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Burnley v Brentford : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Feb, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley and Brentford clash at the Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon, with both Scott Parker and Keith Andrews hoping for success in the English Premier League. All the odds are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Premier League match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Burnley and Brentford will score a minimum of 2 between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookies have it priced at 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Brentford coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burnley 27%	31/10 3%	3/1
Draw 25%	13/5	14/5
Brentford 48%	4/5 3%	5/6
Draw 1-1 12%	13/2	6/1
Brentford 1-0 11%	15/2 6%	13/2
Brentford 2-1 9%	17/2 5%	7/1
Brentford 2-0 8%	9/1 5%	15/2
Burnley 1-0 8%	14/1 15%	10/1
Burnley 2-1 7%	14/1	11/1
Draw 0-0 7%	11/1 9%	10/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1 12%	12/1
Brentford 3-1 5%	14/1 12%	12/1
Brentford 3-0 4%	16/1	12/1
Burnley 2-0 4%	22/1	16/1
Brentford 3-2 3%	25/1 10%	18/1
Burnley 3-1 3%	33/1	25/1
Burnley 3-2 2%	40/1	28/1
Brentford 4-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	4/5 6%	4/5
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	1/1 5%	19/20
Home 1st Goal 44%	7/5	6/4
Away 1st Goal 52%	8/13	8/13
No 1st Goal 4%	11/1 9%	9/1
BTTS - Yes 54%	3/4 3%	3/4
BTTS - No 46%	1/1 3%	19/20
BTTS - Home Win 13%	13/2	6/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 22%	13/5 4%	5/2
Home/draw 52%	19/20 3%	19/20
Away/draw 73%	2/9 2%	1/4
Home/away 75%	2/7	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1/4 3%	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	3/1 7%	13/5
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	2/1 12%	2/1
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	2/5 5%	4/11
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	9/2 8%	9/2
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/7 1%	1/8
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	10/1 15%	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/20 1%	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20 1%	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1 9%	9/1
Home DNB 45%	2/1	15/8
Away DNB 65%	4/11	4/11
Burnley win to nil 14%	7/1	-
Brentford win to nil 26%	9/4 8%	-
Burnley / Burnley 13%	6/1	5/1
Burnley / Brentford 4%	22/1	16/1
Burnley / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1
Draw / Burnley 9%	17/2	15/2
Draw / Brentford 17%	4/1	19/5
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	9/2
Brentford / Burnley 3%	33/1 17%	25/1
Brentford / Brentford 29%	15/8	17/10
Brentford / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Burnley have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 49 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 13 games at home, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Brentford lay in 7th place on 40 points in the Premier League league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brentford have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Brentford have played 13 away games, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burnley Brentford
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	26	17	6	3	32	57	l 0-2A	May 17	d 1-1A	l 2-0A
2	Man City	26	16	5	5	30	53	Apr 25	l 5-1A	l 0-1A	May 9
3	A Villa	26	15	5	6	10	50	May 9	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
4	Man Utd	26	12	9	5	10	45	d 2-2F	l 3-2A	w 3-1F	Apr 25
5	Chelsea	26	12	8	6	17	44	l 0-2A	Feb 21	d 2-2F	l 2-0A
6	Liverpool	26	12	6	8	6	42	l 0-1A	d 1-1A	w 3-2F	May 24
7	Brentford	26	12	4	10	5	40	Feb 28	l 3-1A	-	-
8	Everton	26	10	7	9	-1	37	d 0-00-0	Mar 3	Apr 11	w 2-4F
9	Bournemouth	26	9	10	7	-2	37	Mar 14	d 1-1A	w 4-1F	Mar 3
10	Newcastle	26	10	6	10	0	36	l 1-3A	l 2-1A	w 3-1A	w 2-3A
11	Sunderland	26	9	9	8	-3	36	w 2-0F	l 3-0A	w 3-0F	l 2-1F
12	Fulham	26	10	4	12	-5	34	l 2-3A	Mar 21	Apr 18	l 3-1F
13	C Palace	26	8	8	10	-4	32	l 0-1A	w 2-3A	May 17	l 2-0A
14	Brighton	26	7	10	9	0	31	Apr 11	l 2-0A	Feb 21	l 2-1F
15	Leeds	26	7	9	10	-9	30	w 2-0F	May 2	d 1-1F	Mar 21
16	Spurs	26	7	8	11	-1	29	d 2-2A	l 3-0A	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A
17	Nottm Forest	26	7	6	13	-13	27	d 1-1A	Apr 18	l 0-2A	l 3-1A
18	West Ham	26	6	6	14	-17	24	l 0-2A	l 3-2F	May 2	w 0-2F
19	Burnley	26	4	6	16	-23	18	-	-	w 3-1F	Feb 28
20	Wolves	26	1	6	19	-32	9	May 24	w 2-3F	Mar 16	w 0-2F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Burnley have not won in 9 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley	0 - 2	West Ham
Burnley	2 - 2	Spurs
Burnley	2 - 2	Man Utd
Burnley	1 - 3	Newcastle
Burnley	0 - 0	Everton
Burnley	2 - 3	Fulham
Burnley	0 - 1	C Palace
Burnley	0 - 2	Chelsea
Burnley	0 - 2	Arsenal
Burnley	2 - 0	Leeds
Burnley	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
Burnley	0 - 1	Liverpool
Burnley	2 - 0	Sunderland
Burnley	3 - 1	Millwall
Burnley	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich
Burnley	1 - 0	Bristol C
Burnley	1 - 1	West Brom
Burnley	4 - 0	Luton
Burnley	4 - 0	Sheff Wed

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burnley	3 - 2	C Palace
H	Burnley	0 - 2	West Ham
A	Burnley	0 - 3	Sunderland
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Spurs
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Liverpool
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Man Utd
A	Burnley	0 - 2	Brighton
H	Burnley	1 - 3	Newcastle
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Everton
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Bournemouth
H	Burnley	2 - 3	Fulham
A	Burnley	1 - 2	Newcastle
H	Burnley	0 - 1	C Palace
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Brentford
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Chelsea
A	Burnley	2 - 3	West Ham
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Arsenal
A	Burnley	3 - 2	Wolves
H	Burnley	2 - 0	Leeds
A	Burnley	1 - 2	A Villa

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle	2 - 3	Brentford
A Villa	0 - 1	Brentford
Chelsea	2 - 0	Brentford
Everton	2 - 4	Brentford
Wolves	0 - 2	Brentford
Spurs	2 - 0	Brentford
Arsenal	2 - 0	Brentford
Brighton	2 - 1	Brentford
C Palace	2 - 0	Brentford
West Ham	0 - 2	Brentford
Fulham	3 - 1	Brentford
Sunderland	2 - 1	Brentford
Nottm Forest	3 - 1	Brentford
Wolves	1 - 1	Brentford
Ipswich	0 - 1	Brentford
Nottm Forest	0 - 2	Brentford
Arsenal	1 - 1	Brentford
Newcastle	2 - 1	Brentford
Bournemouth	1 - 2	Brentford
Leicester	0 - 4	Brentford

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Brentford	1 - 1	Arsenal
A	Brentford	3 - 2	Newcastle
A	Brentford	1 - 0	A Villa
H	Brentford	0 - 2	Nottm Forest
A	Brentford	0 - 2	Chelsea
H	Brentford	3 - 0	Sunderland
A	Brentford	4 - 2	Everton
H	Brentford	0 - 0	Spurs
H	Brentford	4 - 1	Bournemouth
A	Brentford	2 - 0	Wolves
H	Brentford	1 - 1	Leeds
A	Brentford	0 - 2	Spurs
A	Brentford	0 - 2	Arsenal
H	Brentford	3 - 1	Burnley
A	Brentford	1 - 2	Brighton
H	Brentford	3 - 1	Newcastle
A	Brentford	0 - 2	C Palace
H	Brentford	3 - 2	Liverpool
A	Brentford	2 - 0	West Ham
H	Brentford	0 - 1	Man City

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Burnley have beaten Brentford in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Burnley

Brentford

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

BRN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley		2 - 1
Burnley		3 - 1
Burnley		1 - 0

Brentford

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

0 / 4

BRN

BRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brentford
Brentford	3 - 1
Brentford	3 - 0
Brentford	2 - 0
	1 - 3	Burnley

Goal Statistics

Brentford's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Burnley have conceded in each of their last 8 English Premier League outings. A PG of 1.6 for K. Andrews's side suggests that run should continue.

	Burnley 19th	Brentford 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Brentford will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+21 Burnley have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted	+9 Brentford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

BRN

BRE

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	17		19
Failed to score	9		7
Scored first	5		15
Goals scored	28		40
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	6		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	18		20
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+26%

BRN

BRE

24%

better

view stats

Games conceded	23		20
Clean sheets	3		6
Conceded first	20		10
Goals conceded	51		35
Avg. goals conceded	2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	16%		17%
Avg. XG against	2.2		1.6
KickOff rating		+24%

Burnley v Brentford Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	6	4	8
M Dúbravka	J Anthony	Q Hartman	K Walker

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Dúbravka GLK	26			1 -
K Walker DEF	25		2	8 -
L Ugochukwu MID	25	3	1	2 1
J Anthony FWD	25	6	1	4 -
M Estève DEF	23			-
J Laurent MID	23	1		5 -
Florentino MID	22		2	4 -
J Larsen FWD	21		1	-
A Broja FWD	19	1	1	-
L Tchaouna FWD	19	1		1 -
L Foster FWD	19	3	1	3 -
H Mejbri MID	18	1	1	5 -
J Cullen MID	18	2	2	2 -
Z Flemming FWD	18	5	1	3 -
M Edwards FWD	16	1	3	-
H Ekdal DEF	15			-
Q Hartman DEF	15		4	1 -
L Pires DEF	11			1
A Tuanzebe DEF	11	1		1 -
B Humphreys DEF	10			3 -
J Worrall DEF	7			-
M Trésor MID	4			-
A Barnes FWD	2			1 -
J Ward-Prowse MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	13	4	5
J Anthony	J Anthony	Q Hartman	M Edwards

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Anthony FWD	6	13	1	3
Z Flemming FWD	5	11	1
L Ugochukwu MID	3	7	1
L Foster FWD	3	4	1	1
J Cullen MID	2	6	2	4
J Laurent MID	1	3
A Broja FWD	1	6	1	1
L Tchaouna FWD	1	6		1
H Mejbri MID	1	2	1	3
M Edwards FWD	1	5	3	5
A Tuanzebe DEF	1	1
K Walker DEF			2	3
M Estève DEF		1		1
Florentino MID		1	2
J Larsen FWD		4	1	2
H Ekdal DEF		1
Q Hartman DEF		2	4	4
L Pires DEF		1
B Humphreys DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1021	75	105
K Walker	Florentino	Florentino

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Walker DEF	1021	36	99
M Estève DEF	902	29	99
M Dúbravka GLK	870	1	27
J Cullen MID	866	31	66
Florentino MID	784	75	105
L Ugochukwu MID	590	43	90
J Anthony FWD	514	29	91
Q Hartman DEF	514	31	45
J Laurent MID	484	33	64
H Ekdal DEF	477	19	63
A Tuanzebe DEF	445	12	33
B Humphreys DEF	445	17	37
L Pires DEF	341	22	37
J Larsen FWD	258	12	30
M Edwards FWD	253	7	31
H Mejbri MID	247	14	56
L Tchaouna FWD	220	15	41
L Foster FWD	203	11	51
Z Flemming FWD	151	7	63
A Broja FWD	130	6	59
J Worrall DEF	70	2	9
M Trésor MID	15
A Barnes FWD	5		5
J Ward-Prowse MID	2	1	3

Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	17	4	7
C Kelleher	I Thiago	V Janelt	K Schade

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Kelleher GLK	26			1 -
M Kayode DEF	26			6 -
Y Yarmoliuk MID	26	1	2	5 -
I Thiago FWD	26	17	1	5 -
N Collins DEF	24	1	2	4 -
J Henderson MID	24	1	3	4 -
M Jensen MID	24	2	1	2 -
K Lewis-Potter FWD	24	3	1	1 -
K Schade FWD	23	6	3	6 1
R Henry DEF	22			2 -
M Damsgaard MID	22	1	3	-
S Berg DEF	21		1	1 -
V Janelt MID	21	1	4	7 -
K Ajer DEF	20		1	2 -
D Ouattara FWD	20	5	1	4 -
A Hickey DEF	17			1 -
F Carvalho MID	6	1		-
R Nelson FWD	6			-
E Pinnock DEF	3			1 -
R Donovan MID	2			-
A Milambo MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
17	34	4	9
I Thiago	I Thiago	V Janelt	M Damsgaard

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Thiago FWD	17	34	1	4
K Schade FWD	6	20	3	8
D Ouattara FWD	5	10	1	4
K Lewis-Potter FWD	3	6	1	2
M Jensen MID	2	4	1	6
Y Yarmoliuk MID	1	4	2	1
N Collins DEF	1	5	2	4
J Henderson MID	1	1	3	6
M Damsgaard MID	1	6	3	9
V Janelt MID	1	3	4	6
F Carvalho MID	1	1
M Kayode DEF		1		3
R Henry DEF		1
S Berg DEF		4	1	3
K Ajer DEF		3	1	1
A Hickey DEF		1		1
R Nelson FWD		1
R Donovan MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1199	51	149
N Collins	Y Yarmoliuk	M Kayode

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Collins DEF	1199	22	105
S Berg DEF	926	14	106
Y Yarmoliuk MID	892	51	84
C Kelleher GLK	892	1	11
J Henderson MID	889	22	36
M Kayode DEF	796	50	149
V Janelt MID	703	24	60
M Jensen MID	553	23	46
M Damsgaard MID	537	36	70
K Ajer DEF	504	30	83
I Thiago FWD	420	21	124
R Henry DEF	375	13	52
K Schade FWD	355	30	139
D Ouattara FWD	286	14	92
K Lewis-Potter FWD	268	15	48
A Hickey DEF	254	10	24
E Pinnock DEF	100	4	12
R Nelson FWD	28	2	6
F Carvalho MID	25	3	5
A Milambo MID	11	3	5
R Donovan MID	9		4