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Marseille v Rennes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th May, 20:00 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Rennes pay Ligue 1 counterparts Marseille a visit on Sunday night, as Habib Beye guides his men into an away clash with Habib Beye & co. at the Stade Vélodrome. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
47%
--
Draw
22%
--
Rennes
32%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Marseille 2-1
9%
--
Rennes 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Marseille 3-1
6%
--
Marseille 1-0
5%
--
Marseille 2-0
5%
--
Marseille 3-2
5%
--
Rennes 1-0
4%
--
Rennes 3-1
4%
--
Rennes 3-2
4%
--
Marseille 3-0
4%
--
Rennes 2-0
4%
--
Marseille 4-1
3%
--
Draw 0-0
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
1%
--
BTTS - Yes
69%
--
BTTS - No
31%
--
BTTS - Home Win
30%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
21%
--
Home/draw
68%
--
Away/draw
53%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
51%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
--
Home DNB
62%
--
Away DNB
47%
--
Marseille win to nil
17%
--
Rennes win to nil
11%
--
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn zero and won 4. Marseille have conceded 17 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Marseille have played 16 games at home, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 38 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Rennes lay in 5th place on 56 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 7 and losing 4 games. They have scored 44 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Rennes have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Rennes have played 16 away games, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Rennes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3122454370 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
5-0A
2
Lens3120472864 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
3
Lyon3218681860 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
4-2F
4
Lille3217781658 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
5
Rennes3216881056 
May 17
l
 
1-0A
-
-
6
Monaco3216610854 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-1F
l
 
4-0A
7
Marseille32165111553 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 17
8
Strasbourg3113711946 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-3F
9
Lorient32101210-542 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
10
Toulouse3211813041 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
11
Paris FC32101111-341 
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
May 10
w
 
0-1F
12
Brest3110813-1038 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
3-4A
13
Angers329716-1934 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
14
Le Havre3261412-1332 
w
 
6-2A
May 10
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
15
Nice3271015-2231 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-5F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-4F
16
Auxerre3261016-1328 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
17
Nantes325819-2223 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
18
Metz323722-4016 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille1 - 1Nice
Marseille3 - 1Metz
Marseille1 - 2Lille
Marseille1 - 0Auxerre
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille2 - 2Strasbourg
Marseille3 - 1Lens
Marseille0 - 2Nantes
Marseille1 - 0Monaco
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Marseille3 - 0Brest
Marseille2 - 2Angers
Marseille6 - 2Le Havre
Marseille1 - 0PSG
Marseille4 - 0Lorient
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Marseille4 - 2Rennes
Marseille4 - 1Brest
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille0 - 3Nantes
HMarseille1 - 1Nice
AMarseille0 - 2Lorient
HMarseille3 - 1Metz
AMarseille1 - 2Monaco
HMarseille1 - 2Lille
HMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
AMarseille1 - 0Toulouse
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Brest
HMarseille2 - 2Strasbourg
AMarseille0 - 5PSG
AMarseille2 - 2Paris FC
HMarseille3 - 1Lens
AMarseille5 - 2Angers
HMarseille0 - 2Nantes
HMarseille1 - 0Monaco
AMarseille0 - 1Lille
HMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille5 - 1Nice
Rennes 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lyon4 - 2Rennes
Strasbourg0 - 3Rennes
Brest3 - 4Rennes
Nice0 - 4Rennes
Auxerre0 - 3Rennes
Lens3 - 1Rennes
Monaco4 - 0Rennes
Lille0 - 2Rennes
PSG5 - 0Rennes
Metz0 - 1Rennes
Paris FC0 - 1Rennes
Toulouse2 - 2Rennes
Le Havre2 - 2Rennes
Nantes2 - 2Rennes
Angers1 - 1Rennes
Lorient4 - 0Rennes
Marseille4 - 2Rennes
Toulouse2 - 1Rennes
Lyon4 - 1Rennes
Le Havre1 - 5Rennes
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARennes2 - 4Lyon
HRennes2 - 1Nantes
ARennes3 - 0Strasbourg
HRennes2 - 1Angers
ARennes4 - 3Brest
HRennes0 - 0Metz
HRennes1 - 2Lille
ARennes4 - 0Nice
HRennes1 - 0Toulouse
ARennes3 - 0Auxerre
HRennes3 - 1PSG
ARennes1 - 3Lens
ARennes0 - 4Monaco
HRennes0 - 2Lorient
HRennes1 - 1Le Havre
ARennes2 - 0Lille
HRennes3 - 1Brest
ARennes0 - 5PSG
ARennes1 - 0Metz
HRennes4 - 1Monaco
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Marseille have not lost to Rennes in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Rennes
Goals: Scored
21
15
Games: Scored
11 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
1 / 12
MAR
6
D
3
REN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille4 - 2
Marseille2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 0
Marseille1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Rennes
Marseille2 - 0
2 - 5Rennes
Marseille3 - 0
0 - 1Rennes
League games at Rennes since 2013
Rennes
Marseille
Goals: Scored
14
14
Games: Scored
9 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
4 / 13
MAR
5
D
3
REN
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rennes
Rennes1 - 0
1 - 2Marseille
Rennes2 - 0
0 - 1Marseille
Rennes2 - 0
Rennes2 - 1
0 - 1Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Marseille
Rennes3 - 2
0 - 1Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Marseille in their meeting with Rennes, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 90 consecutive Ligue 1 games.

Rennes's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Marseille have conceded in each of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches. A PG of 1.6 for H. Beye's side suggests that run should continue.

Marseille 7th Rennes 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Rennes will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
Marseille have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+34
Rennes have scored 34% more goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Rennes
2
1.6
Attack rating
MAR
REN
3%
better
view stats
Games scored24
25
Failed to score8
6
Scored first18
18
Goals scored59
54
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
MAR
REN
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
21
Clean sheets8
10
Conceded first14
11
Goals conceded44
42
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+11%

Marseille v Rennes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281567
P HöjbjergM Greenwood M Greenwood F Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Höjbjerg MID3034
3
-
M Greenwood  FWD30156
3
-
P Aubameyang FWD2995
1
-
T Weah MID2822
5
-
I Paixão FWD2865
3
-
G Rulli GLK27
3
-
Emerson DEF263
3
-
B Pavard DEF2512
5
-
L Balerdi DEF241
5
-
B Nadir MID204
5
1
A Gouiri FWD2073
-
A Vermeeren MID181
1
1
M Murillo DEF1621
4
-
N Aguerd DEF161
4
-
F Medina DEF151
7
-
M O'Riley MID1512
2
-
A Gomes MID143
4
-
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
H Traorè FWD1321
1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF11
1
1
G Kondogbia MID10
3
-
D. Bakola MID8
-
J Lange GLK5
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
P Lirola DEF3
-
N Maupay FWD1
-
Rennes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311866
B SambaE. LepaulM TamariV Rongier
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Samba GLK31
5
-
Q Merlin DEF3114
2
-
M Tamari FWD3166
4
-
M Camara MID3031
4
1
E. Lepaul FWD30185
3
-
L Blas FWD3054
1
-
V Rongier MID2925
6
-
B Embolo FWD2983
3
-
L Brassier DEF271
2
-
D. Cisse MID23
3
-
A Seidu DEF201
1
-
A Rouault DEF191
4
-
J Jacquet DEF19
5
1
P Frankowski DEF1912
5
-
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal DEF1821
3
1
M. Nagida DEF171
2
-
M. Meïté FWD1732
-
S Fofana MID121
-
N. Mukiele FWD71
-
G Kamara MID4
-
M. Silistrie GLK1
-