MID	999	50	101
F Fábio GLK	602		7
Ignacio DEF	580	21	62
A Canobbio FWD	575	46	122
Guga DEF	568	30	64
F Cruz MID	562	27	57
K Serna FWD	502	31	126
Lima MID	461	15	62
Ganso MID	443	10	34
L Acosta MID	419	15	53
G Fuentes DEF	416	20	47
G Cano FWD	341	6	43
Nonato MID	337	14	29
Everaldo FWD	206	7	71
O Otávio MID	179	5	16
Manoel DEF	178		6
Keno FWD	133	9	46
Y Soteldo FWD	129	5	29
I Rabello DEF	117	2	7
J Kennedy FWD	115		22
T Santos DEF	108	9	19
S Moreno FWD	74	2	6
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	49	9	17
R Lezcano MID	36	1	5
J Lavega FWD	22	1	6

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	8	5	10
Rafael	Luciano	E Díaz	Luciano

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Rafael GLK	31			2 -
Luciano FWD	28	8	4	10 -
E Díaz DEF	27		5	10 -
D Bobadilla MID	27	3	1	4 -
Alisson MID	27		1	5 -
Sabino DEF	26	1		2 -
A Franco DEF	25			6 -
C Soares DEF	24		2	1 -
M Antônio MID	24		3	4 -
Ferreira FWD	24	5	3	3 -
N Ferraresi DEF	22		3	3 -
R Arboleda DEF	22	3		4 -
P Maia MID	20	1		3 -
A Silva FWD	20	5	2	5 -
Rodrigo MID	18			5 -
Wendell DEF	16		1	-
G Tapia FWD	15	4		4 -
L Moura FWD	11	2		-
M Maílton DEF	8			1 -
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	8	2		-
L Gustavo MID	7	1		-
E Rigoni FWD	7			1 1
J Dinenno FWD	7	1		2 -
M. Gomes Viegas DEF	6	1	2	3 -
Luan MID	6			-
Oscar MID	6			1 -
Patryck DEF	4			1 -
R Tolói DEF	3			-
F Negrucci MID	3			-
J Calleri FWD	3			1
Young GLK	2			-
L. Marques Alencar FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	23	5	8
Luciano	Luciano	E Díaz	E Díaz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Luciano FWD	8	23	4	4
Ferreira FWD	5	12	3	6
A Silva FWD	5	9	2	3
G Tapia FWD	4	11
D Bobadilla MID	3	12	1	3
R Arboleda DEF	3	4
L Moura FWD	2	4		1
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	2	3
Sabino DEF	1	7		1
P Maia MID	1	1
L Gustavo MID	1	1		1
J Dinenno FWD	1	4
M. Gomes Viegas DEF	1	1	2	1
E Díaz DEF		3	5	8
Alisson MID		7	1	1
A Franco DEF				1
C Soares DEF			2	4
M Antônio MID		1	3	6
N Ferraresi DEF		2	3	3
Rodrigo MID		5
Wendell DEF			1	1
M Maílton DEF		2
E Rigoni FWD		2
Luan MID		1
Oscar MID		2		2
Patryck DEF		1
J Calleri FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1241	78	158
A Franco	E Díaz	E Díaz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Franco DEF	1241	31	90
Alisson MID	1197	30	76
Sabino DEF	1122	26	96
R Arboleda DEF	1091	32	90
D Bobadilla MID	1052	44	78
M Antônio MID	962	16	46
N Ferraresi DEF	939	65	128
E Díaz DEF	849	78	158
C Soares DEF	752	32	57
P Maia MID	661	21	57
Rafael GLK	655	1	14
Luciano FWD	514	24	90
Ferreira FWD	480	18	107
Wendell DEF	377	20	54
Rodrigo MID	361	16	47
A Silva FWD	250	12	67
M. Gomes Viegas DEF	189	15	22
M Maílton DEF	176	4	20
G Tapia FWD	175	5	50
Oscar MID	173	2	13
L Gustavo MID	163	15	27
L Moura FWD	160	6	40
R Tolói DEF	114	10	14
Patryck DEF	90	2	9
Luan MID	88	2	8
F Negrucci MID	82	1	7
Young GLK	37		2
E Rigoni FWD	36		6
J Dinenno FWD	35	3	14
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD	28		9
J Calleri FWD	14	2	5
L. Marques Alencar FWD	6	1	1