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Paris Saint-Germain v Metz : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 20:05 BST, Parc des Princes, Paris

Stéphane Le Mignan guides his Metz team to the Parc des Princes in the Ligue 1 on Saturday night, with Luis Enrique Martínez García's Paris Saint-Germain their rivals. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and the best odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: PSG to win

A Ligue 1 home win for Luis Enrique Martínez García's PSG side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A PSG win is our recommendation, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 81% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.08.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
81%
1.13
5%
-
Draw
12%
8.00
20%
-
Metz
7%
17.00
26%
-
PSG 2-0
10%
8.50-
PSG 3-0
10%
7.50-
PSG 2-1
8%
12.00
8%
-
PSG 3-1
8%
11.00-
PSG 4-0
8%
9.00
6%
-
PSG 1-0
7%
13.00
13%
-
PSG 4-1
6%
13.00-
Draw 1-1
6%
17.00
11%
-
PSG 5-0
4%
13.00
8%
-
PSG 5-1
3%
19.00
12%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
26.00
10%
-
PSG 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
-
Draw 0-0
2%
29.00
15%
-
PSG 4-2
2%
29.00
15%
-
Metz 2-1
2%
41.00
20%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
1.25
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
4.00
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
63%
1.22
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
4.00
8%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
29.00
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.95
3%
-
BTTS - No
48%
1.80
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
38%
2.38-
BTTS - Draw
10%
9.00
18%
-
BTTS - Away Win
4%
26.00
24%
-
Home/draw
93%
1.03
2%
-
Away/draw
19%
6.00
25%
-
Home/away
88%
1.08
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1.07
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
9.00
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
51%
1.67
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
2.20
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
32%
2.50
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
68%
1.53
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
4.00
7%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1.25
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.01-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
26.00
24%
-
Home DNB
89%
1.03
1%
-
Away DNB
16%
15.00
29%
-
PSG win to nil
43%
1.91
4%
-
Metz win to nil
3%
29.00
29%
-
PSG / PSG
57%
1.44
6%
-
PSG / Metz
1%
67.00-
PSG / Draw
4%
23.00
12%
-
Draw / PSG
20%
4.00
8%
-
Draw / Metz
2%
34.00
17%
-
Draw / Draw
5%
15.00
12%
-
Metz / PSG
5%
17.00-
Metz / Metz
2%
34.00
17%
-
Metz / Draw
3%
29.00
15%
-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 1 league table. PSG are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 8 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. PSG have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 10 games at home winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Metz are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 13 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Metz have conceded 46 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Metz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2116323251 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
Feb 21
2
Lens2116142049 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
w
 
2-0F
Mar 8
3
Lyon2113351442 
Apr 19
w
 
2-3F
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-0A
4
Marseille2112361939 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
Apr 12
5
Lille211038433 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
6-1A
6
Rennes21876-331 
w
 
5-0F
Feb 13
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
7
Strasbourg21939730 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
8
Toulouse21867730 
Apr 5
w
 
3-6F
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
9
Angers21858-329 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
10
Monaco21849-128 
Mar 6
l
 
1-0A
May 3
l
 
5-2F
11
Lorient21777-628 
May 3
d
 
1-1F
May 9
d
 
1-1F
12
Brest21759-526 
May 9
w
 
0-3F
Mar 1
l
 
3-2A
13
Le Havre21588-823 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 28
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
14
Nice216510-1123 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
w
 
2-1A
May 16
15
Paris FC21579-822 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
Apr 19
l
 
3-2F
16
Auxerre213513-1514 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
17
Nantes213513-1814 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
Apr 5
w
 
0-2F
18
Metz213414-2513 
Feb 21
w
 
2-3F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
5
Metz have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
PSG 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG5 - 0Marseille
PSG3 - 0Lille
PSG2 - 1Paris FC
PSG5 - 0Rennes
PSG3 - 0Le Havre
PSG1 - 0Nice
PSG3 - 3Strasbourg
PSG2 - 0Auxerre
PSG2 - 0Lens
PSG1 - 0Angers
PSG3 - 1Auxerre
PSG1 - 3Nice
PSG2 - 1Le Havre
PSG1 - 0Angers
PSG3 - 1Marseille
PSG4 - 1Lille
PSG4 - 1Monaco
PSG1 - 1Reims
PSG2 - 1St Etienne
PSG3 - 1Lyon
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPSG5 - 0Marseille
APSG2 - 1Strasbourg
APSG1 - 0Auxerre
HPSG3 - 0Lille
HPSG2 - 1Paris FC
APSG3 - 2Metz
HPSG5 - 0Rennes
APSG0 - 1Monaco
HPSG3 - 0Le Havre
APSG3 - 2Lyon
HPSG1 - 0Nice
APSG1 - 1Lorient
APSG3 - 0Brest
HPSG3 - 3Strasbourg
APSG1 - 1Lille
HPSG2 - 0Auxerre
APSG0 - 1Marseille
HPSG2 - 0Lens
APSG6 - 3Toulouse
HPSG1 - 0Angers
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Angers1 - 0Metz
Strasbourg2 - 1Metz
Lorient1 - 1Metz
Auxerre3 - 1Metz
Brest3 - 2Metz
Nantes0 - 2Metz
Lille6 - 1Metz
Toulouse4 - 0Metz
Monaco5 - 2Metz
Paris FC3 - 2Metz
Lyon3 - 0Metz
Lavallois2 - 3Metz
Pau2 - 1Metz
Martigues1 - 4Metz
Caen2 - 2Metz
Dunkerque2 - 3Metz
Amiens1 - 2Metz
Guingamp0 - 3Metz
Bastia1 - 1Metz
Lorient0 - 0Metz
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMetz0 - 0Lille
AMetz0 - 1Angers
HMetz2 - 5Lyon
AMetz1 - 2Strasbourg
AMetz1 - 1Lorient
HMetz2 - 3PSG
AMetz1 - 3Auxerre
HMetz0 - 1Rennes
AMetz2 - 3Brest
HMetz2 - 1Nice
AMetz2 - 0Nantes
HMetz2 - 0Lens
AMetz1 - 6Lille
AMetz0 - 4Toulouse
HMetz0 - 3Marseille
HMetz0 - 0Le Havre
AMetz2 - 5Monaco
HMetz1 - 1Angers
AMetz2 - 3Paris FC
AMetz0 - 3Lyon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
14
PSG have beaten Metz in 14 consecutive league meetings
14
PSG have not lost to Metz in 14 consecutive league meetings
League games at PSG since 2015
PSG
Metz
Goals: Scored
20
2
Games: Scored
6 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
0 / 6
PSG
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG3 - 1
PSG5 - 0
PSG1 - 0
PSG5 - 0
PSG3 - 0
PSG3 - 1
League games at Metz since 2014
Metz
PSG
Goals: Scored
9
23
Games: Scored
6 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
2 / 8
PSG
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Metz
2 - 3PSG
0 - 2PSG
1 - 2PSG
1 - 3PSG
0 - 2PSG
1 - 5PSG
2 - 3PSG
2 - 3PSG
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.9 is decent for Paris Saint-Germain in their clash with Metz, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 40 consecutive Ligue 1 games.

PSG 2nd Metz 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
23%
There is a 84% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Metz scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
PSG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+34
Metz have scored 34% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Metz
2.9
0.8
Attack rating
39%
better
PSG
MET
view stats
Games scored18
13
Failed to score2
8
Scored first18
6
Goals scored43
21
Avg. goals scored2
1
Avg. shots per game13
6
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for1.7
1
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
53%
better
PSG
MET
view stats
Games conceded10
17
Clean sheets10
4
Conceded first2
13
Goals conceded16
46
Avg. goals conceded0.8
2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded6
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
19%
Avg. XG against1
1.8
KickOff rating
+53%

PSG v Metz Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19773
W Zaïre-EmeryB BarcolaVitinhaI Zabarnyi 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Zaïre-Emery MID2113
2
-
Vitinha MID2017
2
-
G Ramos FWD204
2
-
B Barcola FWD1871
2
-
L Chevalier GLK17
-
S. Mayulu MID1734
1
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD1743
1
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF161
3
-
I. Mbaye FWD1612
-
K Lee FWD1622
2
-
W Pacho DEF15
-
L Hernández  DEF151
2
-
N Mendes  DEF1433
1
-
F Ruiz MID1312
1
-
O Dembélé FWD1374
-
J Neves MID1251
-
D Doué FWD1232
-
Marquinhos DEF11
-
A Hakimi DEF102
2
1
L Beraldo DEF101
1
-
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD1011
1
-
M Safonov GLK4
-
Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20646
J. FischerG HeinG HeinK Kouao
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Fischer GLK21
-
A. Touré MID21
2
-
G Tsitaishvili FWD2121
1
-
J Deminguet MID201
4
-
J Gbamin DEF1911
1
G Hein FWD1964
2
1
K Kouao DEF1811
6
-
T Yegbe DEF161
2
-
B Traoré MID161
2
-
I. Sane FWD1611
2
-
M Colin DEF14
-
B Stambouli MID14
-
H Diallo FWD1441
-
G Abuashvili FWD141
1
-
C Sabaly FWD142
2
-
S. Sané DEF102
2
2
M. Bokele Mputu FWD10
-
F Ballo-Touré  DEF9
2
-
J Asoro FWD8
-
U. Mboula DEF6
-
B. Djomeni Madjo FWD5
-
M Mbaye FWD5
1
-
I. Guerti MID3
-
C. Mélières DEF2
1
-
P Sy GLK1
-