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Southampton v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Feb, 12:31 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

We’ve Championship action to look forward to on Saturday lunch time, as William Still and his Southampton side host Javier Gracia Carlos’s Watford at the St. Mary's Stadium. You'll see statistics supporting our top of below, but there are 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
44%
--
Draw
27%
--
Watford
30%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Southampton 1-0
11%
--
Watford 1-0
9%
--
Southampton 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Southampton 2-0
8%
--
Watford 2-1
7%
--
Watford 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Southampton 3-1
4%
--
Southampton 3-0
4%
--
Watford 3-1
3%
--
Southampton 3-2
2%
--
Watford 3-0
2%
--
Watford 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
51%
--
BTTS - No
49%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
70%
--
Away/draw
56%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
62%
--
Away DNB
48%
--
Southampton win to nil
25%
--
Watford win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Southampton have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Southampton have conceded 29 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Southampton have played 14 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Watford lay in 8th place on 43 points in the Championship league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 7 and losing 4 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Watford have played 13 away games, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry2817743058 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
May 2
l
 
3-1A
2
M'Boro2916761755 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
3
Ipswich2814862150 
Apr 3
d
 
1-1A
Feb 24
d
 
1-1F
4
Hull281558750 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1A
Feb 3
5
Millwall291478149 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
6
Wrexham2911117644 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
Mar 7
d
 
2-2A
7
Bristol C2912710943 
Apr 21
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 27
8
Watford2811107643 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
-
-
9
Preston2911108343 
l
 
0-2A
May 2
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
10
Stoke2912611842 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 31
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
11
Derby291199242 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
Feb 21
w
 
2-3A
12
QPR2911711-240 
Feb 24
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 3
13
Birmingham2910910139 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
14
Leicester2910811-338 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 10
Mar 21
w
 
1-2A
15
Southampton2991010037 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
Feb 7
16
Swansea2910613-536 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
17
Sheff Utd2811215-235 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
18
Charlton288812-1132 
Feb 21
w
 
1-5F
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
19
West Brom299515-1232 
w
 
3-2F
Mar 11
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
20
Norwich288614-530 
Mar 7
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
21
Portsmouth277911-1330 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
22
Blackburn287813-1129 
Apr 25
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
23
Oxford Utd286913-927 
Mar 21
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 11
24
Sheff Wed281819-38-7 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton1 - 0Sheff Utd
Southampton1 - 2Hull
Southampton0 - 0Millwall
Southampton1 - 1Coventry
Southampton3 - 2West Brom
Southampton3 - 1Birmingham
Southampton3 - 0Leicester
Southampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
Southampton0 - 2Preston
Southampton0 - 0Swansea
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Southampton0 - 0Portsmouth
Southampton1 - 2Stoke
Southampton2 - 1Wrexham
Southampton1 - 2Arsenal
Southampton0 - 0Man City
Southampton1 - 2Fulham
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Southampton1 - 1C Palace
Southampton1 - 2Wolves
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASouthampton1 - 1Portsmouth
HSouthampton1 - 0Sheff Utd
HSouthampton1 - 2Hull
ASouthampton0 - 4M'Boro
HSouthampton0 - 0Millwall
ASouthampton1 - 1Birmingham
ASouthampton1 - 2Oxford Utd
HSouthampton1 - 1Coventry
ASouthampton1 - 2Norwich
HSouthampton3 - 2West Brom
HSouthampton3 - 1Birmingham
ASouthampton2 - 3Millwall
HSouthampton3 - 0Leicester
ASouthampton5 - 1Charlton
HSouthampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
ASouthampton2 - 1QPR
HSouthampton0 - 2Preston
ASouthampton1 - 2Blackburn
ASouthampton1 - 3Bristol C
HSouthampton0 - 0Swansea
Watford 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Blackburn1 - 1Watford
Norwich0 - 1Watford
Leicester1 - 2Watford
Wrexham2 - 2Watford
Birmingham2 - 1Watford
Derby2 - 3Watford
Ipswich1 - 1Watford
Coventry3 - 1Watford
Sheff Utd1 - 0Watford
Portsmouth2 - 2Watford
Millwall1 - 0Watford
Swansea1 - 1Watford
Charlton1 - 0Watford
Blackburn2 - 1Watford
Portsmouth1 - 0Watford
West Brom2 - 1Watford
Bristol C2 - 1Watford
Oxford Utd1 - 0Watford
Stoke0 - 0Watford
M'Boro0 - 1Watford
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWatford1 - 1Blackburn
HWatford1 - 1Portsmouth
HWatford0 - 2Millwall
HWatford3 - 0Birmingham
AWatford1 - 0Norwich
AWatford2 - 1Leicester
HWatford1 - 0Stoke
AWatford2 - 2Wrexham
HWatford1 - 1Sheff Wed
HWatford3 - 2Norwich
AWatford1 - 2Birmingham
HWatford1 - 1Preston
AWatford3 - 2Derby
HWatford1 - 1Bristol C
AWatford1 - 1Ipswich
HWatford3 - 0M'Boro
AWatford1 - 3Coventry
HWatford2 - 1West Brom
AWatford0 - 1Sheff Utd
HWatford2 - 1Oxford Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Southampton since 2000
Southampton
Watford
Goals: Scored
15
18
Games: Scored
8 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
3 / 11
SOU
4
D
2
WAT
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Southampton3 - 2
1 - 2Watford
Southampton2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Watford
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton4 - 0
0 - 3Watford
0 - 3Watford
1 - 3Watford
Southampton2 - 0
League games at Watford since 1999
Watford
Southampton
Goals: Scored
21
23
Games: Scored
10 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
3 / 13
SOU
4
D
6
WAT
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Southampton
1 - 3Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
3 - 4Southampton
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Southampton
Draw2 - 2Draw
Watford3 - 2
Watford3 - 0
Watford3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Southampton of late. It has been 8 Championship matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday lunch time against Watford.

Southampton 13th Watford 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Southampton have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-13
Watford have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
2%
better
SOU
WAT
view stats
Games scored23
23
Failed to score5
5
Scored first13
9
Goals scored40
39
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
14
Avg. XG for1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
2%
better
SOU
WAT
view stats
Games conceded23
24
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first12
19
Goals conceded40
33
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%

Southampton v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241148
A ArmstrongA ArmstrongA ArmstrongF Downes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Armstrong FWD29114
3
-
R Manning DEF2742
4
-
F Azaz MID2564
-
J. Robinson FWD2521
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF2441
6
-
N Wood DEF2411
5
-
C. Jander MID242
4
-
T Fellows MID233
2
-
L Scienza FWD2354
1
-
F Downes MID22
8
-
G Bazunu GLK19
1
-
C Archer FWD192
1
-
J Stephens DEF181
2
-
R Fraser FWD162
-
S Charles MID141
4
-
J Quarshie DEF12
2
-
Welington  DEF121
1
1
R Stewart FWD1231
2
-
R Edwards DEF11
-
D Downs FWD111
1
-
M Roerslev DEF9
1
-
E Jelert DEF81
-
A McCarthy GLK7
-
J Aribo MID7
1
-
K Matsuki MID6
1
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24868
I Louza L KjerrumgaardI Louza H Kyprianou
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Kjerrumgaard FWD2681
1
-
H Kyprianou MID251
8
-
N Irankunda FWD2523
7
-
M Bola DEF2413
2
-
J Ngakia DEF2424
1
-
I Louza  MID2466
5
1
E Selvik GLK22
1
-
M Pollock DEF2211
5
-
E Kayembe MID223
3
-
V Semedo FWD2131
2
-
K Keben DEF201
3
-
M Sissoko MID20
-
M. Doumbia FWD1831
2
-
K Baah FWD1811
4
-
T Ince FWD174
-
M. Alleyne DEF16
2
-
J Abankwah DEF15
1
1
O. Maamma FWD1531
1
-
G Chakvetadze MID121
3
-
R Vata FWD1222
-
N Baxter GLK7
-
J Petris DEF7
2
-
N Mendy MID7
-
C Wiley DEF5
-
F Mendy DEF2
-
J Morris DEF2
1
-
P Dwomoh MID1
-