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Le Havre v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 20:00 BST, Stade Oceane, Le Havre

Habib Beye pays counterpart Didier Digard a visit on Sunday night in the Ligue 1, as their Marseille and Le Havre charges go head to head at the Stade Oceane. For every Ligue 1 match preview, KickOff dives into the stats for all of the biggest markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Le Havre or Marseille are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Le Havre are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Le Havre
39%
13/513/5
Draw
25%
13/514/5
Marseille
36%
10/1110/11
Draw 1-1
12%
6/16/1
Le Havre 2-1
9%
11/110/1
Le Havre 1-0
8%
12/110/1
Marseille 2-1
8%
15/213/2
Marseille 1-0
8%
17/215/2
Le Havre 2-0
6%
20/114/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
14/111/1
Marseille 2-0
6%
10/117/2
Le Havre 3-1
4%
25/120/1
Marseille 3-1
4%
14/111/1
Le Havre 3-0
3%
40/128/1
Le Havre 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Marseille 3-2
3%
20/116/1
Marseille 3-0
3%
18/112/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/68/13
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
6/56/5
Home 1st Goal
49%
6/511/8
Away 1st Goal
48%
4/64/6
No 1st Goal
3%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/73/5
BTTS - No
42%
5/45/4
BTTS - Home Win
20%
5/119/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/317/5
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5/223/10
Home/draw
64%
5/617/20
Away/draw
61%
2/72/7
Home/away
75%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/51/5
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
7/210/3
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
13/86/4
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/210/21
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
7/217/5
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/52/11
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8/115/2
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/141/16
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/331/50
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/111/1
Home DNB
57%
13/813/8
Away DNB
53%
4/94/9
Le Havre win to nil
19%
6/1-
Marseille win to nil
17%
11/4-
Le Havre / Le Havre
15%
9/217/4
Le Havre / Marseille
4%
20/116/1
Le Havre / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Le Havre
10%
7/17/1
Draw / Marseille
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Draw
14%
5/119/4
Marseille / Le Havre
3%
28/122/1
Marseille / Marseille
27%
21/109/5
Marseille / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Le Havre have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 9 and won 4. Le Havre have conceded 33 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Le Havre have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 8 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Marseille lay in 7th place on 53 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 48 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Marseille have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Marseille have played 16 away games, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Le Havre
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3122454370 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
2
Lens3120472864 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
3
Lyon3218681860 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Lille3217781658 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
5
Rennes3216881056 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
May 17
l
 
1-0A
6
Monaco3216610854 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
7
Marseille32165111553 
May 10
l
 
6-2F
-
-
8
Strasbourg3113711946 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
9
Lorient32101210-542 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
10
Toulouse3211813041 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
11
Paris FC32101111-341 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2A
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
12
Brest3110813-1038 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
13
Angers329716-1934 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
14
Le Havre3261412-1332 
-
-
w
 
6-2A
May 10
15
Nice3271015-2231 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-5F
16
Auxerre3261016-1328 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Nantes325819-2223 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
18
Metz323722-4016 
d
 
4-4F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
3
Le Havre have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
3
Marseille have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Le Havre 14TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
Marseille 7TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Marseille have beaten Le Havre in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
Marseille have not lost to Le Havre in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Le Havre since 2024
Le Havre
Marseille
Goals: Scored
2
5
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
MAR
2
League games at Marseille since 2023
Marseille
Le Havre
Goals: Scored
14
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
MAR
3
Goal Statistics

Le Havre have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Marseille on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Le Havre 14th Marseille 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Le Havre will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Le Havre’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Marseille have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Le Havre
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
HAV
MAR
35%
better
view stats
Games scored18
24
Failed to score13
8
Scored first11
18
Goals scored29
59
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.8
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
1%
better
HAV
MAR
view stats
Games conceded24
24
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first15
14
Goals conceded42
44
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+1%

Le Havre v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Le Havre Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31757
I SoumaréI SoumaréI SoumaréS Ebonog
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Soumaré FWD3275
3
-
R Ndiaye MID3144
2
-
L Négo DEF29
3
-
Y. Zouaoui DEF2911
6
-
A Seko MID29
5
-
M Diaw GLK281
1
-
S Ebonog MID281
7
-
Y Kechta MID2821
3
-
G Lloris DEF2711
1
1
A Sangante DEF2611
4
2
A Samatta  FWD2521
4
-
F Doucouré DEF2432
2
-
F Mambimbi FWD161
1
-
G Kyeremeh FWD1311
-
Y Namli  FWD121
2
-
A Touré MID112
2
-
Étienne Youte Kinkoue DEF8
2
-
S. Zagadou DEF81
1
R Khadra MID8
-
D. Mosengo MID7
-
T Delaine DEF5
-
L M'Pasi GLK4
1
-
D Pizarro FWD2
-
P. Argney GLK1
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281567
P HöjbjergM Greenwood M Greenwood F Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Höjbjerg MID3034
3
-
M Greenwood  FWD30156
3
-
P Aubameyang FWD2995
1
-
T Weah MID2822
5
-
I Paixão FWD2865
3
-
G Rulli GLK27
3
-
Emerson DEF263
3
-
B Pavard DEF2512
5
-
L Balerdi DEF241
5
-
B Nadir MID204
5
1
A Gouiri FWD2073
-
A Vermeeren MID181
1
1
M Murillo DEF1621
4
-
N Aguerd DEF161
4
-
F Medina DEF151
7
-
M O'Riley MID1512
2
-
A Gomes MID143
4
-
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
H Traorè FWD1321
1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF11
1
1
G Kondogbia MID10
3
-
D. Bakola MID8
-
J Lange GLK5
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
P Lirola DEF3
-
N Maupay FWD1
-