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Nottingham Forest v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Apr, 14:00 BST, The City Ground, Nottingham

The City Ground plays host on Sunday afternoon, as Vítor Manuel de Oliveira Lopes Pereira's Nottingham Forest are visited by Scott Parker's Burnley in the English Premier League. Premier League stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Nottm Forest and Burnley have delivered plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nottm Forest are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nottm Forest
53%
11/20
8%
-
Draw
25%
27/10
6%
-
Burnley
21%
5/1
18%
-
Nottm Forest 1-0
13%
7/1
7%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1
13%
-
Nottm Forest 2-0
10%
15/2-
Nottm Forest 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
11/1
20%
-
Burnley 1-0
8%
18/1
12%
-
Nottm Forest 3-0
5%
12/1
8%
-
Burnley 2-1
5%
20/1-
Nottm Forest 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Burnley 2-0
3%
33/1
21%
-
Nottm Forest 3-2
2%
28/1
10%
-
Nottm Forest 4-0
2%
22/1
12%
-
Nottm Forest 4-1
2%
25/1
10%
-
Burnley 3-1
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
4/5
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1/1
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
53%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
12/5
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/1-
Home/draw
79%
1/8
3%
-
Away/draw
47%
11/8
14%
-
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/4
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
3/1
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
2/1
19%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/5
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/2
17%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/7
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/1
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/20
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11/1
30%
-
Home DNB
71%
2/11
3%
-
Away DNB
39%
7/2
15%
-
Nottm Forest win to nil
32%
13/8-
Burnley win to nil
12%
10/1
10%
-
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest
36%
7/5
8%
-
Nottm Forest / Burnley
2%
40/1-
Nottm Forest / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Nottm Forest
19%
7/2-
Draw / Burnley
7%
12/1
8%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
-
Burnley / Nottm Forest
4%
20/1
9%
-
Burnley / Burnley
9%
9/1
10%
-
Burnley / Draw
5%
16/1
12%
-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Nottm Forest have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 33 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Nottm Forest have played 15 games at home winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 20 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 38 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 8 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 59 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nottm Forest
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3121733970 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
May 17
2
Man City3018753261 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
l
 
5-1A
3
Man Utd31151061355 
d
 
2-2A
May 17
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
4
A Villa311669554 
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
May 9
l
 
2-1A
5
Liverpool3114710849 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
6
Chelsea3113991548 
l
 
0-3A
May 4
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
7
Brentford3113711446 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
3-4A
l
 
3-1A
8
Everton3113711246 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
9
Fulham3113513-144 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1F
10
Brighton31111010443 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 11
l
 
2-0A
11
Sunderland31111010-443 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 24
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
12
Newcastle3112613-142 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
13
Bournemouth319157-242 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
14
C Palace3010911-239 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
15
Leeds3171212-1133 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 1
16
Nottm Forest318815-1232 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
17
Spurs317915-1030 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
18
West Ham317816-2129 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
19
Burnley314819-2820 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
-
-
20
Wolves313820-3017 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
Nottm Forest 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest0 - 0Fulham
Nottm Forest0 - 1Liverpool
Nottm Forest0 - 0Wolves
Nottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
Nottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
Nottm Forest0 - 2Everton
Nottm Forest1 - 2Man City
Nottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Nottm Forest2 - 2Man Utd
Nottm Forest0 - 3Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 1Sunderland
Nottm Forest0 - 3West Ham
Nottm Forest3 - 1Brentford
Nottm Forest0 - 1Chelsea
Nottm Forest2 - 2Leicester
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brentford
Nottm Forest0 - 1Everton
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man Utd
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
HNottm Forest0 - 0Fulham
ANottm Forest2 - 2Man City
ANottm Forest1 - 2Brighton
HNottm Forest0 - 1Liverpool
HNottm Forest0 - 0Wolves
ANottm Forest1 - 3Leeds
HNottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
ANottm Forest2 - 0Brentford
HNottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
ANottm Forest2 - 1West Ham
ANottm Forest1 - 3A Villa
HNottm Forest0 - 2Everton
HNottm Forest1 - 2Man City
ANottm Forest0 - 1Fulham
HNottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
ANottm Forest0 - 3Everton
ANottm Forest1 - 0Wolves
HNottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
ANottm Forest3 - 0Liverpool
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fulham3 - 1Burnley
Everton2 - 0Burnley
Chelsea1 - 1Burnley
C Palace2 - 3Burnley
Sunderland3 - 0Burnley
Liverpool1 - 1Burnley
Brighton2 - 0Burnley
Bournemouth1 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
West Ham3 - 2Burnley
Wolves2 - 3Burnley
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
QPR0 - 5Burnley
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Coventry1 - 2Burnley
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
Draw
7
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley1 - 3Fulham
HBurnley0 - 0Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 2Everton
HBurnley3 - 4Brentford
ABurnley1 - 1Chelsea
ABurnley3 - 2C Palace
HBurnley0 - 2West Ham
ABurnley0 - 3Sunderland
HBurnley2 - 2Spurs
ABurnley1 - 1Liverpool
HBurnley2 - 2Man Utd
ABurnley0 - 2Brighton
HBurnley1 - 3Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 0Everton
ABurnley1 - 1Bournemouth
HBurnley2 - 3Fulham
ABurnley1 - 2Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 1C Palace
ABurnley1 - 3Brentford
HBurnley0 - 2Chelsea
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Nottm Forest have drawn with Burnley in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Nottm Forest since 2000
Nottm Forest
Burnley
Goals: Scored
18
8
Games: Scored
11 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
1 / 12
NFO
6
D
4
BRN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nottm Forest
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nottm Forest2 - 0
0 - 2Burnley
Nottm Forest2 - 0
1 - 2Burnley
Nottm Forest1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nottm Forest2 - 0
Nottm Forest1 - 0
Nottm Forest5 - 0
League games at Burnley since 2000
Burnley
Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
22
10
Games: Scored
12 / 13
7 / 13
Clean sheets
6 / 13
1 / 13
NFO
2
D
3
BRN
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Nottm Forest
Burnley1 - 0
Burnley3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Burnley5 - 1
Burnley1 - 0
Burnley5 - 0
Burnley1 - 0
0 - 3Nottm Forest
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Burnley1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Nottm Forest 16th Burnley 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Nottm Forest will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Burnley scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-45
Nottm Forest have scored 45% fewer goals at home than predicted
+18
Burnley have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Nottm Forest
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
NFO
BRN
7%
better
view stats
Games scored17
20
Failed to score14
11
Scored first8
6
Goals scored31
33
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
19%
better
NFO
BRN
view stats
Games conceded23
27
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first20
23
Goals conceded43
61
Avg. goals conceded1.4
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
2.2
KickOff rating
+19%

Nottm Forest v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Nottm Forest Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31936
N MilenkovićM Gibbs-WhiteN WilliamsN Milenković
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Milenković DEF31
6
-
E Anderson MID3122
6
-
M Gibbs-White MID3192
1
-
N Williams DEF3013
5
1
I Jesus FWD3033
-
C Hudson-Odoi FWD2933
-
M Sels GLK24
2
-
O Hutchinson MID2413
-
Murillo DEF231
4
-
I Sangaré MID2322
5
-
D Ndoye FWD2311
1
-
N Domínguez MID201
2
-
R Yates MID161
1
-
O Aina  DEF151
3
-
Morato DEF15
4
-
N. Savona DEF142
2
-
T Awoniyi FWD122
1
-
J McAtee MID10
1
-
D Bakwa FWD101
1
-
C Wood FWD82
-
John GLK5
1
-
S Ortega GLK3
-
J Paula DEF3
-
L Lucca FWD31
-
L Netz DEF2
-
Z Abbott DEF2
-
A Gunn GLK1
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31848
M DúbravkaZ FlemmingQ HartmanK Walker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK31
1
-
L Ugochukwu MID3031
2
1
J Anthony FWD3071
4
-
K Walker DEF292
8
-
M Estève DEF28
-
J Laurent MID281
7
1
Florentino MID242
4
-
H Mejbri MID2313
7
-
J Larsen  FWD231
-
L Tchaouna FWD231
1
-
L Foster FWD2332
4
-
Z Flemming FWD2281
3
-
A Broja  FWD2011
-
M Edwards FWD1913
-
J Cullen MID1822
2
-
Q Hartman DEF174
1
-
H Ekdal DEF15
-
B Humphreys DEF15
4
-
L Pires DEF15
1
A Tuanzebe  DEF111
1
-
J Worrall DEF111
-
J Ward-Prowse MID61
1
-
A Barnes FWD6
1
-
M Trésor MID4
-