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Montpellier v Paris Saint-Germain : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th May, 20:00 BST, Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier

Montpellier and their manager Rolf Landerl will be hoping for victory against Luis Enrique Martínez García and his Paris Saint-Germain side on Saturday night, as the pair clash at the Stade de la Mosson in the Ligue 1. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: PSG to win

Visiting Stade de la Mosson and coming away with a win is a tough task, especially in Ligue 1, but we predict PSG boss Luis Enrique Martínez García is capable of inspiring his side to do exactly that. Statistics, head-to-head (H2H) records and odds from the bookmakers all add credence to the away win, and we make it the best bet on this match in particular.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 74% chance of PSG coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Montpellier
11%
9.50-
Draw
15%
7.00-
PSG
74%
1.22-
PSG 2-0
9%
9.00-
PSG 2-1
9%
10.00-
PSG 3-0
8%
9.00-
PSG 3-1
8%
10.00-
PSG 1-0
7%
13.00-
Draw 1-1
7%
15.00-
PSG 4-0
6%
12.00-
PSG 4-1
6%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
4%
21.00-
PSG 3-2
4%
21.00-
Montpellier 2-1
3%
26.00-
PSG 5-0
3%
19.00-
PSG 5-1
3%
21.00-
PSG 4-2
3%
26.00-
Draw 0-0
2%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
1.30-
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
3.50-
Home 1st Goal
39%
4.00-
Away 1st Goal
59%
1.22-
No 1st Goal
1%
29.00-
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.67-
BTTS - No
42%
2.10-
BTTS - Home Win
7%
13.00-
BTTS - Draw
13%
8.00-
BTTS - Away Win
39%
2.25-
Home/draw
26%
4.00-
Away/draw
89%
1.07-
Home/away
85%
1.10-
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1.08-
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
8.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1.80-
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
2.00-
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
2.75-
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
1.44-
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
4.50-
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1.20-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.01-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
26.00
10%
-
Home DNB
21%
8.00-
Away DNB
84%
1.08-
Montpellier win to nil
4%
21.00-
PSG win to nil
35%
2.38-
Montpellier / Montpellier
4%
19.00-
Montpellier / PSG
6%
15.00-
Montpellier / Draw
4%
23.00-
Draw / Montpellier
4%
23.00-
Draw / PSG
19%
4.33-
Draw / Draw
7%
12.00-
PSG / Montpellier
2%
41.00-
PSG / PSG
50%
1.67-
PSG / Draw
4%
21.00-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Montpellier have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Montpellier have conceded 71 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 18 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Montpellier have played 16 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 37 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

PSG lay in 1st place on 78 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 31 matches. PSG are unbeaten away after 15 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below them in the table, winning 24, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored 84 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. PSG have conceded 31 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

PSG have played 15 away games, winning 11, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Montpellier
PSG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG Away3124615378 
May 10
l
 
6-0A
-
-
2
Marseille3118492358 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
5-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
3
Lille3116871756 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
4
Monaco3116782255 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-4F
5
Lyon3116692054 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
6
Nice3115972054 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1A
7
Strasbourg3115971354 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-2F
May 3
8
Lens3113612-245 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
9
Brest3113513-444 
w
 
3-1F
May 4
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-5F
10
Auxerre3111812041 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
May 17
d
 
0-00-0
11
Rennes3112217238 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-4F
12
Toulouse319814-135 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
13
Reims318914-1033 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-2A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
14
Nantes3171113-1532 
l
 
1-3A
May 17
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
15
Angers318617-2130 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4F
16
Le Havre318419-3128 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4F
17
St Etienne317618-3727 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-6A
18
Montpellier H314423-4916 
-
-
w
 
6-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
Montpellier 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montpellier0 - 0Reims
Montpellier0 - 2Le Havre
Montpellier0 - 2St Etienne
Montpellier0 - 4Rennes
Montpellier1 - 4Lyon
Montpellier0 - 2Lens
Montpellier2 - 1Monaco
Montpellier1 - 3Angers
Montpellier2 - 2Nice
Montpellier2 - 2Lille
Montpellier3 - 1Brest
Montpellier0 - 3Toulouse
Montpellier0 - 5Marseille
Montpellier3 - 2Auxerre
Montpellier1 - 3Nantes
Montpellier1 - 1Strasbourg
Montpellier0 - 2Monaco
Montpellier1 - 1Nantes
Montpellier2 - 0Lorient
Montpellier2 - 6PSG
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMontpellier0 - 0Reims
AMontpellier1 - 5Marseille
AMontpellier0 - 2Angers
HMontpellier0 - 2Le Havre
AMontpellier0 - 1Auxerre
HMontpellier0 - 2St Etienne
AMontpellier0 - 1Lille
HMontpellier0 - 4Rennes
AMontpellier0 - 2Nice
HMontpellier1 - 4Lyon
AMontpellier0 - 2Strasbourg
HMontpellier0 - 2Lens
AMontpellier2 - 1Toulouse
HMontpellier2 - 1Monaco
HMontpellier1 - 3Angers
AMontpellier0 - 1Lyon
HMontpellier2 - 2Nice
AMontpellier0 - 2Lens
HMontpellier2 - 2Lille
AMontpellier0 - 1St Etienne
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nantes1 - 1PSG
St Etienne1 - 6PSG
Rennes1 - 4PSG
Lyon2 - 3PSG
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
Brest2 - 5PSG
Lens1 - 2PSG
Monaco2 - 4PSG
Auxerre0 - 0PSG
Angers2 - 4PSG
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Nice1 - 1PSG
Reims1 - 1PSG
Lille1 - 3PSG
Le Havre1 - 4PSG
Metz0 - 2PSG
Nice1 - 2PSG
Lorient1 - 4PSG
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Montpellier2 - 6PSG
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPSG1 - 3Nice
APSG1 - 1Nantes
HPSG2 - 1Le Havre
HPSG1 - 0Angers
APSG6 - 1St Etienne
HPSG3 - 1Marseille
APSG4 - 1Rennes
HPSG4 - 1Lille
APSG3 - 2Lyon
APSG1 - 0Toulouse
HPSG4 - 1Monaco
APSG5 - 2Brest
HPSG1 - 1Reims
APSG2 - 1Lens
HPSG2 - 1St Etienne
APSG4 - 2Monaco
HPSG3 - 1Lyon
APSG0 - 0Auxerre
HPSG1 - 1Nantes
HPSG3 - 0Toulouse
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
11
PSG have beaten Montpellier in 11 consecutive league meetings
11
PSG have not lost to Montpellier in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Montpellier since 2013
Montpellier
PSG
Goals: Scored
13
25
Games: Scored
8 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
3 / 11
MTP
2
D
2
PSG
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montpellier
2 - 6PSG
1 - 3PSG
0 - 4PSG
1 - 3PSG
1 - 3PSG
Montpellier3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Montpellier3 - 0
0 - 1PSG
1 - 2PSG
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at PSG since 2014
PSG
Montpellier
Goals: Scored
40
3
Games: Scored
10 / 12
2 / 12
Clean sheets
10 / 12
2 / 12
D
2
PSG
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG6 - 0
PSG3 - 0
PSG5 - 2
PSG2 - 0
PSG4 - 0
PSG5 - 0
PSG5 - 1
PSG4 - 0
PSG2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG4 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Montpellier of late. It has been 11 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Paris Saint-Germain.

Montpellier have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. This run could continue, with Paris Saint-Germain's PG an impressive 2.7.

Montpellier 18th PSG 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Montpellier scoring 1 goal or less
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
21%
There is a 82% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Montpellier have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
+44
PSG have scored 44% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
2.9
average goals scored
2.3
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279242/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Montpellier
PG (predicted goals)
PSG
1
2.7
Attack rating
MTP
PSG
68%
better
view stats
Games scored13
30
Failed to score18
1
Scored first2
24
Goals scored22
84
Avg. goals scored0.7
2.7
Avg. shots per game8
15
Avg. shots per goal12
5
Conversion rate for8
18
Avg. XG for1.1
2.5
KickOff rating
+68%
Defence rating
MTP
PSG
46%
better
view stats
Games conceded30
24
Clean sheets1
7
Conceded first28
6
Goals conceded71
31
Avg. goals conceded2.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded12
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
16%
Avg. XG against2
1
KickOff rating
+46%

Montpellier v PSG Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Montpellier Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
282511
B LecomteT SavanierT SavanierR. Nzingoula
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Lecomte GLK28
-
T Savanier MID2825
4
1
W Khazri FWD2811
4
-
M Sagnan DEF262
9
-
R. Nzingoula MID251
11
-
J Chotard MID231
5
-
J Ferri MID221
5
1
T Coulibaly FWD222
3
2
B Omeragic DEF20
1
-
I Sylla DEF191
2
-
K Fayad MID18
4
-
F Sacko DEF161
1
-
T Sainte-Luce  DEF151
3
-
O. Maamma FWD1211
1
-
K Kouyaté DEF11
5
1
N. Pays MID91
-
A Delort FWD9
1
-
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF71
-
N Maksimović DEF7
2
-
B Meïté DEF6
2
1
D Bertaud GLK3
-
PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2421115
B BarcolaO DembéléB BarcolaL Beraldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Barcola FWD311311
2
-
F Ruiz MID2844
-
Vitinha MID2852
1
-
D Doué FWD2866
1
-
O Dembélé FWD28216
1
-
K Lee FWD2866
1
-
W Pacho DEF271
2
-
J Neves MID2738
1
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID2611
3
-
A Hakimi DEF2446
4
-
G Donnarumma GLK23
2
-
N Mendes  DEF2322
3
-
L Beraldo DEF221
5
-
Marquinhos DEF211
3
-
G Ramos FWD1972
-
S. Mayulu MID1711
1
-
L Hernández  DEF14
2
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD1323
-
M Safonov GLK9
-
I. Mbaye FWD71
-
Y. Zague DEF3
-
P Kimpembe DEF2
-