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Leeds United v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Feb, 17:30 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Manchester City pay English Premier League competitors Leeds United a visit on Saturday evening, as Josep Guardiola i Sala leads his side into an away clash with Daniel Farke & co. at the Elland Road. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.


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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Man City and Leeds supporters should get a chance to celebrate as their sides go head-to-head, with KickOff's prediction of both teams to score looking a far stronger pick than any bet on the full time result market. The two teams are more than capable of finding the net, as is borne out by the statistics and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookmakers odds are not finding much to pick between the sides, as striking power and defensive options suggest each team is capable of both scoring and conceding. Both teams to score is the tip of the day here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Man City coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
32%
15/419/5
Draw
23%
3/1
3%
16/5
Man City
45%
3/513/20
Draw 1-1
11%
15/213/2
Man City 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Man City 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
7/1
Leeds 2-1
7%
16/112/1
Man City 2-0
6%
17/2
5%
15/2
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
13%
12/1
Leeds 1-0
6%
18/112/1
Man City 3-1
5%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/112/1
Leeds 2-0
4%
28/120/1
Man City 3-0
4%
12/110/1
Man City 3-2
4%
22/116/1
Leeds 3-1
4%
40/128/1
Leeds 3-2
3%
40/128/1
Man City 4-1
2%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/68/13
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/56/5
Home 1st Goal
47%
8/5
4%
7/4
Away 1st Goal
51%
1/21/2
No 1st Goal
2%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
62%
7/10
3%
7/10
BTTS - No
38%
21/20
5%
21/20
BTTS - Home Win
18%
15/213/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1
5%
19/5
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/521/10
Home/draw
55%
13/106/5
Away/draw
68%
2/112/11
Home/away
77%
2/9
2%
2/9
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/51/5
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/216/5
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/8
5%
6/4
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/2
2%
10/21
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
7/27/2
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/52/11
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/115/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/141/18
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/111/1
Home DNB
48%
11/45/2
Away DNB
61%
1/41/4
Leeds win to nil
14%
9/1-
Man City win to nil
20%
2/1
8%
-
Leeds / Leeds
10%
8/16/1
Leeds / Man City
4%
20/116/1
Leeds / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Draw / Leeds
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Man City
18%
15/4
5%
18/5
Draw / Draw
13%
6/15/1
Man City / Leeds
3%
33/128/1
Man City / Man City
34%
6/4
4%
11/8
Man City / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Leeds have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 9 and won 4. Leeds have conceded 35 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Leeds have played 13 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Man City lay in 2nd place on 53 points in the Premier League league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored 53 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man City have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Man City have played 13 away games, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2617633257 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
5-0A
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
2
Man City2616553053 
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
-
-
3
A Villa2615561050 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
May 24
l
 
1-0A
4
Man Utd2612951045 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
5
Chelsea2612861744 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
6
Liverpool261268642 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
7
Brentford2612410540 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
May 9
w
 
0-1F
8
Everton261079-137 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 2
9
Bournemouth269107-237 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
w
 
3-1F
May 17
10
Newcastle2610610036 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-3F
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
11
Sunderland26998-336 
Mar 3
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
12
Fulham2610412-534 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
4-5F
13
C Palace268810-432 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 14
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
14
Brighton267109031 
May 17
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
15
Leeds267910-930 
-
-
w
 
3-2F
Feb 28
16
Spurs267811-129 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
17
Nottm Forest267613-1327 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1F
Mar 4
w
 
1-2F
18
West Ham266614-1724 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
w
 
3-0F
Mar 14
19
Burnley264616-2318 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-1F
Apr 25
20
Wolves261619-329 
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Man City have beaten Leeds in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
Man City have not lost to Leeds in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Leeds since 1993
Leeds
Man City
Goals: Scored
14
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
LEE
5
D
1
MCI
4
League games at Man City since 1992
Man City
Leeds
Goals: Scored
21
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
LEE
2
D
4
MCI
5
Goal Statistics
Leeds 15th Man City 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+28
Leeds have scored 28% more goals at home than predicted
-15
Man City have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.4
1.7
Attack rating
LEE
MCI
26%
better
view stats
Games scored19
22
Failed to score7
4
Scored first11
20
Goals scored36
54
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
20
Avg. XG for1.7
1.8
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
LEE
MCI
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
15
Clean sheets4
11
Conceded first13
5
Goals conceded45
24
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+42%

Leeds v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241037
G Gudmundsson D Calvert-LewinB AaronsonE Ampadu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Gudmundsson  DEF25
4
-
B Aaronson MID2543
1
-
J Rodon DEF242
1
-
J Bogle  DEF2412
4
-
P Struijk DEF231
3
-
E Ampadu MID2311
7
-
N Okafor FWD234
3
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD23101
1
-
A Stach MID2133
3
-
A Tanaka MID202
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD2061
-
J Justin  DEF1711
2
-
I Gruev MID173
2
-
L Perri GLK16
2
-
S Longstaff MID1612
2
-
W Gnonto FWD141
2
-
J Bijol DEF1311
1
-
D James FWD12
-
J Piroe FWD11
-
K Darlow GLK10
-
S Bornauw DEF9
1
-
F Buonanotte MID2
1
-
S Byram DEF1
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
252277
E HaalandE HaalandR CherkiB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Silva MID2614
7
-
E Haaland FWD26226
1
-
N. O'Reilly DEF2523
4
-
T Reijnders MID2452
2
-
G Donnarumma GLK23
5
-
M Nunes MID2314
4
-
P Foden MID2373
4
-
R Dias DEF222
2
-
N González  MID211
6
-
R Cherki MID2137
1
-
J Doku FWD2014
-
J Gvardiol DEF1622
2
-
S Sávio FWD151
1
-
Rodri MID14
2
-
O Marmoush FWD1411
1
-
N Aké  DEF13
1
-
A. Khusanov DEF12
2
-
R Lewis DEF101
1
-
R Nouri DEF9
1
-
J Stones DEF7
-
A Semenyo FWD531
-
M Guéhi DEF4
1
-
J Trafford GLK3
-
M. Alleyne DEF2
-
M Kovacic MID1
-