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Nice v Metz : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Allianz Riviera, Nice

Stéphane Le Mignan takes his Metz charges to the Allianz Riviera in the Ligue 1 on Sunday night, with Claude Puel's Nice their challengers. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.

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The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Nice and Metz was on Sunday 17th May 2026
French Ligue 1
May 17th 2026
Nice 0
0 Metz
 
NIC
MET
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
11
6
Corners
10
4
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
11
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
NiceMetz
 
D. da Costa Santos
A. Abdi
M. Sanson (T. Louchet 87')
C. Vanhoutte (H. Boudaoui 46')
S. Diop (I. Jansson 72')
S. Wahi
Y. Diouf
A. Mendy
K. Peprah Oppong
J. Clauss (K. Omoruyi Benjamin 78')
K. Boudache (M. Cho 46')
J. Fischer
M. Colin
T. Yegbe
(U. Mboula 85') A. Touré
(J. Pandore 75') G. Abuashvili
G. Hein
G. Kvilitaia
S. Sané
B. Sarr
(B. Traore 65') B. Stambouli
(J. Gbamin 65') B. Munongo

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Ligue 1 tie will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nice are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nice
51%
27/10012/1
Draw
22%
19/41/25
Metz
27%
9/133/1
Draw 1-1
10%
10/118/1
Nice 2-1
9%
8/160/1
Nice 1-0
7%
8/116/5
Nice 2-0
7%
6/118/1
Metz 2-1
7%
28/1100/1
Draw 2-2
6%
20/190/1
Nice 3-1
6%
9/1200/1
Metz 1-0
5%
28/19/1
Nice 3-0
5%
15/270/1
Nice 3-2
4%
22/1250/1
Draw 0-0
4%
18/14/9
Metz 2-0
3%
50/155/1
Metz 3-1
3%
66/1200/1
Nice 4-1
3%
14/1250/1
Metz 3-2
3%
50/1250/1
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
1/240/1
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
13/81/500
Home 1st Goal
52%
3/1011/1
Away 1st Goal
46%
12/528/1
No 1st Goal
2%
18/11/25
BTTS - Yes
63%
10/1116/1
BTTS - No
37%
10/111/200
BTTS - Home Win
29%
7/450/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
6/118/1
BTTS - Away Win
16%
16/180/1
Home/draw
73%
1/161/25
Away/draw
49%
11/41/4
Home/away
78%
1/715/8
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/79/1
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
9/21/25
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
6/5125/1
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
4/61/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
11/41/50
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/71/50
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
11/21/50
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/91/50
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/5013/8
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/14/9
Home DNB
67%
1/141/4
Away DNB
42%
8/113/5
Nice win to nil
22%
6/5-
Metz win to nil
11%
18/1-
Nice / Nice
45%
8/119/2
Nice / Metz
2%
50/140/1
Nice / Draw
5%
18/122/1
Draw / Nice
19%
3/121/20
Draw / Metz
5%
20/16/1
Draw / Draw
10%
8/13/1
Metz / Nice
5%
16/125/1
Metz / Metz
6%
18/118/1
Metz / Draw
4%
20/125/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nice have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Nice have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Nice have played 16 games at home winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 5 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 27 goals at home.

Metz are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 16 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 44 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

33 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Metz have conceded 76 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nice
Metz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3324454676 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
2
Lens3321482767 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
3
Lille3318781761 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
6-1A
4
Lyon3318691760 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-0A
5
Rennes3317881159 
l
 
0-4A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
6
Marseille33175111656 
l
 
1-5A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
7
Monaco3316611754 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-2F
8
Strasbourg33148111050 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
9
Lorient33111210-145 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1F
10
Toulouse3312813144 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-1A
l
 
3-4A
l
 
4-0A
11
Paris FC33101112-441 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2F
12
Brest3310815-1238 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
13
Angers339816-1935 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
14
Le Havre3361413-1432 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
4-4A
15
Auxerre3371016-1231 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
16
Nice3371016-2331 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Nantes335820-2323 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
18
Metz333723-4416 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
10
Nice have not won in 10 consecutive home league games
21
Metz have not won in 21 consecutive league games
Nice 16TH
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
21
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
51
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Draw
5
Lost
15
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nice since 2014
Nice
Metz
Goals: Scored
10
5
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
NIC
4
D
1
MET
2
League games at Metz since 2015
Metz
Nice
Goals: Scored
7
10
Games: Scored
4 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
3 / 7
NIC
3
D
2
MET
2
Goal Statistics

Nice's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Metz have conceded in each of their last 5 Ligue 1 outings. A PG of 1.9 for C. Puel's side suggests that run should continue.

Nice 16th Metz 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Nice will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Metz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Nice’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+22
Metz have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Nice
PG (predicted goals)
Metz
1.9
1.3
Attack rating
18%
better
NIC
MET
view stats
Games scored23
19
Failed to score10
14
Scored first13
7
Goals scored37
32
Avg. goals scored1.1
1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
8%
better
NIC
MET
view stats
Games conceded28
27
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first18
22
Goals conceded60
76
Avg. goals conceded1.8
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
20%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.8
KickOff rating
+8%

Nice v Metz Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nice Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28867
K OppongS DiopJ Clauss C Vanhoutte
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Diouf GLK26
1
-
A Mendy DEF251
5
-
Dante DEF121
1
-
K Oppong DEF291
4
-
J Clauss  MID3016
-
M Sanson MID312
4
-
C Vanhoutte MID262
7
-
A Abdi MID223
3
1
S Diop FWD3383
5
-
E Wahi FWD1451
5
-
K. Boudache FWD131
1
-
Subs
B. Żelazowski GLK
-
M Dupé GLK8
-
A. Juma Bah DEF26
7
-
H Boudaoui MID2512
4
-
T Louchet MID2732
1
1
T Ndombélé MID81
-
Y Ndayishimiye MID2
1
S Samed MID19
3
-
I Jansson FWD221
3
-
M Cho FWD2443
1
-
K Carlos FWD23
3
-
Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30879
J GbaminG HeinG HeinK Kouao
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Fischer GLK27
-
B Sarr DEF12
1
-
S. Sané DEF2321
5
2
T Yegbe DEF241
3
-
M Colin DEF22
1
-
B. Munongo MID11
1
-
A. Touré MID301
4
-
G Hein MID2987
2
1
B Stambouli MID19
-
G Abuashvili MID232
1
-
G Kvilitaia FWD102
1
-
Subs
R. Jean-Baptiste GLK
-
U. Mboula DEF14
2
-
K Kouao DEF2721
9
-
F Ballo-Touré  DEF13
2
-
J Gbamin MID3111
2
1
B Traoré MID201
4
-
I. Guerti MID3
-
H Diallo FWD2541
-
J. Pandore FWD41
-
French Ligue 1 match betting previews, predictions and odds