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Paris FC v Paris Saint-Germain : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 20:00 BST, Stade Jean Bouin, Paris

Home advantage makes a difference in the Ligue 1, and Stéphane Gilli’s Paris FC will have the blessing of it on Sunday night. Luis Enrique Martínez García’s Paris Saint-Germain are their opponents at the Stade Jean Bouin. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are provided too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Stéphane Gilli and his side approach kick-off, we're predicting a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the game. Statistics imply both clubs are strong in attack, and have had few problems in finding the back of the net of late. In the absense of a strong favourite to win the match, we think the best tip as they go head-to-head is over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There is a 60% chance of both teams scoring within the 90 minutes of this match, as calculated by KickOff’s predictive algorithm. That makes ‘BTTS – yes’ the most probable outcome in this market, and it’s available at a best price of 1.50.

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert BTTS tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Paris FC
24%
5.004.60
Draw
22%
4.504.60
PSG
54%
1.551.60
Draw 1-1
10%
9.008.50
PSG 2-1
10%
8.507.50
PSG 1-0
8%
12.0010.00
PSG 2-0
8%
11.009.00
PSG 3-1
6%
11.0010.00
Paris FC 2-1
6%
17.0013.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0011.00
PSG 3-0
5%
13.0012.00
Paris FC 1-0
5%
23.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
23.0017.00
PSG 3-2
4%
17.0015.00
Paris FC 2-0
3%
34.0021.00
PSG 4-1
3%
19.0015.00
PSG 4-0
3%
21.0017.00
Paris FC 3-1
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.401.40
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
3.002.75
Home 1st Goal
44%
2.502.70
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.501.48
No 1st Goal
3%
23.0017.00
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.501.50
BTTS - No
40%
2.502.45
BTTS - Home Win
14%
7.506.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.755.00
BTTS - Away Win
29%
2.602.62
Home/draw
46%
2.382.30
Away/draw
76%
1.171.18
Home/away
78%
1.181.20
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.131.12
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
6.005.75
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.002.00
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.801.73
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
3.403.20
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.331.30
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
5.505.50
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.141.12
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.021.01
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
19.0017.00
Home DNB
39%
4.003.50
Away DNB
70%
1.221.25
Paris FC win to nil
10%
13.00-
PSG win to nil
25%
3.50-
Paris FC / Paris FC
11%
8.006.50
Paris FC / PSG
5%
17.0015.00
Paris FC / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Paris FC
7%
12.0010.00
Draw / PSG
17%
4.754.80
Draw / Draw
11%
8.007.00
PSG / Paris FC
3%
29.0026.00
PSG / PSG
35%
2.302.30
PSG / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Both teams to score Ligue 1 table
BTTS yes
BTTS no
Paris FC
PSG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3324454676 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
-
-
2
Lens3321482767 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
3
Lille3318781761 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
4
Lyon3318691760 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
5
Rennes3317881159 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
5-0F
l
 
3-1A
6
Marseille33175111656 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
5-2A
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
7
Monaco3316611754 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
8
Strasbourg33148111050 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2F
9
Lorient33111210-145 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
10
Toulouse3312813144 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-6F
11
Paris FC33101112-441 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
May 17
12
Brest3310815-1238 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
13
Angers339816-1935 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
14
Le Havre3361413-1432 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Auxerre3371016-1231 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
Nice3371016-2331 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
17
Nantes335820-2323 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Metz333723-4416 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
Both teams to score form
19
PSG have scored in 19 consecutive league games
Paris FC 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Yes
9
No
11
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Yes
11
No
9
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
19
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Yes
11
No
9
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Yes
8
No
12
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Paris Saint-Germain in their meeting with Paris FC, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 53 consecutive Ligue 1 outings.

Paris FC 11th PSG 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Paris FC will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Paris FC’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
PSG’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Paris FC
PG (predicted goals)
PSG
1.2
2
Attack rating
PAR
PSG
31%
better
view stats
Games scored24
31
Failed to score9
2
Scored first14
28
Goals scored45
73
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.2
Avg. shots per game9
13
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for1.3
2
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
PAR
PSG
41%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
15
Clean sheets8
18
Conceded first15
5
Goals conceded49
27
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1
KickOff rating
+41%

Paris FC v PSG Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Paris FC Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30949
M MbowI KebbalI KebbalM López 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Mbow DEF311
5
-
A. Camara MID281
8
-
M Simon FWD2833
-
I Kebbal FWD2894
7
-
N. Sangui DEF26
-
M López  MID253
9
-
J Krasso FWD2522
-
W Geubbels FWD235
-
A Gory FWD2331
2
-
O Silva DEF221
6
1
V Marchetti MID2221
1
-
J Ikoné FWD2231
2
-
K Trapp GLK21
2
-
P Lees-Melou MID2112
6
1
H Traoré DEF171
4
-
T Smet DEF171
4
2
S Chergui DEF141
1
-
O Nkambadio GLK12
-
T Kolodziejczak DEF11
2
-
T Ollila DEF10
-
M Cafaro FWD10
-
N Dicko FWD811
-
L Doucet MID51
2
-
J López FWD5
-
P Hamel FWD2
-
PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261076
W Zaïre-EmeryB BarcolaVitinhaI Zabarnyi 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Zaïre-Emery MID3134
3
-
G Ramos FWD2961
3
1
Vitinha MID2817
2
-
B Barcola FWD28101
2
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF271
6
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD2784
1
-
K Lee FWD2634
3
-
L Hernández  DEF253
4
-
S. Mayulu MID2544
2
-
W Pacho DEF23
-
D Doué FWD2374
-
I. Mbaye FWD2332
-
O Dembélé FWD21107
-
N Mendes  DEF2045
1
-
J Neves MID2051
-
L Beraldo DEF1921
2
-
F Ruiz MID1913
2
-
A Hakimi DEF1822
3
1
L Chevalier GLK17
-
M Safonov GLK14
-
Marquinhos DEF13
-
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD1011
1
-
R. Bellucci Marin GLK2
-