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Aston Villa v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 4th Mar, 19:30 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Unai Emery Etxegoien's Aston Villa side are on home soil in the English Premier League on Wednesday evening, as Liam Rosenior's Chelsea travel to the Villa Park. We've got predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across every major market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Premier League clash.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
41%
--
Draw
27%
--
Chelsea
32%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
A Villa 1-0
11%
--
Chelsea 1-0
10%
--
A Villa 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
A Villa 2-0
8%
--
Chelsea 2-1
7%
--
Chelsea 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
A Villa 3-1
4%
--
A Villa 3-0
3%
--
Chelsea 3-1
3%
--
A Villa 3-2
2%
--
Chelsea 3-0
2%
--
Chelsea 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
68%
--
Away/draw
59%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
60%
--
Away DNB
51%
--
A Villa win to nil
24%
--
Chelsea win to nil
18%
--
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 5 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 8 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 47 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 13 games at home winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Chelsea are in 5th position in the Premier League on 44 points having played 26 matches so far this season. Chelsea are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 25 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Chelsea have conceded 6 goals, scored 4, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2617633257 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
2
Man City2616553053 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
3
A Villa2615561050 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Mar 4
4
Man Utd2612951045 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
5
Chelsea2612861744 
Mar 4
w
 
1-2A
-
-
6
Liverpool261268642 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 9
7
Brentford2612410540 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
8
Everton261079-137 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
9
Bournemouth269107-237 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
10
Newcastle2610610036 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
11
Sunderland26998-336 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2F
May 24
12
Fulham2610412-534 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
13
C Palace268810-432 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
14
Brighton267109031 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
l
 
1-3F
Apr 25
15
Leeds267910-930 
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
16
Spurs267811-129 
May 2
w
 
1-2A
May 17
w
 
0-1F
17
Nottm Forest267613-1327 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 11
May 2
w
 
0-3F
18
West Ham266614-1724 
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-5A
19
Burnley264616-2318 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves261619-329 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 27
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
A Villa0 - 1Brentford
A Villa0 - 1Everton
A Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Man Utd
A Villa2 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Wolves
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa0 - 3C Palace
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa2 - 0Spurs
A Villa1 - 0Fulham
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 1Ipswich
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa1 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
HA Villa0 - 1Brentford
AA Villa2 - 0Newcastle
HA Villa0 - 1Everton
AA Villa0 - 0C Palace
HA Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa1 - 4Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 1Man Utd
AA Villa3 - 2West Ham
HA Villa2 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa4 - 3Brighton
HA Villa1 - 0Wolves
AA Villa2 - 1Leeds
HA Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
AA Villa2 - 1Spurs
HA Villa2 - 1Burnley
Chelsea 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolves1 - 3Chelsea
C Palace1 - 3Chelsea
Fulham2 - 1Chelsea
Man City1 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 2Chelsea
Bournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
Leeds3 - 1Chelsea
Burnley0 - 2Chelsea
Spurs0 - 1Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 3Chelsea
Man Utd2 - 1Chelsea
Brentford2 - 2Chelsea
West Ham1 - 5Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Fulham1 - 2Chelsea
Brentford0 - 0Chelsea
Arsenal1 - 0Chelsea
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChelsea2 - 2Leeds
AChelsea3 - 1Wolves
HChelsea3 - 2West Ham
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
HChelsea2 - 0Brentford
AChelsea1 - 2Fulham
AChelsea1 - 1Man City
HChelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 2A Villa
AChelsea2 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea2 - 0Everton
AChelsea0 - 0Bournemouth
AChelsea1 - 3Leeds
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea2 - 0Burnley
HChelsea3 - 0Wolves
AChelsea1 - 0Spurs
HChelsea1 - 2Sunderland
AChelsea3 - 0Nottm Forest
HChelsea2 - 1Liverpool
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
30
42
Games: Scored
19 / 30
22 / 30
Clean sheets
8 / 30
11 / 30
AVL
9
D
8
CHE
13
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Chelsea
1 - 3Chelsea
A Villa2 - 1
1 - 2Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 2Chelsea
2 - 4Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 1
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 3Chelsea
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
A Villa
Goals: Scored
58
31
Games: Scored
27 / 31
19 / 31
Clean sheets
12 / 31
4 / 31
AVL
8
D
6
CHE
17
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
1 - 2A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
0 - 2A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea8 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Draw3 - 3Draw
Chelsea7 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
0 - 1A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A Villa
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A Villa
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa's defensive record is very strong, U. Emery Etxegoien's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive English Premier League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Chelsea makes sense in this context.

A Villa 3rd Chelsea 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Chelsea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
AVL
CHE
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
AVL
CHE
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

A Villa v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26855
M RogersM RogersM RogersM Rogers
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Rogers MID2685
5
-
E Konsa DEF25
1
O Watkins FWD2581
1
-
M Cash DEF2432
5
-
E Buendía MID2452
3
-
L Digne DEF234
3
-
E Martínez GLK22
2
-
J McGinn MID2232
3
-
L Bogarde MID21
5
-
I Maatsen DEF20
2
-
B Kamara MID1813
5
-
Y Tielemans MID174
-
A Onana MID172
2
-
P Torres DEF15
-
J Sancho FWD151
-
V Lindelöf DEF121
-
T Mings DEF10
-
R Barkley MID91
-
M Bizot GLK5
2
-
H Elliot MID4
-
L Bailey FWD4
-
D Luiz MID3
-
T Abraham FWD3
-
A García DEF2
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD1
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251048
R SánchezJ Pedro J Pedro M Caicedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Pedro  FWD26104
3
-
P Neto FWD2653
2
-
R Sánchez GLK251
2
1
T Chalobah DEF253
3
1
E Fernández MID2582
6
-
M Cucurella  DEF2413
5
1
M Gusto DEF2322
3
1
R James  DEF2324
4
-
M Caicedo MID2131
7
1
A Santos MID19
4
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD1922
3
-
L Delap FWD171
2
-
A Garnacho FWD1613
1
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD162
-
W Fofana DEF151
2
-
C Palmer MID1581
3
-
J Hato DEF11
2
-
J. Acheampong DEF111
1
-
T Adarabioyo DEF11
2
-
B Badiashile  DEF8
2
-
M Guiu FWD71
1
-
R Lavia MID4
-
F Jörgensen GLK2
-