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Liverpool v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 1st Jan, 17:30 BST, Anfield, Liverpool

Leeds United pay English Premier League counterparts Liverpool a visit on Thursday evening, as Daniel Farke leads his team into an away clash with Arne Slot & co. at the Anfield. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Liverpool
57%
--
Draw
22%
--
Leeds
21%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Liverpool 2-1
10%
--
Liverpool 1-0
10%
--
Liverpool 2-0
9%
--
Liverpool 3-1
6%
--
Liverpool 3-0
6%
--
Leeds 2-1
6%
--
Leeds 1-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Liverpool 3-2
3%
--
Liverpool 4-1
3%
--
Leeds 2-0
3%
--
Liverpool 4-0
3%
--
Leeds 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
--
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
44%
--
BTTS - Home Win
28%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
79%
--
Away/draw
43%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
72%
--
Away DNB
36%
--
Liverpool win to nil
29%
--
Leeds win to nil
10%
--
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Liverpool have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Liverpool have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Liverpool have played 8 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Leeds are in 17th position in the Premier League on 16 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Leeds have conceded 26 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Liverpool
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1611322036 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 8
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
2
Man City1611142234 
Feb 8
l
 
3-0A
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
3
A Villa161033833 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
4
Chelsea168441228 
May 9
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1F
Feb 10
5
C Palace16754526 
Apr 25
l
 
2-1A
Dec 20
Mar 14
6
Man Utd16754426 
l
 
1-2A
May 2
Jan 4
Apr 11
7
Liverpool16826226 
-
-
d
 
3-3A
Jan 1
8
Sunderland16754226 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 11
Mar 4
Dec 28
9
Everton16736-124 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
10
Brighton16655223 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
May 17
l
 
3-0A
11
Spurs16646422 
Mar 14
Dec 20
l
 
1-2A
May 9
12
Newcastle16646122 
Jan 31
w
 
2-3F
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 7
13
Bournemouth16565-321 
w
 
4-2F
Jan 24
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
14
Fulham16628-320 
Apr 11
Jan 4
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
15
Brentford16628-320 
May 24
l
 
3-2A
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
16
Nottm Forest16538-818 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
Feb 6
l
 
3-1F
17
Leeds16448-1016 
Jan 1
d
 
3-3F
-
-
18
West Ham16349-1313 
Feb 28
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
May 24
19
Burnley163112-1510 
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
May 2
l
 
2-0A
20
Wolves160214-262 
Dec 27
Mar 4
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Liverpool 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool2 - 0Brighton
Liverpool1 - 1Sunderland
Liverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Liverpool1 - 2Man Utd
Liverpool2 - 1Everton
Liverpool1 - 0Arsenal
Liverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
Liverpool1 - 1C Palace
Liverpool2 - 2Arsenal
Liverpool5 - 1Spurs
Liverpool2 - 1West Ham
Liverpool1 - 0Everton
Liverpool3 - 1Southampton
Liverpool2 - 0Newcastle
Liverpool2 - 1Wolves
Liverpool4 - 1Ipswich
Liverpool2 - 2Man Utd
Liverpool3 - 1Leicester
Liverpool2 - 2Fulham
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLiverpool2 - 0Brighton
ALiverpool3 - 3Leeds
HLiverpool1 - 1Sunderland
ALiverpool2 - 0West Ham
HLiverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
ALiverpool0 - 3Man City
HLiverpool2 - 0A Villa
ALiverpool2 - 3Brentford
HLiverpool1 - 2Man Utd
ALiverpool1 - 2Chelsea
ALiverpool1 - 2C Palace
HLiverpool2 - 1Everton
ALiverpool1 - 0Burnley
HLiverpool1 - 0Arsenal
ALiverpool3 - 2Newcastle
HLiverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
HLiverpool1 - 1C Palace
ALiverpool2 - 3Brighton
HLiverpool2 - 2Arsenal
ALiverpool1 - 3Chelsea
Leeds 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford1 - 1Leeds
Man City3 - 2Leeds
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Wolves1 - 3Leeds
Fulham1 - 0Leeds
Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
Plymouth1 - 2Leeds
Oxford Utd0 - 1Leeds
M'Boro0 - 1Leeds
Luton1 - 1Leeds
QPR2 - 2Leeds
Portsmouth1 - 0Leeds
Sheff Utd1 - 3Leeds
Watford0 - 4Leeds
Coventry0 - 2Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Hull3 - 3Leeds
Derby0 - 1Leeds
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds1 - 1Brentford
HLeeds3 - 3Liverpool
HLeeds3 - 1Chelsea
ALeeds2 - 3Man City
HLeeds1 - 2A Villa
ALeeds1 - 3Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3Brighton
HLeeds2 - 1West Ham
ALeeds0 - 2Burnley
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
HLeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
ALeeds3 - 1Wolves
ALeeds0 - 1Fulham
HLeeds0 - 0Newcastle
ALeeds0 - 5Arsenal
HLeeds1 - 0Everton
ALeeds2 - 1Plymouth
HLeeds4 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds6 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 0Oxford Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Liverpool since 1993
Liverpool
Leeds
Goals: Scored
39
16
Games: Scored
14 / 15
10 / 15
Clean sheets
5 / 15
1 / 15
LIV
10
D
1
LEE
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
1 - 2Leeds
Liverpool6 - 0
Liverpool4 - 3
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Leeds
Liverpool3 - 1
1 - 3Leeds
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool4 - 0
Liverpool5 - 0
0 - 1Leeds
Liverpool2 - 0
Liverpool2 - 0
League games at Leeds since 1992
Leeds
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
17
33
Games: Scored
9 / 16
13 / 16
Clean sheets
3 / 16
7 / 16
LIV
8
D
5
LEE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 6Liverpool
0 - 3Liverpool
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Liverpool
0 - 4Liverpool
Leeds4 - 3
1 - 2Liverpool
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Liverpool
0 - 2Liverpool
Leeds1 - 0
0 - 2Liverpool
Leeds2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Liverpool's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday evening, not least because Leeds United have conceded in each of their last 13 English Premier League games. A PG of 1.9 for A. Slot's side suggests that run should continue.

Liverpool 7th Leeds 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Liverpool’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Liverpool
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
25%
better
LIV
LEE
view stats
Games scored14
11
Failed to score2
5
Scored first9
5
Goals scored26
20
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
21%
better
LIV
LEE
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first7
10
Goals conceded24
30
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against18%
22%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+21%

Liverpool v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16735
V Dijk H EkitikéC GakpoC Bradley
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Dijk  DEF16
3
-
I Konaté DEF16
3
-
D Szoboszlai MID1621
4
-
M Kerkez DEF151
3
-
A Mac Allister MID152
1
-
F Wirtz MID15
1
-
H Ekitiké FWD1571
-
C Gakpo FWD1543
-
C Jones MID14
1
-
R Gravenberch MID1432
3
-
M Salah FWD1443
1
-
Alisson GLK11
-
F Chiesa FWD1121
2
-
C Bradley DEF101
5
-
A Robertson DEF10
-
A Isak FWD911
-
J Gomez DEF82
2
-
G Mamardashvili GLK5
-
W Endo MID51
1
-
R. Ngumoha FWD51
-
J Frimpong DEF4
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16524
J RodonD Calvert-LewinJ Bogle J Bogle 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Gudmundsson  DEF16
2
-
J Rodon DEF162
1
-
J Bogle  DEF162
4
-
B Aaronson MID1512
1
-
P Struijk DEF14
3
-
A Stach MID1422
2
-
E Ampadu MID14
4
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD145
-
L Nmecha  FWD144
-
A Tanaka MID132
1
-
N Okafor FWD132
2
-
S Longstaff MID1212
1
-
L Perri GLK11
1
-
J Harrison FWD11
-
D James FWD10
-
J Justin  DEF8
1
-
I Gruev MID8
1
-
J Piroe FWD8
-
W Gnonto FWD81
2
-
J Bijol DEF71
-
K Darlow GLK5
-
S Bornauw DEF2
-
S Byram DEF1
-