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Nantes v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 20:00 BST, La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau, Nantes

Home advantage makes a difference in the Ligue 1, and Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro’s Nantes will have the joy of it on Sunday night. Carles Martínez Novell’s Toulouse are their visitors to the La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nantes
34%
--
Draw
25%
--
Toulouse
42%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Toulouse 2-1
9%
--
Toulouse 1-0
9%
--
Nantes 2-1
8%
--
Nantes 1-0
8%
--
Toulouse 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Nantes 2-0
5%
--
Toulouse 3-1
5%
--
Nantes 3-1
4%
--
Toulouse 3-0
3%
--
Toulouse 3-2
3%
--
Nantes 3-2
3%
--
Nantes 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
50%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
21%
--
Home/draw
58%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
51%
--
Away DNB
59%
--
Nantes win to nil
16%
--
Toulouse win to nil
20%
--
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nantes have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Nantes have conceded 49 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nantes have played 16 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 27 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Toulouse lay in 10th place on 41 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 25 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Toulouse have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Toulouse have played 16 away games, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nantes
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3122454370 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
3-6A
l
 
3-1A
2
Lens3120472864 
l
 
1-2A
May 8
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-2F
3
Lyon3218681860 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
May 10
w
 
1-2A
4
Lille3217781658 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1F
5
Rennes3216881056 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
6
Monaco3216610854 
l
 
3-5A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
7
Marseille32165111553 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
8
Strasbourg3113711946 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
9
Lorient32101210-542 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
10
Toulouse3211813041 
May 17
d
 
2-2F
-
-
11
Paris FC32101111-341 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
12
Brest3110813-1038 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
Angers329716-1934 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
14
Le Havre3261412-1332 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
15
Nice3271015-2231 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
16
Auxerre3261016-1328 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
17
Nantes325819-2223 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
May 17
18
Metz323722-4016 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4F
Win / draw / win form
Nantes 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nantes3 - 0Marseille
Nantes1 - 1Brest
Nantes2 - 3Strasbourg
Nantes0 - 1Angers
Nantes2 - 0Le Havre
Nantes0 - 1Lyon
Nantes1 - 4Nice
Nantes1 - 2Paris FC
Nantes1 - 2Lens
Nantes1 - 1Lorient
Nantes0 - 2Metz
Nantes3 - 5Monaco
Nantes0 - 2Lille
Nantes2 - 2Rennes
Nantes1 - 0Auxerre
Nantes0 - 1PSG
Nantes3 - 0Montpellier
Nantes0 - 1Angers
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Nantes1 - 1PSG
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNantes3 - 0Marseille
ANantes1 - 2Rennes
ANantes0 - 3PSG
HNantes1 - 1Brest
ANantes0 - 0Auxerre
ANantes0 - 0Metz
HNantes2 - 3Strasbourg
HNantes0 - 1Angers
ANantes0 - 1Lille
HNantes2 - 0Le Havre
ANantes1 - 3Monaco
HNantes0 - 1Lyon
ANantes1 - 2Lorient
HNantes1 - 4Nice
HNantes1 - 2Paris FC
ANantes2 - 0Marseille
ANantes1 - 4Angers
HNantes1 - 2Lens
ANantes0 - 3Lyon
HNantes1 - 1Lorient
Toulouse 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Strasbourg1 - 2Toulouse
Lens3 - 2Toulouse
PSG3 - 1Toulouse
Metz3 - 4Toulouse
Rennes1 - 0Toulouse
Le Havre2 - 1Toulouse
Angers1 - 0Toulouse
Brest0 - 2Toulouse
Paris FC0 - 3Toulouse
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Lorient1 - 1Toulouse
Monaco1 - 0Toulouse
Lyon1 - 2Toulouse
Auxerre1 - 0Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Nice0 - 1Toulouse
St Etienne2 - 3Toulouse
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Reims1 - 0Toulouse
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse2 - 1Strasbourg
HToulouse2 - 2Monaco
AToulouse2 - 3Lens
HToulouse0 - 4Lille
AToulouse1 - 3PSG
HToulouse1 - 0Lorient
AToulouse4 - 3Metz
HToulouse0 - 1Marseille
AToulouse0 - 1Rennes
HToulouse1 - 1Paris FC
AToulouse1 - 2Le Havre
AToulouse0 - 1Angers
HToulouse0 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse2 - 0Brest
HToulouse5 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 3Lens
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Nantes have drawn with Toulouse in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nantes since 2013
Nantes
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
16
12
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
NAN
4
D
3
TOU
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nantes
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Toulouse
Nantes3 - 1
0 - 1Toulouse
Nantes2 - 1
Nantes4 - 0
Nantes2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Toulouse
1 - 2Toulouse
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Nantes
Goals: Scored
8
10
Games: Scored
7 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
4 / 11
NAN
3
D
7
TOU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Nantes
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Nantes
Toulouse1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Nantes
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Nantes 17th Toulouse 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Nantes will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Nantes have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+6
Toulouse’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Nantes
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
NAN
TOU
21%
better
view stats
Games scored19
21
Failed to score13
10
Scored first9
12
Goals scored29
43
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for12
15
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
NAN
TOU
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
22
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first20
17
Goals conceded51
44
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+10%

Nantes v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30647
A LopesM AblineM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Abline FWD3164
6
-
A Lopes GLK30
4
-
N Cozza DEF281
2
-
J Lepenant MID261
4
-
D. Assoumani MID261
3
-
C Awaziem DEF2512
7
-
Y Arabi FWD243
-
K Amian DEF231
3
-
M Mohamed FWD234
1
-
L. Leroux MID2211
2
-
B. Guirassy FWD2021
2
-
F Coquelin MID161
2
-
F Centonze DEF153
4
-
J Mwanga MID1511
2
1
K Hyeok-Kyu MID12
2
-
B. Deuff MID11
-
A. Camara FWD10
-
Y Benhattab FWD101
-
M. Lahdo FWD811
1
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
U Radakovic DEF5
-
P Carlgren GLK3
-
S. Doucouré DEF1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32858
G. RestesY GbohoA DönnumA Dönnum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK32
3
-
D Sidibé DEF3134
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF311
2
-
Y Gboho FWD3084
1
1
C Yepes MID2923
6
-
C Cresswell DEF2832
7
-
M McKenzie DEF282
6
1
A Dönnum MID2745
8
-
S Hidalgo FWD2745
4
-
D. Methalie DEF2611
8
-
Emersonn FWD2662
5
1
M Sauer MID251
4
-
W Kamanzi DEF231
1
-
A. Vossah MID2211
4
1
F Magri FWD1751
3
-
J. Vignolo FWD132
-
R. Messali MID12
2
-
N. Edjouma FWD12
-
S. Koumbassa DEF81
-
A Francis MID8
2
-
K Haug GLK1
-