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Stade Brestois 29 v Montpellier : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 16:15 BST, Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest

Stade Brestois 29 and Montpellier go head to head at the Stade Francis-Le Ble on Sunday afternoon, with both Eric Roy and Rolf Landerl aiming for victory in the Ligue 1. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Ligue 1 match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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Best Tip: Brest to win

We are predicting Brest will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home fans when that final whistle blows at Stade Francis-Le Ble.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brest are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brest
63%
4/11
1%
-
Draw
21%
17/4
5%
-
Montpellier
16%
6/1-
Brest 1-0
11%
15/2
6%
-
Brest 2-0
11%
13/2
7%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
9/1
5%
-
Brest 2-1
10%
15/2-
Brest 3-0
7%
8/1
5%
-
Brest 3-1
7%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
16/1
13%
-
Montpellier 1-0
5%
20/1
11%
-
Montpellier 2-1
4%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Brest 4-0
4%
14/1-
Brest 4-1
3%
18/1-
Brest 3-2
3%
22/1-
Montpellier 2-0
2%
40/1-
Brest 4-2
1%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/7
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
11/8
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/4
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
11/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
49%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
15/8
4%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
11/2-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11/1-
Home/draw
84%
1/10-
Away/draw
37%
2/1-
Home/away
79%
1/6-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/6
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4/1
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
11/8
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/7
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
10/3-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
2/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
16/1
13%
-
Home DNB
77%
1/8
2%
-
Away DNB
31%
5/1
9%
-
Brest win to nil
35%
11/8-
Montpellier win to nil
8%
12/1-
Brest / Brest
42%
20/21
5%
-
Brest / Montpellier
2%
40/1-
Brest / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Brest
20%
3/1-
Draw / Montpellier
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2-
Montpellier / Brest
4%
18/1-
Montpellier / Montpellier
6%
12/1-
Montpellier / Draw
4%
18/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Brest have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Brest have outscored their opponents by 49 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Brest have played 15 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Montpellier are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 16 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

14 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 34 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 11 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Montpellier have conceded 71 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 18 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brest
Montpellier
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3124615378 
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-1F
May 10
l
 
6-0A
2
Marseille3118492358 
l
 
1-5A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-5A
l
 
5-1A
3
Lille3116871756 
May 10
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Monaco3116782255 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
5
Lyon3116692054 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
6
Nice3115972054 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
7
Strasbourg3115971354 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
8
Lens3113612-245 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
9
Brest Home3113513-444 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
May 4
10
Auxerre3111812041 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
11
Rennes3112217238 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-0A
12
Toulouse319814-135 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-4F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
13
Reims318914-1033 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-2A
14
Nantes3171113-1532 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-3A
May 17
15
Angers318617-2130 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
16
Le Havre318419-3128 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
17
St Etienne317618-3727 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
18
Montpellier A314423-4916 
May 4
l
 
3-1A
-
-
Win / draw / win form
6
Montpellier have lost 6 consecutive away league games
6
Montpellier have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Brest 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brest1 - 3Lens
Brest2 - 1Monaco
Brest0 - 0Reims
Brest2 - 0Angers
Brest2 - 2Auxerre
Brest2 - 5PSG
Brest2 - 1Lyon
Brest4 - 1Nantes
Brest3 - 1Strasbourg
Brest0 - 1Nice
Brest1 - 1Rennes
Brest2 - 0Le Havre
Brest2 - 0Toulouse
Brest4 - 0St Etienne
Brest1 - 5Marseille
Brest1 - 1Reims
Brest0 - 0Nantes
Brest0 - 2Monaco
Brest4 - 3Metz
Brest1 - 1Lille
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrest1 - 4Marseille
HBrest1 - 3Lens
ABrest3 - 3St Etienne
HBrest2 - 1Monaco
ABrest4 - 2Toulouse
HBrest0 - 0Reims
HBrest2 - 0Angers
ABrest1 - 2Lyon
ABrest0 - 0Strasbourg
HBrest2 - 2Auxerre
ABrest2 - 0Nantes
HBrest2 - 5PSG
ABrest1 - 0Le Havre
ABrest2 - 1Rennes
HBrest2 - 1Lyon
ABrest0 - 2Angers
HBrest4 - 1Nantes
ABrest1 - 3Lille
HBrest3 - 1Strasbourg
ABrest2 - 3Monaco
Montpellier 18TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Angers2 - 0Montpellier
Auxerre1 - 0Montpellier
Lille1 - 0Montpellier
Nice2 - 0Montpellier
Strasbourg2 - 0Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Lyon1 - 0Montpellier
Lens2 - 0Montpellier
St Etienne1 - 0Montpellier
Le Havre1 - 0Montpellier
Reims4 - 2Montpellier
Monaco2 - 1Montpellier
Rennes3 - 0Montpellier
PSG6 - 0Montpellier
Lens2 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Reims1 - 2Montpellier
Clermont1 - 1Montpellier
Le Havre0 - 2Montpellier
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMontpellier0 - 0Reims
AMontpellier1 - 5Marseille
AMontpellier0 - 2Angers
HMontpellier0 - 2Le Havre
AMontpellier0 - 1Auxerre
HMontpellier0 - 2St Etienne
AMontpellier0 - 1Lille
HMontpellier0 - 4Rennes
AMontpellier0 - 2Nice
HMontpellier1 - 4Lyon
AMontpellier0 - 2Strasbourg
HMontpellier0 - 2Lens
AMontpellier2 - 1Toulouse
HMontpellier2 - 1Monaco
HMontpellier1 - 3Angers
AMontpellier0 - 1Lyon
HMontpellier2 - 2Nice
AMontpellier0 - 2Lens
HMontpellier2 - 2Lille
AMontpellier0 - 1St Etienne
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brest since 2020
Brest
Montpellier
Goals: Scored
4
13
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
SBR
1
D
1
MTP
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brest
Brest2 - 0
0 - 7Montpellier
0 - 4Montpellier
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Montpellier since 2019
Montpellier
Brest
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
SBR
2
D
1
MTP
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montpellier
Montpellier3 - 1
1 - 3Brest
Montpellier3 - 0
1 - 2Brest
Draw0 - 0Draw
Montpellier4 - 0
Goal Statistics

Montpellier have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. This run could continue, with Stade Brestois 29's PG an impressive 2.0.

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Montpellier fans, as should a 11 Ligue 1 games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Brest 9th Montpellier 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Brest will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Montpellier scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Brest’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-27
Montpellier have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279228/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Brest
PG (predicted goals)
Montpellier
2
0.9
Attack rating
54%
better
SBR
MTP
view stats
Games scored25
13
Failed to score6
18
Scored first18
2
Goals scored49
22
Avg. goals scored1.6
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
12
Conversion rate for16
8
Avg. XG for1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
31%
better
SBR
MTP
view stats
Games conceded23
30
Clean sheets8
1
Conceded first11
28
Goals conceded53
71
Avg. goals conceded1.7
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against20%
19%
Avg. XG against1.5
2
KickOff rating
+31%

Brest v Montpellier Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291276
M BizotL AjorqueM LageB Chardonnet
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Camara MID3152
5
-
M Bizot GLK29
4
-
H Magnetti MID291
4
-
L Ajorque FWD28122
5
-
K Lala DEF2732
5
-
K Doumbia MID2722
1
-
B Chardonnet DEF261
6
-
M Lage FWD2627
3
-
M Baldé FWD2523
3
-
A Sima FWD2462
2
-
R Castillo FWD2353
-
R Faivre MID2032
2
-
M Haidara DEF19
2
2
N Ndiaye DEF191
3
1
P Lees-Melou MID1822
5
-
E Fernandes DEF171
1
-
J Cardinal DEF161
3
-
J Martin MID151
2
-
T. Zogbe DEF13
2
-
I Salah FWD1211
-
J Amavi DEF11
2
-
S Coulibaly DEF7
1
-
G Coudert GLK2
-
J. Bourgault DEF21
-
Montpellier Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
282511
B LecomteT SavanierT SavanierR. Nzingoula
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Lecomte GLK28
-
T Savanier MID2825
4
1
W Khazri FWD2811
4
-
M Sagnan DEF262
9
-
R. Nzingoula MID251
11
-
J Chotard MID231
5
-
J Ferri MID221
5
1
T Coulibaly FWD222
3
2
B Omeragic DEF20
1
-
I Sylla DEF191
2
-
K Fayad MID18
4
-
F Sacko DEF161
1
-
T Sainte-Luce  DEF151
3
-
O. Maamma FWD1211
1
-
K Kouyaté DEF11
5
1
N. Pays MID91
-
A Delort FWD9
1
-
N Maksimović DEF7
2
-
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF71
-
B Meïté DEF6
2
1
D Bertaud GLK3
-