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Lens v Monaco : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 16:00 BST, Stade Felix Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Lens and their manager Pierre Sage will be looking to get one over on Sébastien Pocognoli and his Monaco side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Stade Felix Bollaert-Delelis in the Ligue 1. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Lens and Monaco's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lens are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lens
59%
1.85-
Draw
23%
3.80
1%
-
Monaco
18%
3.70
3%
-
Lens 1-0
12%
11.00
10%
-
Lens 2-0
11%
11.00-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50-
Lens 2-1
10%
8.50
6%
-
Lens 3-0
7%
17.00
11%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
17.00-
Lens 3-1
6%
13.00
13%
-
Monaco 1-0
6%
15.00-
Monaco 2-1
5%
13.00
8%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
12.00-
Lens 4-0
3%
29.00
15%
-
Lens 4-1
3%
26.00
10%
-
Lens 3-2
3%
19.00
10%
-
Monaco 2-0
3%
23.00
10%
-
Monaco 3-1
1%
26.00
13%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
1.57
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
2.38
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.62
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
2.25
2%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
50%
1.53-
BTTS - No
50%
2.38-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3.20
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4.50
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
6.00
9%
-
Home/draw
82%
1.29-
Away/draw
41%
1.91-
Home/away
77%
1.25-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.17
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5.00
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2.30
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1.62
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
4.00
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.25
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
8.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.08-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15.00
12%
-
Home DNB
75%
1.40
3%
-
Away DNB
34%
2.75
5%
-
Lens win to nil
34%
3.75
6%
-
Monaco win to nil
10%
8.00
14%
-
Lens / Lens
29%
2.88
7%
-
Lens / Monaco
3%
26.00-
Lens / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Lens
15%
5.50-
Draw / Monaco
10%
8.50
6%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50-
Monaco / Lens
4%
19.00
10%
-
Monaco / Monaco
14%
6.00
9%
-
Monaco / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lens have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 1 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Lens have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Lens have played 11 games at home winning 10, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 21 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Monaco are in 10th position in the Ligue 1 on 28 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 4. Monaco have conceded 16 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lens
Monaco
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2116323251 
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 6
2
Lens2116142049 
-
-
l
 
1-4A
Feb 21
3
Lyon2113351442 
l
 
0-1A
May 16
l
 
1-3A
Mar 22
4
Marseille2112361939 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
5
Lille211038433 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
May 9
l
 
1-0A
6
Rennes21876-331 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
l
 
4-1A
7
Strasbourg21939730 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 27
w
 
3-2F
May 16
8
Toulouse21867730 
Apr 19
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
9
Angers21858-329 
Mar 22
w
 
1-2F
Feb 28
d
 
1-1F
10
Monaco21849-128 
Feb 21
w
 
1-4F
-
-
11
Lorient21777-628 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
12
Brest21759-526 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
13
Le Havre21588-823 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Nice216510-1123 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
15
Paris FC21579-822 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 14
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
16
Auxerre213513-1514 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
17
Nantes213513-1814 
May 9
w
 
1-2F
Feb 13
w
 
3-5F
18
Metz213414-2513 
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-2A
May 3
Win / draw / win form
Lens 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
Monaco 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lens since 2015
Lens
Monaco
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
LEN
2
D
2
MCO
2
League games at Monaco since 2014
Monaco
Lens
Goals: Scored
8
14
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
LEN
4
D
1
MCO
2
Goal Statistics

Lens have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Monaco on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Lens 1st Monaco 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Lens will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Monaco scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Lens’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-31
Monaco have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lens
PG (predicted goals)
Monaco
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
13%
better
LEN
MCO
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first13
8
Goals scored37
32
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
18
Avg. XG for1.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
35%
better
LEN
MCO
view stats
Games conceded13
16
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first7
11
Goals conceded17
33
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+35%

Lens v Monaco Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lens Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21867
R RisserW Saïd M UdolA Thomasson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Risser GLK211
2
-
M Udol DEF216
1
-
F Thauvin FWD2153
5
-
W Saïd  FWD2182
1
-
R Aguilar DEF2022
4
1
M Sarr DEF201
2
-
A Thomasson MID2026
7
-
M Sangaré MID1912
3
-
S Baidoo DEF1821
2
-
O Edouard FWD1782
1
-
R. Fofana FWD173
-
M Guilavogui FWD161
3
1
F Sotoca FWD16
1
-
S Abdulhamid DEF141
-
P Ganiou DEF102
1
1
J Gradit DEF10
2
1
A Sima FWD101
2
-
A. Bulatović MID91
1
-
A. Bermont FWD6
-
D Machado DEF5
1
-
K. Antonio DEF2
1
-
F. Sylla MID2
-
Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18737
M AklioucheA FatiF BalogunT Kehrer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Teze DEF20
6
-
M Akliouche FWD2042
2
-
M Biereth  FWD1922
-
C Henrique DEF17
2
-
F Balogun FWD1743
3
1
P Köhn GLK15
1
-
T Kehrer DEF15
5
2
A Golovin MID1522
1
-
T Minamino FWD1532
4
-
G Ilenikhena FWD152
-
K Ouattara DEF143
3
-
M. Coulibaly MID1431
4
1
A Fati FWD137
1
-
Vanderson DEF122
4
-
M Salisu DEF121
3
-
L Camara MID123
2
-
K Diatta FWD121
1
-
D Zakaria MID111
3
1
L Hradecky GLK8
-
E Dier DEF81
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID811
-
C Mawissa DEF7
1
-
A. Bamba MID7
1
-
P. Brunner FWD5
1
-
P Pogba MID3
-
L. Michal FWD2
-