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Paris Saint-Germain v Stade Brestois 29 : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Parc des Princes, Paris

Saturday night at the Parc des Princes, and it’s a Ligue 1 showdown between Paris Saint-Germain and Stade Brestois 29. Luis Enrique Martínez García and Eric Roy will be doing all they can to claim the win. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

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Paris Saint-Germain's next match is v Girona at 20:00 on Wednesday 18th September
Stade Brestois 29's next match is v Sturm Graz at 20:00 on Thursday 19th September
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between PSG and Brest was on Saturday 14th September 2024
French Ligue 1
September 14th 2024
PSG 3
1 Brest
 
O. Dembélé 42'29' R. Del Castillo
F. Ruiz Peña 73'
O. Dembélé 74'
 
PSG
SBR
Shots On
9
3
Shots Off
7
Corners
9
1
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
7
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
PSGBrest
 
G. Donnarumma
A. Hakimi Mouh
M. Škriniar
L. Lopes Beraldo
N. Mendes (W. Pacho Tenorio 63')
K. Lee
F. Ruiz Peñafootball icon
J. Gonçalves Neves (S. Mayulu 80')
B. Barcola (D. Doue 63')
M. Asensio Willemsen (R. Kolo Muani 71')
O. Dembéléfootball iconfootball icon (I. Mbaye 80')
M. Bizot
B. Chardonnet
J. Le Cardinal
M. Haïdara
(I. Salah 80') E. Fernandes
K. Lala
H. Magnetti
(J. Martin 80') M. Camara
(M. Pereira Lage 57') A. Sima
(M. Baldé 68') L. Ajorque
(K. Doumbia 68') football iconR. Del Castillo
Best Tip: PSG to win

We think there's an outright winner in this fixture, and it's PSG. Their recent form stats show their ability at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Brest too. The odds point towards Luis Enrique Martínez García's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Saturday morning too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 75% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
75%
3/10
4%
3/10
7%
Draw
15%
5/1
20%
5/1
20%
Brest
10%
8/1
20%
8/1
29%
PSG 2-0
11%
13/26/1
PSG 3-0
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
11%
PSG 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
PSG 1-0
8%
17/2
12%
15/2
13%
PSG 3-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Draw 1-1
7%
10/1
10%
9/1
18%
PSG 4-0
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
PSG 4-1
5%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
PSG 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Draw 0-0
3%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
PSG 5-0
3%
22/1
21%
16/1
19%
Brest 2-1
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Brest 1-0
3%
25/1
24%
18/1
12%
PSG 5-1
3%
25/1
24%
18/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
4/9
8%
2/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
7/4
16%
17/10
3%
Home 1st Goal
61%
2/9
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
3/1
7%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/53/4
BTTS - No
46%
19/2019/20
BTTS - Home Win
36%
8/5
10%
6/4
9%
BTTS - Draw
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
13%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
20%
Home/draw
90%
1/14
3%
1/16
4%
Away/draw
25%
12/5
13%
5/2
22%
Home/away
85%
1/8
4%
1/8
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/7
3%
1/8
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/2
10%
9/2
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
11/10
12%
21/20
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
8/11
10%
7/10
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
5/2
19%
9/4
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
3/10
7%
3/10
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
5/1
25%
19/4
4%
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/8
4%
1/8
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/501/100
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
12%
16/1
13%
Home DNB
85%
1/10
4%
1/12
4%
Away DNB
21%
6/1
27%
11/2
24%
PSG win to nil
39%
5/4
5%
-
Brest win to nil
4%
16/1
31%
-
PSG / PSG
44%
5/6
11%
4/5
12%
PSG / Brest
2%
40/133/1
PSG / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
16/1
13%
Draw / PSG
20%
3/116/5
5%
Draw / Brest
5%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Draw / Draw
10%
8/1
20%
15/2
21%
Brest / PSG
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
Brest / Brest
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
20%
Brest / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
PSG
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Brest
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
-
-
 PSG Home44001312 
Feb 2
l
 
3-1F
Mar 16
Oct 27
 Marseille4310810 
l
 
1-5A
Apr 27
Feb 9
Jan 5
 Monaco4310610 
Apr 6
Nov 24
Nov 3
Jan 19
 Lens422038 
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
Dec 1
Apr 13
 Nantes421137 
Dec 15
Feb 9
Jan 26
Sep 22
 Reims421107 
Mar 16
Oct 27
Sep 27
Mar 9
 Rennes420236 
Oct 20
Jan 19
Mar 2
w
 
1-3F
 Lille420216 
May 11
Dec 8
Apr 20
w
 
1-4F
 Le Havre4202-16 
Oct 6
Jan 26
Oct 20
May 4
 Strasbourg412115 
Dec 1
Feb 23
Nov 24
Feb 16
 Toulouse412105 
Sep 22
Mar 30
Apr 27
Oct 6
 Nice411204 
Nov 3
May 18
Dec 15
Feb 23
 Lyon4112-44 
Jan 12
Mar 2
w
 
3-1A
Feb 2
 Brest Away4103-43 
-
-
May 18
Dec 8
 Auxerre4103-63 
Feb 16
Sep 27
Jan 12
Mar 30
 St Etienne4103-63 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 13
Apr 6
Nov 10
 Angers4013-61 
Mar 9
Jan 5
w
 
6-0F
May 11
 Montpellier4013-111 
May 4
Nov 10
Win / draw / win form
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG6 - 0Montpellier
PSG1 - 3Toulouse
PSG3 - 3Le Havre
PSG4 - 1Lyon
PSG1 - 1Clermont
PSG2 - 2Reims
PSG1 - 1Rennes
PSG3 - 1Lille
PSG2 - 2Brest
PSG3 - 1Metz
PSG2 - 1Nantes
PSG5 - 2Monaco
PSG3 - 0Montpellier
PSG3 - 0Strasbourg
PSG4 - 0Marseille
PSG2 - 3Nice
PSG3 - 1Lens
PSG0 - 0Lorient
PSG2 - 3Clermont
PSG5 - 0Ajaccio
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APSG3 - 1Lille
HPSG6 - 0Montpellier
APSG4 - 1Le Havre
APSG2 - 0Metz
APSG2 - 1Nice
HPSG1 - 3Toulouse
HPSG3 - 3Le Havre
APSG4 - 1Lorient
HPSG4 - 1Lyon
HPSG1 - 1Clermont
APSG2 - 0Marseille
APSG6 - 2Montpellier
HPSG2 - 2Reims
APSG0 - 0Monaco
HPSG1 - 1Rennes
APSG2 - 0Nantes
HPSG3 - 1Lille
APSG2 - 1Strasbourg
HPSG2 - 2Brest
APSG2 - 0Lens
Brest 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lens2 - 0Brest
Toulouse0 - 3Brest
Rennes4 - 5Brest
Lyon4 - 3Brest
Lorient0 - 1Brest
Lens1 - 0Brest
Strasbourg0 - 3Brest
Clermont1 - 1Brest
PSG2 - 2Brest
Nantes0 - 2Brest
Metz0 - 1Brest
Montpellier1 - 3Brest
Monaco2 - 0Brest
Lille1 - 0Brest
Nice0 - 0Brest
Reims1 - 2Brest
Marseille2 - 0Brest
Le Havre1 - 2Brest
Marseille1 - 2Brest
Lorient2 - 1Brest
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrest4 - 0St Etienne
ABrest0 - 2Lens
HBrest1 - 5Marseille
ABrest3 - 0Toulouse
HBrest1 - 1Reims
HBrest0 - 0Nantes
ABrest5 - 4Rennes
HBrest0 - 2Monaco
ABrest3 - 4Lyon
HBrest4 - 3Metz
ABrest1 - 0Lorient
HBrest1 - 1Lille
ABrest0 - 1Lens
HBrest1 - 0Le Havre
ABrest3 - 0Strasbourg
HBrest1 - 0Marseille
ABrest1 - 1Clermont
HBrest0 - 0Nice
ABrest2 - 2PSG
HBrest2 - 0Montpellier
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
PSG have not lost to Brest in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at PSG since 2021
PSG
Brest
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
PSG
3
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
Draw2 - 2Draw
PSG1 - 0
PSG2 - 0
PSG3 - 0
League games at Brest since 2019
Brest
PSG
Goals: Scored
6
13
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
PSG
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brest
2 - 3PSG
1 - 2PSG
2 - 4PSG
0 - 2PSG
1 - 2PSG
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. A PG of 2.6 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

PSG 1st Brest 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4+
26%
There is a 27% probability that PSG will score 4 or more goals in this match
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Brest scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
PSG have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+35
Brest have scored 35% more goals when away than predicted
2.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278980/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Brest
2.6
0.9
Attack rating
54%
better
PSG
SBR
view stats
Games scored3
2
Failed to score0
1
Scored first3
1
Goals scored13
5
Avg. goals scored4.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game15
12
Avg. shots per goal4
7
Conversion rate for28
14
Avg. XG for2.6
2
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
46%
better
PSG
SBR
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded2
7
Avg. goals conceded0.7
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
3
Conversion rate against11%
29%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.7
KickOff rating
+46%

PSG v Brest Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4442
G DonnarummaB BarcolaJ NevesL Beraldo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK4
1
-
A Hakimi DEF412
-
M Skriniar DEF1
-
L Beraldo DEF3
2
-
N Mendes  DEF21
1
-
K Lee MID42
-
J Neves MID44
-
F Ruiz MID21
-
O Dembélé FWD432
1
-
M Asensio FWD412
-
B Barcola FWD44
-
Subs
M Safonov GLK
-
Marquinhos DEF3
-
Y. Zague DEF1
-
W Pacho DEF4
-
Y. El Hannach DEF
-
D Doué MID31
-
S. Mayulu MID2
-
R Muani FWD42
-
I. Mbaye FWD3
-
Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4212
M BizotR CastilloR CastilloJ Amavi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Bizot GLK4
-
K Lala DEF41
1
-
B Chardonnet DEF4
1
-
J Cardinal DEF4
-
E Fernandes DEF1
-
M Haidara DEF1
-
R Castillo MID421
-
M Camara MID42
1
-
H Magnetti MID3
1
-
A Sima MID3
-
L Ajorque FWD41
1
-
Subs
G Coudert GLK
-
S Coulibaly DEF1
-
N Ndiaye DEF
-
J Amavi DEF3
2
-
K Doumbia MID1
-
M Lage MID4
1
-
J Martin MID4
1
-
I Salah FWD1
-
M Baldé FWD1
-