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Metz v Lorient : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 20:00 BST, Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz

the Stade Saint-Symphorien crowd welcome Lorient's travelling contingent on Sunday night, as Stéphane Le Mignan's Metz take on Olivier Pantaloni's side in the Ligue 1. All of the key stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Metz and Lorient will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Stéphane Le Mignan or Olivier Pantaloni has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Lorient coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Metz
27%
21/1021/10
Draw
24%
13/527/10
Lorient
49%
11/1023/20
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Lorient 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Lorient 1-0
9%
17/215/2
Lorient 2-0
8%
11/19/1
Metz 2-1
7%
10/117/2
Metz 1-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/111/1
Lorient 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Lorient 3-0
4%
20/114/1
Metz 2-0
4%
16/112/1
Lorient 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Metz 3-1
3%
22/118/1
Metz 3-2
2%
25/120/1
Lorient 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/114/6
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/1011/10
Home 1st Goal
45%
11/1023/20
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/114/5
No 1st Goal
3%
12/110/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
8/138/13
BTTS - No
43%
6/56/5
BTTS - Home Win
15%
9/24/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3/114/5
Home/draw
51%
7/104/6
Away/draw
73%
4/114/11
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/33/1
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
7/417/10
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/94/9
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/119/5
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/62/13
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/161/20
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/40
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/111/1
Home DNB
44%
5/46/5
Away DNB
65%
4/73/5
Metz win to nil
13%
5/1-
Lorient win to nil
24%
3/1-
Metz / Metz
17%
4/118/5
Metz / Lorient
4%
20/118/1
Metz / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Metz
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Lorient
14%
9/29/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Lorient / Metz
3%
25/120/1
Lorient / Lorient
24%
12/511/5
Lorient / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Metz have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 22 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Metz have conceded 72 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Metz have played 16 games at home, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 28 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Lorient lay in 9th place on 42 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 8 and losing 5 games. They have scored 20 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Lorient have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Lorient have played 16 away games, winning 2, drawing 6 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Metz
Lorient
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3122454370 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
2
Lens3120472864 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
3
Lyon3218681860 
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
4
Lille3217781658 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
6-1A
l
 
1-7A
d
 
1-1A
5
Rennes3216881056 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
6
Monaco3216610854 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
7
Marseille32165111553 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-0A
8
Strasbourg3113711946 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3F
d
 
0-00-0
9
Lorient32101210-542 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
-
-
10
Toulouse3211813041 
l
 
3-4A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
11
Paris FC32101111-341 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
12
Brest3110813-1038 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
13
Angers329716-1934 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
14
Le Havre3261412-1332 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
4-4A
May 17
d
 
1-1F
15
Nice3271015-2231 
w
 
2-1A
May 17
w
 
3-1A
d
 
3-3A
16
Auxerre3261016-1328 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
17
Nantes325819-2223 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
18
Metz323722-4016 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
May 10
Win / draw / win form
20
Metz have not won in 20 consecutive league games
6
Lorient have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
20
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Draw
5
Lost
15
Lorient 9TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Metz have drawn with Lorient in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Metz since 2015
Metz
Lorient
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
MET
3
D
2
LOR
2
League games at Lorient since 2014
Lorient
Metz
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
6 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
2 / 8
MET
1
D
3
LOR
4
Goal Statistics
Metz 18th Lorient 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Metz will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Lorient will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Metz have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Lorient have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Metz
PG (predicted goals)
Lorient
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
MET
LOR
25%
better
view stats
Games scored19
23
Failed to score13
9
Scored first7
15
Goals scored32
44
Avg. goals scored1
1.4
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
MET
LOR
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
26
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first21
16
Goals conceded72
49
Avg. goals conceded2.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
18%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%

Metz v Lorient Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29879
J GbaminG HeinG HeinK Kouao
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Tsitaishvili FWD3232
2
-
J Deminguet MID302
4
-
J Gbamin DEF2911
2
1
A. Touré MID291
4
-
G Hein FWD2787
2
1
J. Fischer GLK26
-
K Kouao DEF2621
9
-
H Diallo FWD2441
-
T Yegbe DEF221
3
-
S. Sané DEF2121
4
2
M Colin DEF21
1
-
G Abuashvili FWD212
1
-
B Traoré MID191
3
-
B Stambouli MID17
-
I. Sane FWD1611
2
-
C Sabaly FWD142
2
-
F Ballo-Touré  DEF13
2
-
U. Mboula DEF13
2
-
M. Bokele Mputu FWD10
-
J Asoro FWD8
-
P Sy GLK7
-
B. Djomeni Madjo FWD5
-
M Mbaye FWD5
1
-
I. Guerti MID3
-
C. Mélières DEF2
1
-
Lorient Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291067
Y Mvogo P PagisK. KouassiA. Faye
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Soumano FWD3042
2
-
Y Mvogo  GLK29
-
K. Kouassi DEF2926
4
-
J Makengo MID2932
1
-
A Avon MID2911
3
-
K Dermane MID2812
3
-
T Bris MID2822
-
M Talbi DEF271
3
-
N Cadiou MID2621
1
-
L Abergel MID261
6
-
P Pagis FWD26103
1
-
A Tosin  FWD255
1
-
B Meïté DEF243
4
-
D Yongwa DEF231
4
1
B Dieng FWD2092
3
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD1812
3
-
I Silva DEF161
1
-
A. Faye DEF15
7
-
J Mvuka MID15
-
P Katseris MID1412
3
-
N Adjei DEF13
-
B Kamara GLK3
-