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Manchester City v Arsenal : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Apr, 16:30 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Sunday afternoon sees Josep Guardiola i Sala’s Manchester City and Mikel Arteta Amatriain’s Arsenal go head to head in a English Premier League clash at the Etihad Stadium. We have custom-designed statistics for the biggest betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of Man City and Arsenal scoring at least two goals in this Premier League match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
46%
21/20
14%
-
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
-
Arsenal
30%
23/10
18%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2-
Man City 1-0
9%
17/2
5%
-
Man City 2-1
9%
17/2
9%
-
Man City 2-0
7%
11/1
20%
-
Arsenal 1-0
7%
12/1
20%
-
Arsenal 2-1
7%
12/1
18%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Man City 3-1
5%
18/1
17%
-
Arsenal 2-0
5%
20/1
27%
-
Man City 3-0
4%
20/1
21%
-
Man City 3-2
3%
25/1
15%
-
Arsenal 3-1
3%
28/1
26%
-
Arsenal 3-2
2%
33/1-
Man City 4-1
2%
40/1
20%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/5
8%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/6-
BTTS - No
43%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/1
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/1
20%
-
Home/draw
70%
1/3
6%
-
Away/draw
54%
8/11
11%
-
Home/away
75%
2/7
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/1
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
2/5
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/1-
Home DNB
63%
8/15
14%
-
Away DNB
47%
11/8
23%
-
Man City win to nil
23%
11/4
11%
-
Arsenal win to nil
14%
5/1
33%
-
Man City / Man City
25%
12/5
17%
-
Man City / Arsenal
3%
28/1-
Man City / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Man City
16%
9/2
8%
-
Draw / Arsenal
11%
7/1
15%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Arsenal / Man City
4%
22/1
10%
-
Arsenal / Arsenal
16%
9/2
22%
-
Arsenal / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 2nd position in the league. Man City are unbeaten in 1 games against teams above them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 1 games. Man City are winless in the 1 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 1 and won zero. Man City have conceded 1 goal, scored 1, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Man City have played 15 games at home, winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 36 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Arsenal lay in 1st place on 70 points in the Premier League league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 61 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 16 away games, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3121733970 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
-
-
2
Man City3018753261 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
3
Man Utd31151061355 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-1F
4
A Villa311669554 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-1A
5
Liverpool3114710849 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
6
Chelsea3113991548 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
7
Brentford3113711446 
May 9
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
8
Everton3113711246 
w
 
2-0F
May 4
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
9
Fulham3113513-144 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
4-5F
May 2
w
 
0-1F
10
Brighton31111010443 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
11
Sunderland31111010-443 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
12
Newcastle3112613-142 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
Apr 25
w
 
1-2A
13
Bournemouth319157-242 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
Apr 11
w
 
2-3A
14
C Palace3010911-239 
-
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
May 24
15
Leeds3171212-1133 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-4F
16
Nottm Forest318815-1232 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Spurs317915-1030 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
18
West Ham317816-2129 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 10
19
Burnley314819-2820 
w
 
5-1F
Apr 22
May 17
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves313820-3017 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
14
Man City have not lost in 14 consecutive home league games
8
Arsenal have not lost in 8 consecutive away league games
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Home
14
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Man City have not lost to Arsenal in 10 consecutive home league meetings
5
Arsenal have not lost to Man City in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Man City since 1993
Man City
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
46
41
Games: Scored
20 / 28
20 / 28
Clean sheets
8 / 28
8 / 28
MCI
12
D
5
ARS
11
League games at Arsenal since 1992
Arsenal
Man City
Goals: Scored
39
27
Games: Scored
20 / 28
17 / 28
Clean sheets
11 / 28
8 / 28
MCI
7
D
7
ARS
14
Goal Statistics

Manchester City have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.6 against Arsenal on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Man City 2nd Arsenal 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Arsenal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Man City have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+12
Arsenal have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
MCI
ARS
2%
better
view stats
Games scored26
28
Failed to score4
3
Scored first24
22
Goals scored60
61
Avg. goals scored2
2
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for1.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
MCI
ARS
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
16
Clean sheets12
15
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded28
22
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+5%

Man City v Arsenal Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
282289
E HaalandE HaalandR CherkiB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Silva MID3024
9
-
E Haaland FWD29227
1
-
N. O'Reilly DEF2843
4
-
G Donnarumma GLK27
6
-
M Nunes MID2714
4
-
T Reijnders MID2652
2
-
P Foden MID2673
4
-
R Dias DEF252
3
-
R Cherki MID2538
1
-
J Doku FWD2214
-
N González  MID211
6
-
Rodri MID181
2
-
S Sávio FWD171
2
-
O Marmoush FWD1713
2
-
J Gvardiol DEF1622
2
-
A. Khusanov DEF15
2
-
N Aké  DEF14
1
-
R Nouri DEF132
2
-
R Lewis DEF101
1
-
A Semenyo FWD951
-
M Guéhi DEF8
1
-
J Stones DEF7
-
J Trafford GLK3
-
M. Alleyne DEF2
-
M Kovacic MID1
-
Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311155
D RayaV GyökeresJ TimberJ Timber
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK31
1
-
M Zubimendi MID3151
4
-
J Timber DEF3035
5
-
D Rice MID3045
2
-
V Gyökeres FWD2911
4
-
B Saka FWD2764
1
-
L Trossard FWD2655
1
-
W Saliba DEF251
1
-
G Magalhães DEF2534
3
-
E Eze MID2562
1
-
G Martinelli FWD2513
2
-
R Calafiori DEF2212
5
-
P Hincapié DEF2112
2
-
M Merino MID2143
1
-
M Ødegaard MID2015
-
N Madueke FWD2021
-
C Mosquera DEF14
2
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF14
3
-
G Jesus  FWD112
2
-
B White DEF71
-
C Nörgaard MID6
-
K Havertz FWD61
-
M. Dowman FWD31
-