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Toulouse v Paris FC : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 18:00 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

The Ligue 1 is the focus for both Toulouse and Paris FC on Saturday evening, as bosses Carles Martínez Novell and Stéphane Gilli battle it out at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. Ligue 1 statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 mins. Both Toulouse and Paris FC's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toulouse are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
46%
10/11
10%
-
Draw
25%
23/10
6%
-
Paris FC
29%
29/10
18%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
-
Toulouse 1-0
9%
11/2-
Toulouse 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Toulouse 2-0
8%
15/2
6%
-
Paris FC 1-0
7%
17/2
21%
-
Paris FC 2-1
7%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
15/2
11%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1-
Toulouse 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Paris FC 2-0
4%
18/1
17%
-
Toulouse 3-0
4%
16/1
31%
-
Toulouse 3-2
3%
33/1
17%
-
Paris FC 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
-
Paris FC 3-2
2%
40/1-
Toulouse 4-1
2%
40/1
41%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
6/5
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
4/6
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
15/2
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1/1
5%
-
BTTS - No
44%
3/4
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
15/4
19%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
15/2
11%
-
Home/draw
71%
1/4
6%
-
Away/draw
54%
5/6
11%
-
Home/away
75%
1/3
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/5
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
2/1
14%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
10/3
14%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
2/9
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
8/1
38%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/14
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
18/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/50
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/12
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
7/1
11%
-
Home DNB
63%
2/5
9%
-
Away DNB
47%
7/4
21%
-
Toulouse win to nil
23%
2/1
9%
-
Paris FC win to nil
14%
5/1
25%
-
Toulouse / Toulouse
26%
21/10
13%
-
Toulouse / Paris FC
2%
33/1
17%
-
Toulouse / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Toulouse
17%
15/4
6%
-
Draw / Paris FC
10%
7/1
16%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
14%
-
Paris FC / Toulouse
3%
25/1
13%
-
Paris FC / Paris FC
13%
11/2
19%
-
Paris FC / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Toulouse have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Toulouse have played 11 games at home winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Paris FC are in 15th position in the Ligue 1 on 22 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Paris FC have conceded 28 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Paris FC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2116323251 
l
 
3-6A
Apr 5
May 16
l
 
2-1A
2
Lens2116142049 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 19
Feb 14
l
 
2-1A
3
Lyon2113351442 
May 9
w
 
1-2A
d
 
3-3A
Mar 8
4
Marseille2112361939 
Mar 7
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
5-2A
5
Lille211038433 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
Apr 26
l
 
4-2F
6
Rennes21876-331 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 28
l
 
0-1A
May 9
7
Strasbourg21939730 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
l
 
2-3A
Mar 15
8
Toulouse21867730 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
9
Angers21858-329 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
10
Monaco21849-128 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
11
Lorient21777-628 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
12
Brest21759-526 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
May 3
w
 
1-2F
13
Le Havre21588-823 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
14
Nice216510-1123 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 1
d
 
1-1A
15
Paris FC21579-822 
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
-
-
16
Auxerre213513-1514 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Nantes213513-1814 
d
 
2-2A
May 16
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
18
Metz213414-2513 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
w
 
3-2A
Apr 19
Win / draw / win form
Toulouse 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse0 - 0Auxerre
Toulouse5 - 1Nice
Toulouse0 - 3Lens
Toulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
Toulouse0 - 1Angers
Toulouse0 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse2 - 2Rennes
Toulouse4 - 0Metz
Toulouse2 - 2Nantes
Toulouse3 - 6PSG
Toulouse2 - 0Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Lens
Toulouse2 - 1Rennes
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Monaco
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse0 - 1Angers
HToulouse0 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse2 - 0Brest
HToulouse5 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 3Lens
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 1Lorient
HToulouse0 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 2Rennes
AToulouse0 - 1Monaco
HToulouse4 - 0Metz
AToulouse2 - 1Lyon
HToulouse2 - 2Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Auxerre
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse3 - 6PSG
HToulouse2 - 0Brest
Paris FC 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Auxerre0 - 0Paris FC
Nantes1 - 2Paris FC
PSG2 - 1Paris FC
Le Havre0 - 0Paris FC
Lille4 - 2Paris FC
Monaco0 - 1Paris FC
Lens2 - 1Paris FC
Nice1 - 1Paris FC
Brest1 - 2Paris FC
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Angers1 - 0Paris FC
Martigues1 - 1Paris FC
Rodez1 - 1Paris FC
Grenoble1 - 2Paris FC
Lavallois3 - 0Paris FC
Annecy2 - 3Paris FC
Dunkerque1 - 0Paris FC
Guingamp0 - 1Paris FC
Metz3 - 1Paris FC
Lorient2 - 0Paris FC
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AParis FC0 - 0Auxerre
HParis FC2 - 2Marseille
HParis FC0 - 0Angers
AParis FC2 - 1Nantes
AParis FC1 - 2PSG
HParis FC0 - 3Toulouse
AParis FC0 - 0Le Havre
HParis FC1 - 1Auxerre
AParis FC2 - 4Lille
HParis FC0 - 1Rennes
AParis FC1 - 0Monaco
HParis FC3 - 3Lyon
HParis FC1 - 2Nantes
AParis FC1 - 2Lens
HParis FC2 - 0Lorient
AParis FC1 - 1Nice
HParis FC2 - 3Strasbourg
AParis FC2 - 1Brest
HParis FC3 - 2Metz
AParis FC2 - 5Marseille
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toulouse since 2021
Toulouse
Paris FC
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
TOU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Toulouse2 - 1
Toulouse1 - 0
League games at Paris FC since 2021
Paris FC
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
TOU
1
D
1
PAR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Paris FC
0 - 3Toulouse
Draw2 - 2Draw
Paris FC3 - 1
Goal Statistics
Toulouse 8th Paris FC 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Paris FC will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Toulouse’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Paris FC have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Paris FC
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
9%
better
TOU
PAR
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score6
5
Scored first9
6
Goals scored31
26
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
27%
better
TOU
PAR
view stats
Games conceded12
16
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first9
12
Goals conceded23
34
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
20%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+27%

Toulouse v Paris FC Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21645
G. RestesY GbohoY GbohoC Cresswell
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK21
2
-
D Sidibé DEF2123
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF21
1
-
C Cresswell DEF2131
5
-
C Yepes MID201
4
-
Y Gboho FWD2064
1
-
M McKenzie DEF192
5
-
A Dönnum MID1834
5
-
D. Methalie DEF17
4
-
S Hidalgo FWD1742
2
-
F Magri FWD1751
3
-
A. Vossah MID1511
1
1
M Sauer MID15
2
-
Emersonn FWD1532
3
1
W Kamanzi DEF13
-
N. Edjouma FWD12
-
R. Messali MID11
2
-
A Francis MID8
2
-
J. Vignolo FWD81
-
S. Koumbassa DEF3
-
Paris FC Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20849
M MbowI KebbalI KebbalM López 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Mbow DEF201
3
-
J Krasso FWD2022
-
I Kebbal FWD2084
4
-
A. Camara MID191
5
-
M López  MID193
9
-
O Silva DEF18
5
1
M Simon FWD1832
-
W Geubbels FWD173
-
V Marchetti MID152
1
-
N. Sangui DEF14
-
T Smet DEF141
3
1
A Gory FWD141
-
S Chergui DEF121
1
-
J Ikoné FWD121
1
-
O Nkambadio GLK11
-
H Traoré DEF111
3
-
P Lees-Melou MID1111
2
-
K Trapp GLK10
-
T Kolodziejczak DEF10
2
-
T Ollila DEF8
-
N Dicko FWD811
-
M Cafaro FWD8
-
L Doucet MID51
2
-
J López FWD5
-
P Hamel FWD2
-