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Nice v Lorient : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Feb, 16:15 BST, Allianz Riviera, Nice

Lorient, led by manager Olivier Pantaloni, visit Claude Puel and his Nice side at the Allianz Riviera on Sunday afternoon in the Ligue 1. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 minutes. Both Nice and Lorient's recent form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nice are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nice
47%
23/20
2%
23/20
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
13/5
Lorient
27%
21/10
6%
11/5
2%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Nice 1-0
11%
8/1
6%
13/2
Nice 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Nice 2-0
8%
10/117/2
Lorient 1-0
8%
10/117/2
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
6%
Lorient 2-1
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1
Nice 3-1
5%
16/112/1
13%
Lorient 2-0
4%
16/112/1
Nice 3-0
4%
20/114/1
Nice 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Lorient 3-1
2%
22/1
12%
18/1
Lorient 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
9%
Nice 4-1
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
4/5
6%
4/5
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
1/1
5%
19/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/53/4
3%
Away 1st Goal
44%
11/10
5%
6/5
2%
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
9%
9/1
6%
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/6
2%
4/6
2%
BTTS - No
48%
11/10
2%
11/10
3%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3/1
8%
29/10
5%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
13%
9/2
8%
9/2
4%
Home/draw
73%
4/11
2%
7/20
Away/draw
53%
4/6
2%
4/6
1%
Home/away
75%
2/7
1%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3/1
7%
27/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
2/1
6%
19/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/5
3%
4/11
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/2
8%
9/2
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/7
1%
2/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/1
15%
9/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/19/1
6%
Home DNB
65%
4/74/7
1%
Away DNB
45%
5/45/4
2%
Nice win to nil
26%
3/1
7%
-
Lorient win to nil
14%
5/1-
Nice / Nice
23%
5/211/5
Nice / Lorient
3%
28/122/1
Nice / Draw
7%
12/111/1
Draw / Nice
14%
9/29/2
5%
Draw / Lorient
11%
6/1
7%
6/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Lorient / Nice
4%
22/118/1
Lorient / Lorient
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
Lorient / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nice have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Nice have conceded 33 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nice have played 11 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Lorient lay in 11th place on 28 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 11 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lorient have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Lorient have played 11 away games, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nice
Lorient
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2116323251 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 3
2
Lens2116142049 
May 3
l
 
2-0A
Mar 15
l
 
3-0A
3
Lyon2113351442 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 15
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
4
Marseille2112361939 
l
 
1-5A
Apr 26
Apr 19
l
 
4-0A
5
Lille211038433 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 19
l
 
1-7A
Mar 8
6
Rennes21876-331 
Mar 8
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
7
Strasbourg21939730 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 5
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
8
Toulouse21867730 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-1A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
9
Angers21858-329 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
10
Monaco21849-128 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
11
Lorient21777-628 
Feb 22
l
 
3-1F
-
-
12
Brest21759-526 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-1A
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
13
Le Havre21588-823 
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
May 16
d
 
1-1F
14
Nice216510-1123 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
Feb 22
15
Paris FC21579-822 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
16
Auxerre213513-1514 
w
 
3-1F
May 9
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
17
Nantes213513-1814 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
18
Metz213414-2513 
May 16
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 9
Win / draw / win form
Nice 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Lorient 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Nice have not lost to Lorient in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Nice since 2014
Nice
Lorient
Goals: Scored
16
9
Games: Scored
8 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
0 / 8
NIC
5
D
2
LOR
1
League games at Lorient since 2013
Lorient
Nice
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
6 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
3 / 9
NIC
2
D
4
LOR
3
Goal Statistics
Nice 13th Lorient 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Nice will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Lorient will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Nice have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
Lorient have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Nice
PG (predicted goals)
Lorient
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
10%
better
NIC
LOR
view stats
Games scored16
14
Failed to score4
7
Scored first10
10
Goals scored27
27
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
NIC
LOR
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
17
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first10
10
Goals conceded38
33
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
20%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+9%

Nice v Lorient Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nice Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18747
K OppongS DiopJ Clauss C Vanhoutte
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Diop FWD2073
4
-
K Oppong DEF191
3
-
M Sanson MID192
2
-
J Clauss  DEF1814
-
M Bard DEF1811
2
-
Y Diouf GLK16
-
A. Juma Bah DEF16
5
-
C Vanhoutte MID162
7
-
T Louchet MID1612
1
1
S Samed MID15
3
-
I Jansson FWD151
2
-
A Mendy DEF14
5
-
H Boudaoui MID1412
4
-
J Boga FWD1422
-
A Abdi DEF131
3
1
M Cho FWD1342
-
T Gouveia FWD12
1
-
K Carlos FWD12
1
-
T Moffi FWD102
-
T Ndombélé MID61
-
B. Nguene FWD6
1
-
M Dupé GLK5
-
Dante DEF5
-
M Bombito DEF2
1
-
G. Bernardeau MID2
-
Lorient Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20646
M TalbiP PagisK. KouassiL Abergel
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K. Kouassi DEF2024
3
-
M Talbi DEF201
1
-
T Bris MID2022
-
L Abergel MID201
6
-
S Soumano FWD2042
2
-
A Avon MID191
3
-
K Dermane MID1912
3
-
Y Mvogo  GLK18
-
J Makengo MID1821
-
P Pagis FWD186
1
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD1812
3
-
B Meïté DEF152
3
-
D Yongwa DEF15
2
1
N Cadiou MID151
-
J Mvuka MID15
-
A Tosin  FWD153
1
-
I Silva DEF111
1
-
B Dieng FWD931
2
-
A. Faye DEF7
5
-
N Adjei DEF7
-
B Kamara GLK3
-
P Katseris MID3
1
-