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Nantes v Le Havre : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Feb, 16:15 BST, La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau, Nantes

Didier Digard guides his Le Havre charges to the La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau in the Ligue 1 on Sunday afternoon, with Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro's Nantes waiting for them. Ligue 1 stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this fixture will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics align with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Nantes and Le Havre have rarely been involved in goal-fests of late, whether that be in Ligue 1 individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, in the absence of a strong favourite draw or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nantes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nantes
39%
2.25
12%
2.30
12%
Draw
26%
3.25
2%
3.20
Le Havre
35%
3.10
15%
3.20
16%
Draw 1-1
13%
6.005.75
Nantes 1-0
10%
7.50
6%
7.00
Le Havre 1-0
9%
9.00
6%
8.00
7%
Nantes 2-1
8%
9.50
5%
8.50
6%
Le Havre 2-1
8%
12.00
9%
10.00
11%
Draw 0-0
7%
9.008.00
Nantes 2-0
7%
11.00
8%
9.50
14%
Le Havre 2-0
6%
15.00
15%
13.00
18%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0012.00
Nantes 3-1
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
Le Havre 3-1
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
12%
Nantes 3-0
3%
21.00
19%
17.00
19%
Le Havre 3-0
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
24%
Nantes 3-2
2%
29.00
15%
23.00
Le Havre 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
2.102.05
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1.731.70
Home 1st Goal
48%
1.83
6%
1.85
8%
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.20
7%
2.25
10%
No 1st Goal
5%
9.007.50
6%
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.801.83
BTTS - No
47%
1.951.91
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4.75
14%
4.60
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.20
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6.50
8%
6.00
14%
Home/draw
65%
1.36
6%
1.35
6%
Away/draw
61%
1.62
8%
1.60
8%
Home/away
74%
1.33
2%
1.33
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.361.35
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.203.00
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3.75
6%
3.60
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.29
3%
1.25
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8.007.00
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.081.08
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
17.0015.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.071.06
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9.008.00
Home DNB
57%
1.62
10%
1.62
10%
Away DNB
54%
2.20
15%
2.20
15%
Nantes win to nil
21%
3.75
6%
-
Le Havre win to nil
19%
5.50
22%
-
Nantes / Nantes
22%
3.75
6%
3.60
10%
Nantes / Le Havre
3%
29.0023.00
Nantes / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
Draw / Nantes
15%
5.50
8%
5.50
8%
Draw / Le Havre
11%
7.00
8%
7.00
8%
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
5%
4.50
Le Havre / Nantes
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
9%
Le Havre / Le Havre
16%
5.00
11%
4.80
14%
Le Havre / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nantes have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Nantes have conceded 35 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nantes have played 11 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Le Havre lay in 13th place on 23 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 21 matches. Le Havre are unbeaten in 5 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 5 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 5 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Le Havre have conceded 2 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Le Havre have played 10 away games, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nantes
Le Havre
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2116323251 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
Feb 28
l
 
3-0A
2
Lens2116142049 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
3
Lyon2113351442 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
4
Marseille2112361939 
May 3
w
 
0-2F
May 9
l
 
6-2F
5
Lille211038433 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
l
 
0-1A
May 3
6
Rennes21876-331 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
7
Strasbourg21939730 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
8
Toulouse21867730 
May 16
d
 
2-2F
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
9
Angers21858-329 
Mar 7
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
10
Monaco21849-128 
l
 
3-5A
Feb 13
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
11
Lorient21777-628 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 16
12
Brest21759-526 
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
13
Le Havre21588-823 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
-
-
14
Nice216510-1123 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
15
Paris FC21579-822 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
16
Auxerre213513-1514 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Apr 5
w
 
0-1F
17
Nantes213513-1814 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
18
Metz213414-2513 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
4
Nantes have lost 4 consecutive home league games
9
Nantes have not won in 9 consecutive home league games
5
Le Havre have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Nantes 17TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nantes0 - 1Lyon
Nantes1 - 4Nice
Nantes1 - 2Paris FC
Nantes1 - 2Lens
Nantes1 - 1Lorient
Nantes0 - 2Metz
Nantes3 - 5Monaco
Nantes0 - 2Lille
Nantes2 - 2Rennes
Nantes1 - 0Auxerre
Nantes0 - 1PSG
Nantes3 - 0Montpellier
Nantes0 - 1Angers
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Nantes1 - 1PSG
Nantes1 - 0Lille
Nantes0 - 1Strasbourg
Nantes3 - 1Lens
Nantes0 - 2Brest
Nantes1 - 1Lyon
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNantes0 - 1Lyon
ANantes1 - 2Lorient
HNantes1 - 4Nice
HNantes1 - 2Paris FC
ANantes2 - 0Marseille
ANantes1 - 4Angers
HNantes1 - 2Lens
ANantes0 - 3Lyon
HNantes1 - 1Lorient
ANantes1 - 1Le Havre
HNantes0 - 2Metz
HNantes3 - 5Monaco
ANantes2 - 1Paris FC
HNantes0 - 2Lille
ANantes0 - 0Brest
ANantes2 - 2Toulouse
HNantes2 - 2Rennes
ANantes0 - 1Nice
HNantes1 - 0Auxerre
ANantes0 - 1Strasbourg
Le Havre 15TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lens1 - 0Le Havre
Rennes1 - 1Le Havre
Lyon1 - 0Le Havre
PSG3 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse0 - 0Le Havre
Auxerre0 - 1Le Havre
Marseille6 - 2Le Havre
Metz0 - 0Le Havre
Strasbourg1 - 0Le Havre
Monaco3 - 1Le Havre
Strasbourg2 - 3Le Havre
Auxerre1 - 2Le Havre
PSG2 - 1Le Havre
Montpellier0 - 2Le Havre
Lyon4 - 2Le Havre
Lens3 - 4Le Havre
Lille1 - 2Le Havre
Angers1 - 1Le Havre
Reims1 - 1Le Havre
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLe Havre2 - 1Strasbourg
ALe Havre0 - 1Lens
HLe Havre0 - 0Monaco
ALe Havre1 - 1Rennes
HLe Havre2 - 1Angers
ALe Havre0 - 1Lyon
HLe Havre0 - 0Paris FC
HLe Havre0 - 1Lille
ALe Havre0 - 3PSG
HLe Havre1 - 1Nantes
ALe Havre0 - 0Toulouse
HLe Havre1 - 0Brest
ALe Havre1 - 0Auxerre
ALe Havre2 - 6Marseille
HLe Havre2 - 2Rennes
ALe Havre0 - 0Metz
HLe Havre1 - 1Lorient
ALe Havre0 - 1Strasbourg
HLe Havre3 - 1Nice
HLe Havre1 - 2Lens
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nantes since 2023
Nantes
Le Havre
Goals: Scored
0
2
Games: Scored
0 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
2 / 2
D
1
HAV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nantes
0 - 2Le Havre
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Le Havre since 2024
Le Havre
Nantes
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
NAN
1
D
1
HAV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Le Havre
Draw1 - 1Draw
Le Havre3 - 2
0 - 1Nantes
Goal Statistics

Le Havre's defensive record is very strong, D. Digard's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Nantes makes sense in this context.

Nantes 17th Le Havre 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Nantes will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Le Havre will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Nantes have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
+15
Le Havre have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Nantes
PG (predicted goals)
Le Havre
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
7%
better
NAN
HAV
view stats
Games scored13
11
Failed to score8
9
Scored first5
6
Goals scored19
16
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.8
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal8
10
Conversion rate for12
10
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
NAN
HAV
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
14
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first15
10
Goals conceded37
25
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+27%

Nantes v Le Havre Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21426
K AmianM AblineM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Amian DEF211
3
-
M Abline FWD2142
5
-
A Lopes GLK20
3
-
Y Arabi FWD193
-
M Mohamed FWD183
1
-
C Awaziem DEF1711
6
-
N Cozza DEF17
-
D. Assoumani MID17
2
-
B. Guirassy FWD1621
1
-
J Mwanga MID1511
2
1
J Lepenant MID151
2
-
L. Leroux MID1411
1
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID12
2
-
B. Deuff MID10
-
A. Camara FWD10
-
Y Benhattab FWD101
-
F Centonze DEF92
2
-
F Coquelin MID8
1
-
M. Lahdo FWD811
1
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
U Radakovic DEF4
-
P Carlgren GLK2
-
S. Doucouré DEF1
-
Le Havre Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20434
I SoumaréI SoumaréR NdiayeY. Zouaoui
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ndiaye MID2133
1
-
I Soumaré FWD2142
2
-
L Négo DEF20
2
-
A Seko MID20
3
-
A Sangante DEF1911
3
-
Y. Zouaoui DEF191
4
-
Y Kechta MID1911
2
-
F Doucouré DEF1821
-
G Lloris DEF1811
1
1
S Ebonog MID18
3
-
M Diaw GLK171
-
F Mambimbi FWD151
1
-
A Samatta  FWD14
4
-
Y Namli  FWD121
2
-
A Touré MID112
2
-
G Kyeremeh FWD101
-
Étienne Youte Kinkoue DEF7
2
-
R Khadra MID6
-
T Delaine DEF5
-
D. Mosengo MID4
-
L M'Pasi GLK3
1
-
S. Zagadou DEF31
-
D Pizarro FWD2
-
P. Argney GLK1
-