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Arsenal v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 16:30 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

We’ve English Premier League action to look forward to on Sunday afternoon, as Mikel Arteta Amatriain and his Arsenal side host Liam Rosenior’s Chelsea at the Emirates Stadium. Below you'll find unique statistics for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Arsenal and Chelsea will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Arsenal and Chelsea an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Arsenal 50%	1.67 6%	1.67
Draw 24%	3.60 8%	3.90
Chelsea 25%	5.00 13%	5.00
Draw 1-1 11%	7.50 6%	7.50
Arsenal 1-0 10%	8.50	7.00
Arsenal 2-1 10%	9.00	8.00
Arsenal 2-0 9%	9.00 6%	8.00
Chelsea 1-0 7%	17.00 11%	13.00
Chelsea 2-1 6%	19.00 10%	13.00
Draw 0-0 6%	12.00 8%	11.00
Draw 2-2 5%	17.00	13.00
Arsenal 3-1 5%	15.00 15%	12.00
Arsenal 3-0 5%	15.00 15%	11.00
Chelsea 2-0 4%	29.00 15%	21.00
Arsenal 3-2 3%	26.00	19.00
Chelsea 3-1 2%	41.00	29.00
Arsenal 4-1 2%	29.00 12%	21.00
Chelsea 3-2 2%	41.00	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	1.80 4%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	2.00 5%	2.00
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.53 2%	1.50
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.63 4%	2.88
No 1st Goal 4%	12.00 8%	10.00
BTTS - Yes 55%	1.75	1.80
BTTS - No 45%	2.00	1.95
BTTS - Home Win 24%	3.50 8%	3.30
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.75 5%	4.80
BTTS - Away Win 13%	9.00 10%	8.00
Home/draw 75%	1.17 3%	1.17
Away/draw 50%	2.15 7%	2.15
Home/away 76%	1.29 3%	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1.25 2%	1.25
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	4.00 8%	3.80
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	3.00 9%	2.80
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	1.40 3%	1.40
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	5.50 10%	5.00
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1.14 3%	1.14
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	11.00 10%	9.50
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1.05 1%	1.04
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1.04	1.04
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	12.00 8%	10.00
Home DNB 67%	1.25 4%	1.25
Away DNB 42%	3.75 13%	3.60
Arsenal win to nil 26%	3.00 9%	-
Chelsea win to nil 13%	10.00 9%	-
Arsenal / Arsenal 32%	2.63 10%	2.45
Arsenal / Chelsea 2%	41.00	29.00
Arsenal / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Arsenal 18%	4.75	4.50
Draw / Chelsea 8%	11.00 8%	9.50
Draw / Draw 14%	6.50	5.50
Chelsea / Arsenal 4%	23.00 10%	17.00
Chelsea / Chelsea 10%	8.50 11%	7.50
Chelsea / Draw 5%	17.00	13.00

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Arsenal have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Arsenal have outscored their opponents by 50 goals to 47 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 13 games at home winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 31 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Chelsea are in 5th position in the Premier League on 44 points having played 26 matches so far this season. Chelsea are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 25 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Chelsea have conceded 6 goals, scored 4, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Arsenal Chelsea
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	26	17	6	3	32	57	-	-	d 1-1F	Mar 1
2	Man City	26	16	5	5	30	53	d 1-1A	Apr 18	Apr 11	d 1-1A
3	A Villa	26	15	5	6	10	50	w 4-1F	l 2-1A	l 1-2F	Mar 4
4	Man Utd	26	12	9	5	10	45	l 2-3F	w 0-1F	Apr 18	l 2-1A
5	Chelsea	26	12	8	6	17	44	Mar 1	d 1-1A	-	-
6	Liverpool	26	12	6	8	6	42	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	May 9
7	Brentford	26	12	4	10	5	40	w 2-0F	d 1-1F	w 2-0F	d 2-2A
8	Everton	26	10	7	9	-1	37	Mar 15	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	Mar 21
9	Bournemouth	26	9	10	7	-2	37	Apr 11	w 2-3A	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0
10	Newcastle	26	10	6	10	0	36	Apr 25	w 1-2A	Mar 14	d 2-2A
11	Sunderland	26	9	9	8	-3	36	w 3-0F	d 2-2A	l 1-2F	May 24
12	Fulham	26	10	4	12	-5	34	May 2	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	l 2-1A
13	C Palace	26	8	8	10	-4	32	w 1-0F	May 24	d 0-00-0	w 1-3F
14	Brighton	26	7	10	9	0	31	w 2-1F	Mar 4	l 1-3F	Apr 25
15	Leeds	26	7	9	10	-9	30	w 5-0F	w 0-4F	d 2-2F	l 3-1A
16	Spurs	26	7	8	11	-1	29	w 4-1F	Feb 22	May 17	w 0-1F
17	Nottm Forest	26	7	6	13	-13	27	w 3-0F	d 0-00-0	May 2	w 0-3F
18	West Ham	26	6	6	14	-17	24	w 2-0F	May 9	w 3-2A	w 1-5A
19	Burnley	26	4	6	16	-23	18	May 17	w 0-2F	Feb 21	w 0-2F
20	Wolves	26	1	6	19	-32	9	w 2-1F	Feb 18	w 3-0F	w 1-3F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal	3 - 0	Sunderland
Arsenal	2 - 3	Man Utd
Arsenal	0 - 0	Liverpool
Arsenal	4 - 1	A Villa
Arsenal	2 - 1	Brighton
Arsenal	2 - 1	Wolves
Arsenal	2 - 0	Brentford
Arsenal	4 - 1	Spurs
Arsenal	1 - 0	C Palace
Arsenal	2 - 0	West Ham
Arsenal	1 - 1	Man City
Arsenal	3 - 0	Nottm Forest
Arsenal	5 - 0	Leeds
Arsenal	1 - 0	Newcastle
Arsenal	1 - 2	Bournemouth
Arsenal	2 - 2	C Palace
Arsenal	1 - 1	Brentford
Arsenal	2 - 1	Fulham
Arsenal	1 - 0	Chelsea
Arsenal	0 - 1	West Ham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Arsenal	1 - 1	Brentford
H	Arsenal	3 - 0	Sunderland
A	Arsenal	4 - 0	Leeds
H	Arsenal	2 - 3	Man Utd
A	Arsenal	0 - 0	Nottm Forest
H	Arsenal	0 - 0	Liverpool
A	Arsenal	3 - 2	Bournemouth
H	Arsenal	4 - 1	A Villa
H	Arsenal	2 - 1	Brighton
A	Arsenal	1 - 0	Everton
H	Arsenal	2 - 1	Wolves
A	Arsenal	1 - 2	A Villa
H	Arsenal	2 - 0	Brentford
A	Arsenal	1 - 1	Chelsea
H	Arsenal	4 - 1	Spurs
A	Arsenal	2 - 2	Sunderland
A	Arsenal	2 - 0	Burnley
H	Arsenal	1 - 0	C Palace
A	Arsenal	1 - 0	Fulham
H	Arsenal	2 - 0	West Ham

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolves	1 - 3	Chelsea
C Palace	1 - 3	Chelsea
Fulham	2 - 1	Chelsea
Man City	1 - 1	Chelsea
Newcastle	2 - 2	Chelsea
Bournemouth	0 - 0	Chelsea
Leeds	3 - 1	Chelsea
Burnley	0 - 2	Chelsea
Spurs	0 - 1	Chelsea
Nottm Forest	0 - 3	Chelsea
Man Utd	2 - 1	Chelsea
Brentford	2 - 2	Chelsea
West Ham	1 - 5	Chelsea
Nottm Forest	0 - 1	Chelsea
Newcastle	2 - 0	Chelsea
Fulham	1 - 2	Chelsea
Brentford	0 - 0	Chelsea
Arsenal	1 - 0	Chelsea
A Villa	2 - 1	Chelsea
Brighton	3 - 0	Chelsea

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Chelsea	2 - 2	Leeds
A	Chelsea	3 - 1	Wolves
H	Chelsea	3 - 2	West Ham
A	Chelsea	3 - 1	C Palace
H	Chelsea	2 - 0	Brentford
A	Chelsea	1 - 2	Fulham
A	Chelsea	1 - 1	Man City
H	Chelsea	2 - 2	Bournemouth
H	Chelsea	1 - 2	A Villa
A	Chelsea	2 - 2	Newcastle
H	Chelsea	2 - 0	Everton
A	Chelsea	0 - 0	Bournemouth
A	Chelsea	1 - 3	Leeds
H	Chelsea	1 - 1	Arsenal
A	Chelsea	2 - 0	Burnley
H	Chelsea	3 - 0	Wolves
A	Chelsea	1 - 0	Spurs
H	Chelsea	1 - 2	Sunderland
A	Chelsea	3 - 0	Nottm Forest
H	Chelsea	2 - 1	Liverpool

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Arsenal have beaten Chelsea in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Arsenal have not lost to Chelsea in 8 consecutive league meetings

Arsenal

Chelsea

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

26 / 33

22 / 33

Clean sheets

11 / 33

7 / 33

ARS

CHE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Arsenal	1 - 0
Arsenal	5 - 0
Arsenal	3 - 1
	0 - 2	Chelsea
Arsenal	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Chelsea
Arsenal	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Arsenal	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Chelsea
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Chelsea
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Arsenal	3 - 1
	0 - 3	Chelsea
	1 - 4	Chelsea
Arsenal	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Chelsea
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Arsenal	2 - 1
Arsenal	3 - 2
Arsenal	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Arsenal	2 - 1
Arsenal	1 - 0
Arsenal	2 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Arsenal	3 - 1
Arsenal	1 - 0
Arsenal	2 - 1

Chelsea

Arsenal

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

27 / 34

23 / 34

Clean sheets

11 / 34

7 / 34

ARS

CHE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Arsenal
	2 - 4	Arsenal
	0 - 1	Arsenal
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Chelsea	3 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Chelsea	3 - 1
Chelsea	2 - 0
Chelsea	2 - 0
Chelsea	6 - 0
Chelsea	2 - 1
	3 - 5	Arsenal
Chelsea	2 - 0
Chelsea	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Arsenal
Chelsea	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Chelsea	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Arsenal
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	2 - 3	Arsenal
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Arsenal
	0 - 3	Arsenal
Chelsea	1 - 0
Chelsea	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Arsenal
Chelsea	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Arsenal have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Chelsea on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Arsenal's defensive record is very strong, M. Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive English Premier League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Chelsea makes sense in this context.

	Arsenal 1st	Chelsea 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 70% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-3 Chelsea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

ARS

CHE

better

view stats

Games scored	23		24
Failed to score	3		2
Scored first	17		15
Goals scored	50		47
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.8
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		5
Conversion rate for	19		19
Avg. XG for	1.9		2
KickOff rating		+3%

22%

better

ARS

CHE

view stats

Games conceded	13		17
Clean sheets	13		9
Conceded first	7		9
Goals conceded	18		30
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		14%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.4
KickOff rating		+22%

Arsenal v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	8	5	5
D Raya	V Gyökeres	L Trossard	R Calafiori

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Raya GLK	26			1 -
M Zubimendi MID	26	5	1	4 -
J Timber DEF	25	2	3	4 -
D Rice MID	25	4	3	2 -
V Gyökeres FWD	24	8		4 -
B Saka FWD	22	4	3	1 -
L Trossard FWD	22	5	5	1 -
W Saliba DEF	21			1 -
M Merino MID	21	4	3	1 -
G Magalhães DEF	20	3	2	2 -
E Eze MID	20	4	2	1 -
G Martinelli FWD	20	1	2	2 -
R Calafiori DEF	19	1	2	5 -
M Ødegaard MID	19	1	4	-
N Madueke FWD	17	1	1	-
P Hincapié DEF	16		1	2 -
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF	14			3 -
C Mosquera DEF	11			1 -
G Jesus FWD	10	2		1 -
B White DEF	7		1	-
C Nörgaard MID	4			-
K Havertz FWD	3		1	-
M. Dowman FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	5	12
V Gyökeres	B Saka	L Trossard	D Rice

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Gyökeres FWD	8	14		2
M Zubimendi MID	5	9	1	1
L Trossard FWD	5	10	5	4
D Rice MID	4	12	3	12
B Saka FWD	4	21	3	8
M Merino MID	4	9	3	4
E Eze MID	4	10	2	4
G Magalhães DEF	3	4	2	3
J Timber DEF	2	5	3	4
G Jesus FWD	2	9
G Martinelli FWD	1	8	2	2
R Calafiori DEF	1	5	2
M Ødegaard MID	1	7	4	4
N Madueke FWD	1	5	1	5
P Hincapié DEF			1
B White DEF		1	1	2
C Nörgaard MID		1
K Havertz FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1501	55	126
D Rice	J Timber	J Timber

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Rice MID	1501	46	88
M Zubimendi MID	1474	43	99
W Saliba DEF	1456	22	84
G Magalhães DEF	1151	23	108
J Timber DEF	933	55	126
D Raya GLK	766	1	15
M Ødegaard MID	626	17	37
P Hincapié DEF	620	25	60
R Calafiori DEF	592	30	84
L Trossard FWD	571	19	65
B Saka FWD	541	26	121
E Eze MID	371	12	57
C Mosquera DEF	367	14	26
M Merino MID	355	26	79
N Madueke FWD	259	16	54
B White DEF	205	13	28
V Gyökeres FWD	200	5	50
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF	167	4	17
G Martinelli FWD	143	8	40
G Jesus FWD	73	4	14
K Havertz FWD	32	2	13
C Nörgaard MID	17		2
M. Dowman FWD	4	2	5

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	10	4	8
R Sánchez	J Pedro	J Pedro	M Caicedo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Pedro FWD	26	10	4	3 -
P Neto FWD	26	5	3	2 -
R Sánchez GLK	25		1	2 1
T Chalobah DEF	25	3		3 1
E Fernández MID	25	8	2	6 -
M Cucurella DEF	24	1	3	5 1
M Gusto DEF	23	2	2	3 1
R James DEF	23	2	4	4 -
M Caicedo MID	21	3	1	7 1
A Santos MID	19			4 -
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	19	2	2	3 -
L Delap FWD	17	1		2 -
A Garnacho FWD	16	1	3	1 -
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	16		2	-
W Fofana DEF	15		1	2 -
C Palmer MID	15	8	1	3 -
J Hato DEF	11			2 -
J. Acheampong DEF	11	1		1 -
T Adarabioyo DEF	11			2 -
B Badiashile DEF	8			2 -
M Guiu FWD	7		1	1 -
R Lavia MID	4			-
F Jörgensen GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	22	4	9
J Pedro	E Fernández	J Pedro	P Neto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Pedro FWD	10	19	4	5
E Fernández MID	8	22	2	9
C Palmer MID	8	15	1	1
P Neto FWD	5	11	3	9
T Chalobah DEF	3	5
M Caicedo MID	3	7	1	3
M Gusto DEF	2	5	2	3
R James DEF	2	6	4	6
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	2	7	2	4
M Cucurella DEF	1	4	3	4
L Delap FWD	1	10
A Garnacho FWD	1	5	3	3
J. Acheampong DEF	1	2
R Sánchez GLK			1	2
A Santos MID		1		1
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD		2	2	2
W Fofana DEF		1	1	1
J Hato DEF				1
T Adarabioyo DEF				1
M Guiu FWD		2	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1797	64	132
T Chalobah	M Caicedo	J Pedro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Chalobah DEF	1797	31	110
E Fernández MID	1363	46	106
M Caicedo MID	1220	64	121
M Cucurella DEF	1087	44	93
R James DEF	1037	40	93
R Sánchez GLK	949		15
M Gusto DEF	833	41	69
P Neto FWD	690	15	75
W Fofana DEF	684	15	77
T Adarabioyo DEF	677	13	49
J Pedro FWD	516	18	132
A Santos MID	509	25	52
C Palmer MID	439	14	48
J. Acheampong DEF	439	9	35
B Badiashile DEF	439	7	17
A Garnacho FWD	305	9	35
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	249	10	46
J Hato DEF	224	11	21
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	149	8	32
L Delap FWD	131	2	41
F Jörgensen GLK	87		1
R Lavia MID	66	2	7
M Guiu FWD	25		7