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Bournemouth v Sunderland : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Feb, 12:30 BST, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Andoni Iraola Sagarna's Bournemouth side are on home soil in the English Premier League on Saturday lunch time, as Régis Le Bris's Sunderland visit the Vitality Stadium. Below you'll find predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Bournemouth or Sunderland are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bournemouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bournemouth
56%
4/55/6
Draw
24%
5/227/10
Sunderland
20%
16/5
6%
16/5
Bournemouth 1-0
12%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
11%
13/26/1
Bournemouth 2-0
10%
9/115/2
Bournemouth 2-1
10%
17/2
5%
7/1
Draw 0-0
7%
10/19/1
Sunderland 1-0
7%
14/111/1
Bournemouth 3-0
6%
16/112/1
Bournemouth 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Sunderland 2-1
5%
14/1
13%
12/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Sunderland 2-0
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Bournemouth 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Bournemouth 4-0
3%
33/122/1
Bournemouth 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Sunderland 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4/54/5
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/13
3%
3/5
Away 1st Goal
41%
6/4
5%
8/5
No 1st Goal
4%
10/117/2
BTTS - Yes
50%
3/4
3%
3/4
BTTS - No
50%
1/1
2%
19/20
BTTS - Home Win
24%
11/4
4%
13/5
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
6%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
10%
7/1
14%
6/1
Home/draw
80%
2/9
4%
2/9
Away/draw
44%
19/20
2%
19/20
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/113/5
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
11/519/10
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
4/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/29/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/71/8
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/19/1
Home DNB
73%
1/3
5%
1/3
Away DNB
37%
9/4
18%
2/1
Bournemouth win to nil
32%
9/4
7%
-
Sunderland win to nil
11%
7/1
14%
-
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
29%
15/817/10
Bournemouth / Sunderland
3%
33/125/1
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Bournemouth
17%
4/119/5
Draw / Sunderland
9%
17/215/2
Draw / Draw
15%
5/117/4
Sunderland / Bournemouth
4%
22/116/1
Sunderland / Sunderland
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
Sunderland / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Bournemouth have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 6 and lost 1 match. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Bournemouth have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Bournemouth have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Sunderland are in 11th position in the Premier League on 36 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Sunderland have conceded 21 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2617633257 
l
 
2-3F
Apr 11
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
2
Man City2616553053 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
3
A Villa2615561050 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
4
Man Utd2612951045 
Mar 20
d
 
4-4A
May 9
l
 
2-0A
5
Chelsea2612861744 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
May 24
w
 
1-2A
6
Liverpool261268642 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
7
Brentford2612410540 
Mar 3
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
8
Everton261079-137 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
May 17
9
Bournemouth269107-237 
-
-
w
 
3-2A
Feb 28
10
Newcastle2610610036 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
11
Sunderland26998-336 
Feb 28
l
 
3-2F
-
-
12
Fulham2610412-534 
w
 
3-1A
May 9
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
13
C Palace268810-432 
May 2
d
 
3-3F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
14
Brighton267109031 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
d
 
0-00-0
15
Leeds267910-930 
Apr 25
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 3
16
Spurs267811-129 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
17
Nottm Forest267613-1327 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
18
West Ham266614-1724 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 21
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
19
Burnley264616-2318 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
20
Wolves261619-329 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 2
Win / draw / win form
3
Sunderland have lost 3 consecutive away league games
8
Sunderland have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
Bournemouth 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bournemouth1 - 1A Villa
Bournemouth3 - 2Liverpool
Bournemouth3 - 2Spurs
Bournemouth2 - 3Arsenal
Bournemouth1 - 1Burnley
Bournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
Bournemouth0 - 1Everton
Bournemouth2 - 2West Ham
Bournemouth2 - 0Nottm Forest
Bournemouth3 - 1Fulham
Bournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
Bournemouth2 - 1Brighton
Bournemouth1 - 0Wolves
Bournemouth2 - 0Leicester
Bournemouth0 - 1A Villa
Bournemouth1 - 1Man Utd
Bournemouth1 - 0Fulham
Bournemouth1 - 2Ipswich
Bournemouth1 - 2Brentford
Bournemouth0 - 1Wolves
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABournemouth2 - 1Everton
HBournemouth1 - 1A Villa
ABournemouth2 - 0Wolves
HBournemouth3 - 2Liverpool
ABournemouth1 - 1Brighton
HBournemouth3 - 2Spurs
HBournemouth2 - 3Arsenal
ABournemouth2 - 2Chelsea
ABournemouth1 - 4Brentford
HBournemouth1 - 1Burnley
ABournemouth4 - 4Man Utd
HBournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
HBournemouth0 - 1Everton
ABournemouth2 - 3Sunderland
HBournemouth2 - 2West Ham
ABournemouth0 - 4A Villa
ABournemouth1 - 3Man City
HBournemouth2 - 0Nottm Forest
ABournemouth3 - 3C Palace
HBournemouth3 - 1Fulham
Sunderland 11TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal3 - 0Sunderland
West Ham3 - 1Sunderland
Brentford3 - 0Sunderland
Spurs1 - 1Sunderland
Brighton0 - 0Sunderland
Man City3 - 0Sunderland
Liverpool1 - 1Sunderland
Fulham1 - 0Sunderland
Chelsea1 - 2Sunderland
Man Utd2 - 0Sunderland
Nottm Forest0 - 1Sunderland
C Palace0 - 0Sunderland
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Sheff Utd1 - 2Sunderland
Coventry1 - 2Sunderland
Oxford Utd2 - 0Sunderland
Bristol C2 - 1Sunderland
Norwich0 - 0Sunderland
West Brom0 - 1Sunderland
Coventry3 - 0Sunderland
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSunderland0 - 1Liverpool
ASunderland0 - 3Arsenal
HSunderland3 - 0Burnley
ASunderland1 - 3West Ham
HSunderland2 - 1C Palace
ASunderland0 - 3Brentford
ASunderland1 - 1Spurs
HSunderland0 - 0Man City
HSunderland1 - 1Leeds
ASunderland0 - 0Brighton
HSunderland1 - 0Newcastle
ASunderland0 - 3Man City
ASunderland1 - 1Liverpool
HSunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
ASunderland0 - 1Fulham
HSunderland2 - 2Arsenal
HSunderland1 - 1Everton
ASunderland2 - 1Chelsea
HSunderland2 - 0Wolves
ASunderland0 - 2Man Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bournemouth since 2015
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
3
2
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
BOU
1
SUN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bournemouth
1 - 2Sunderland
Bournemouth2 - 0
League games at Sunderland since 2016
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
BOU
1
D
1
SUN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sunderland
Sunderland3 - 2
0 - 1Bournemouth
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Bournemouth have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Sunderland on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Bournemouth 9th Sunderland 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Bournemouth will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Sunderland scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Bournemouth have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
-36
Sunderland have scored 36% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Bournemouth
PG (predicted goals)
Sunderland
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
31%
better
BOU
SUN
view stats
Games scored22
16
Failed to score4
10
Scored first13
8
Goals scored43
27
Avg. goals scored1.7
1
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
BOU
SUN
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
18
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first11
15
Goals conceded45
30
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate against20%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+16%

Bournemouth v Sunderland Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26848
Đorđe PetrovićE KroupiM SenesiA. Jiménez Sánchez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Đorđe Petrović GLK26
2
-
A Truffert DEF262
3
-
A Scott MID2621
1
-
M Senesi DEF254
7
-
Evanilson  FWD245
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF2211
8
-
M Tavernier MID2253
3
-
A Adli FWD2231
2
-
E Kroupi FWD218
3
-
D Brooks  FWD2112
7
-
B Diakité DEF18
1
-
J Kluivert MID182
4
-
J Hill DEF173
2
-
L Cook MID161
1
2
R Christie MID161
1
-
A Smith DEF151
2
-
T Adams MID1521
5
-
E Ünal  FWD131
1
-
V. Milosavljević DEF7
-
B Doak FWD41
-
J Soler DEF3
-
A Toth MID3
-
R Rocha FWD321
1
-
Sunderland Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26557
R RoefsB BrobbeyG XhakaT Hume
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Roefs GLK26
2
-
T Hume DEF261
7
-
E Fée MID2534
5
-
N Mukiele DEF2414
4
-
W Isidor FWD234
2
-
O Alderete DEF2211
4
-
D Ballard DEF2221
3
-
G Xhaka MID2215
4
-
N Sadiki MID211
5
-
B Brobbey FWD2151
2
-
L Geertruida DEF20
-
C Talbi FWD2031
-
R Mandava DEF171
6
1
E Mayenda FWD141
-
R Mundle FWD13
1
-
C Rigg MID10
-
B Traoré FWD101
1
-
H Diarra MID91
3
-
D Cirkin DEF6
1
-
L O'Nien DEF5
1
N Angulo FWD2
-