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Watford v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 31st Jan, 15:00 BST, Vicarage Road, Watford

The Championship is the focus for both Watford and Swansea City on Saturday afternoon, as bosses Javier Gracia Carlos and Alan Sheehan go head to head at the Vicarage Road. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Watford
51%
--
Draw
26%
--
Swansea
22%
--
Watford 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Watford 2-0
10%
--
Watford 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Swansea 1-0
8%
--
Swansea 2-1
6%
--
Watford 3-0
5%
--
Watford 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Swansea 2-0
4%
--
Watford 3-2
2%
--
Watford 4-0
2%
--
Watford 4-1
2%
--
Swansea 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
41%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
9%
--
Home/draw
78%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
70%
--
Away DNB
41%
--
Watford win to nil
32%
--
Swansea win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Watford have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Watford have played 14 games at home winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Swansea are in 16th position in the Championship on 33 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Swansea have conceded 28 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Watford
Swansea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry2716742955 
May 2
l
 
3-1A
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
2
M'Boro2714761249 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
3
Ipswich2613852147 
Feb 24
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-4A
Feb 28
4
Millwall271377-246 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
5
Hull261358344 
w
 
2-1A
-
d
 
2-2F
Jan 24
6
Preston27111061043 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
Feb 24
l
 
2-1A
7
Stoke2712510941 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
Mar 7
l
 
2-1A
8
Watford261187641 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Jan 31
9
Bristol C271179940 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 27
Feb 21
l
 
3-0A
10
Wrexham2710107540 
Mar 7
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 14
11
QPR2711610-139 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 3
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
12
Derby271089138 
Feb 21
w
 
2-3A
l
 
1-2A
Feb 14
13
Leicester2710710-237 
Mar 21
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-3A
Apr 11
14
Birmingham279810-135 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
15
Southampton278910-133 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 7
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
16
Swansea279612-633 
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
-
-
17
Sheff Utd2610214-332 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 3
18
Charlton268810-632 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
May 2
d
 
1-1A
19
West Brom279414-731 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
20
Blackburn267712-928 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 24
Jan 20
w
 
1-2A
21
Portsmouth257711-1328 
Jan 21
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 10
22
Norwich277614-1027 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
23
Oxford Utd265813-1023 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 11
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
24
Sheff Wed261817-34-7 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Watford 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford0 - 2Millwall
Watford3 - 0Birmingham
Watford1 - 0Stoke
Watford1 - 1Sheff Wed
Watford3 - 2Norwich
Watford1 - 1Preston
Watford1 - 1Bristol C
Watford3 - 0M'Boro
Watford2 - 1West Brom
Watford2 - 1Oxford Utd
Watford2 - 1Hull
Watford0 - 1Blackburn
Watford2 - 2Southampton
Watford2 - 1QPR
Watford1 - 1Sheff Wed
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Watford1 - 0Hull
Watford0 - 0Plymouth
Watford1 - 0Swansea
Watford1 - 2Millwall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWatford0 - 2Millwall
HWatford3 - 0Birmingham
AWatford1 - 0Norwich
AWatford2 - 1Leicester
HWatford1 - 0Stoke
AWatford2 - 2Wrexham
HWatford1 - 1Sheff Wed
HWatford3 - 2Norwich
AWatford1 - 2Birmingham
HWatford1 - 1Preston
AWatford3 - 2Derby
HWatford1 - 1Bristol C
AWatford1 - 1Ipswich
HWatford3 - 0M'Boro
AWatford1 - 3Coventry
HWatford2 - 1West Brom
AWatford0 - 1Sheff Utd
HWatford2 - 1Oxford Utd
AWatford2 - 2Portsmouth
HWatford2 - 1Hull
Swansea 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Millwall2 - 1Swansea
Oxford Utd0 - 1Swansea
Coventry1 - 0Swansea
Stoke2 - 1Swansea
West Brom3 - 2Swansea
Bristol C3 - 0Swansea
Preston2 - 1Swansea
Charlton1 - 1Swansea
Southampton0 - 0Swansea
Blackburn1 - 2Swansea
Birmingham1 - 0Swansea
Sheff Wed0 - 2Swansea
M'Boro1 - 0Swansea
Millwall1 - 0Swansea
QPR1 - 2Swansea
Sunderland0 - 1Swansea
Leeds2 - 2Swansea
Watford1 - 0Swansea
Preston0 - 0Swansea
Stoke3 - 1Swansea
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwansea1 - 1Birmingham
ASwansea1 - 2Millwall
HSwansea1 - 0West Brom
ASwansea1 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea0 - 1Coventry
HSwansea2 - 1Wrexham
ASwansea1 - 2Stoke
HSwansea1 - 0Portsmouth
HSwansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea2 - 3West Brom
HSwansea1 - 2Derby
ASwansea0 - 3Bristol C
HSwansea1 - 4Ipswich
ASwansea1 - 2Preston
ASwansea1 - 1Charlton
HSwansea2 - 1Norwich
HSwansea0 - 1QPR
ASwansea0 - 0Southampton
HSwansea1 - 3Leicester
ASwansea2 - 1Blackburn
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Watford since 2009
Watford
Swansea
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
9 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
1 / 10
WAT
5
D
1
SWA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Swansea
Watford2 - 0
1 - 2Swansea
Watford1 - 0
Watford1 - 0
2 - 3Swansea
0 - 1Swansea
Watford2 - 0
League games at Swansea since 2008
Swansea
Watford
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
9 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
2 / 11
WAT
2
D
4
SWA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Draw1 - 1Draw
Swansea1 - 0
0 - 1Watford
Swansea4 - 0
Swansea2 - 1
1 - 2Watford
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Swansea3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Watford have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 15 consecutive Championship games. Their PG of 1.5 against Swansea City on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Watford 6th Swansea 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Watford will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Swansea scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Watford’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
Swansea have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Watford
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
9%
better
WAT
SWA
view stats
Games scored21
21
Failed to score5
6
Scored first8
11
Goals scored37
28
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.5
1
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
WAT
SWA
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
20
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first18
15
Goals conceded31
34
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+9%

Watford v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23867
I Louza L KjerrumgaardI Louza H Kyprianou
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Kjerrumgaard FWD248
1
-
H Kyprianou MID231
7
-
I Louza  MID2366
5
1
N Irankunda FWD2323
6
-
M Bola DEF2213
2
-
J Ngakia DEF2224
1
-
M Pollock DEF2111
5
-
V Semedo FWD2131
2
-
E Selvik GLK20
1
-
M Sissoko MID20
-
E Kayembe MID202
2
-
K Keben DEF181
3
-
K Baah FWD1711
4
-
M. Alleyne DEF16
2
-
T Ince FWD164
-
M. Doumbia FWD1621
2
-
J Abankwah DEF13
1
1
O. Maamma FWD1331
1
-
G Chakvetadze MID101
3
-
R Vata FWD1022
-
N Baxter GLK7
-
J Petris DEF7
2
-
N Mendy MID7
-
C Wiley DEF5
-
J Morris DEF2
1
-
F Mendy DEF2
-
P Dwomoh MID1
-
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271148
L VigourouxZ VipotnikJ TymonM Stamenić
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK27
-
C Burgess DEF27
4
-
E Galbraith MID2721
5
-
Ronald FWD2733
1
-
J Tymon DEF2614
7
-
B Cabango DEF261
6
-
G Franco MID2624
5
-
J Eom  FWD2611
1
-
Z Vipotnik FWD25111
1
-
Z Inoussa FWD252
4
-
J Key DEF21
1
-
L Cullen MID212
4
-
M. Widell MID211
2
-
M Stamenić MID2011
8
-
A Idah FWD1831
1
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID172
1
J Fulton MID161
3
-
K Casey DEF81
-
B Hedilazio FWD6
-
I Samuels-Smith DEF51
2
-
B Wales FWD4
-
R Santos DEF1
-