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Stoke City v Southampton : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 31st Jan, 12:30 BST, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

the bet365 Stadium is the setting on Saturday lunch time, as Mark Robins's Stoke City welcome William Still's Southampton in the Championship. Below you'll find predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stoke
51%
--
Draw
24%
--
Southampton
25%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Stoke 1-0
10%
--
Stoke 2-1
10%
--
Stoke 2-0
9%
--
Southampton 1-0
7%
--
Southampton 2-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Stoke 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Stoke 3-0
5%
--
Southampton 2-0
4%
--
Stoke 3-2
3%
--
Southampton 3-1
2%
--
Stoke 4-1
2%
--
Stoke 4-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
68%
--
Away DNB
42%
--
Stoke win to nil
27%
--
Southampton win to nil
12%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 3 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 39 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Stoke have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Southampton are in 15th position in the Championship on 33 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Southampton have conceded 29 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stoke
Southampton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry2716742955 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 28
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
2
M'Boro2714761249 
Jan 21
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
3
Ipswich2613852147 
Mar 10
l
 
1-0A
Apr 3
d
 
1-1A
4
Millwall271377-246 
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2F
5
Hull261358344 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
6
Preston27111061043 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 21
l
 
0-2A
May 2
7
Stoke2712510941 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Jan 31
8
Watford261187641 
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
9
Bristol C271179940 
w
 
5-1F
May 2
Apr 21
l
 
3-1F
10
Wrexham2710107540 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
11
QPR2711610-139 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Feb 24
w
 
1-2F
12
Derby271089138 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
13
Leicester2710710-237 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 14
14
Birmingham279810-135 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
15
Southampton278910-133 
Jan 31
w
 
1-2F
-
-
16
Swansea279612-633 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 7
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
17
Sheff Utd2610214-332 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
Jan 21
w
 
1-2A
18
Charlton268810-632 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 14
Feb 21
w
 
1-5F
19
West Brom279414-731 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 7
w
 
3-2F
Mar 11
20
Blackburn267712-928 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
l
 
2-1F
21
Portsmouth257711-1328 
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
22
Norwich277614-1027 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
Mar 7
l
 
2-1A
23
Oxford Utd265813-1023 
Feb 25
w
 
0-3F
Mar 21
l
 
2-1A
24
Sheff Wed261817-34-7 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Stoke 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke0 - 0QPR
Stoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
Stoke0 - 0Preston
Stoke2 - 1Swansea
Stoke1 - 2Hull
Stoke3 - 0Charlton
Stoke0 - 1Coventry
Stoke5 - 1Bristol C
Stoke1 - 0Wrexham
Stoke1 - 1Norwich
Stoke1 - 0Birmingham
Stoke0 - 1West Brom
Stoke3 - 1Derby
Stoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
Stoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
Stoke1 - 1Luton
Stoke3 - 1QPR
Stoke1 - 0Blackburn
Stoke0 - 0Watford
Stoke1 - 3M'Boro
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStoke0 - 0QPR
AStoke2 - 0Norwich
AStoke1 - 0Hull
HStoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
HStoke0 - 0Preston
AStoke0 - 1Watford
HStoke2 - 1Swansea
AStoke0 - 1Ipswich
AStoke0 - 4Sheff Utd
HStoke1 - 2Hull
HStoke3 - 0Charlton
AStoke1 - 2Leicester
HStoke0 - 1Coventry
AStoke3 - 0Oxford Utd
HStoke5 - 1Bristol C
AStoke1 - 0Portsmouth
AStoke0 - 2Millwall
HStoke1 - 0Wrexham
AStoke1 - 1Blackburn
AStoke0 - 0M'Boro
Southampton 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro4 - 0Southampton
Birmingham1 - 1Southampton
Oxford Utd2 - 1Southampton
Norwich2 - 1Southampton
Millwall3 - 2Southampton
Charlton1 - 5Southampton
QPR1 - 2Southampton
Blackburn2 - 1Southampton
Bristol C3 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Sheff Utd1 - 2Southampton
Hull3 - 1Southampton
Watford2 - 2Southampton
Ipswich1 - 1Southampton
Everton2 - 0Southampton
Leicester2 - 0Southampton
West Ham1 - 1Southampton
Spurs3 - 1Southampton
Liverpool3 - 1Southampton
Chelsea4 - 0Southampton
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSouthampton1 - 2Hull
ASouthampton0 - 4M'Boro
HSouthampton0 - 0Millwall
ASouthampton1 - 1Birmingham
ASouthampton1 - 2Oxford Utd
HSouthampton1 - 1Coventry
ASouthampton1 - 2Norwich
HSouthampton3 - 2West Brom
HSouthampton3 - 1Birmingham
ASouthampton2 - 3Millwall
HSouthampton3 - 0Leicester
ASouthampton5 - 1Charlton
HSouthampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
ASouthampton2 - 1QPR
HSouthampton0 - 2Preston
ASouthampton1 - 2Blackburn
ASouthampton1 - 3Bristol C
HSouthampton0 - 0Swansea
ASouthampton1 - 1Derby
ASouthampton2 - 1Sheff Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stoke since 2006
Stoke
Southampton
Goals: Scored
15
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
2 / 10
STK
4
D
3
SOU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
0 - 1Southampton
Stoke2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Southampton
Stoke2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Stoke3 - 2
Stoke2 - 1
1 - 2Southampton
League games at Southampton since 2005
Southampton
Stoke
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
7 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
4 / 11
STK
4
D
3
SOU
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
1 - 2Stoke
0 - 1Stoke
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Stoke
0 - 1Stoke
Southampton1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton3 - 2
Southampton1 - 0
Southampton2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Southampton of late. It has been 6 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday lunch time against Stoke City.

Stoke 10th Southampton 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Stoke will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Stoke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
Southampton have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Stoke
PG (predicted goals)
Southampton
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
STK
SOU
14%
better
view stats
Games scored17
22
Failed to score10
5
Scored first13
12
Goals scored32
39
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
32%
better
STK
SOU
view stats
Games conceded16
23
Clean sheets11
4
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded23
40
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+32%

Stoke v Southampton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27969
S ThomasS ThomasS ThomasJ Tchamadeu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Thomas FWD2796
6
-
M Manhoef FWD2752
-
B Wilmot DEF261
3
-
T Seko MID261
2
-
J. Bae MID2513
1
-
D Mubama FWD2551
3
1
V Johansson GLK241
2
-
A Phillips DEF201
5
-
J Tchamadeu DEF2011
9
-
T Rigo MID19
1
-
R Bozenik FWD191
2
-
A Cresswell  DEF182
2
-
B Pearson MID181
6
1
L Cissé FWD171
2
-
S Nzonzi MID151
1
-
L Baker MID1241
1
-
E Bocat DEF111
-
S Gallagher FWD101
-
M Taloverov DEF6
4
-
J. Donley MID41
-
B Gibson DEF3
1
-
Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231147
A ArmstrongA ArmstrongA ArmstrongF Downes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Armstrong FWD27114
3
-
R Manning DEF2642
4
-
N Wood DEF2311
5
-
F Azaz MID2363
-
J. Robinson FWD2321
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF2241
6
-
C. Jander MID222
3
-
T Fellows MID213
2
-
L Scienza FWD2134
-
F Downes MID20
7
-
G Bazunu GLK19
1
-
C Archer FWD192
1
-
J Stephens DEF161
2
-
R Fraser FWD162
-
J Quarshie DEF12
2
-
S Charles MID121
3
-
R Edwards DEF11
-
D Downs FWD111
1
-
Welington  DEF10
1
1
R Stewart FWD1031
2
-
M Roerslev DEF9
1
-
A McCarthy GLK7
-
E Jelert DEF71
-
J Aribo MID7
1
-
K Matsuki MID5
1
-